Szkoła Kursów

Jakub Mensik v Joao Fonseca

Początek: 2026-06-02 18:30 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

63 bukmacherów (22 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Jakub Mensik (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 33.97%2.94kurs godziwy
EV +8.71%
Przewaga +2.72%
Kelly +3.96%
Wzrost +0.345%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.20

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
29.82%33.87%33.92%35.37%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.652.822.803.2037.74%35.52%35.71%31.25%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Joao Fonseca (Goście)

Prognoza 66.03%1.51kurs godziwy
EV -1.62%
Przewaga -1.09%
Kelly -3.30%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.49

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
64.63%66.13%66.08%70.18%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.361.431.441.4973.53%69.71%69.44%67.11%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (63 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarze ▼GościeMarżaAktualizacja
BetRivers3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV +8.71%E +2.72%K +3.96%G +0.345%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -10.20%E -7.50%K -28.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-02 18:05
Pinnacle2.93I 34.13%NM 33.26%EV -0.460%E -0.157%K -0.238%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 66.74%EV -3.60%E -2.47%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-02 18:20
1xBet2.92I 34.25%NM 32.72%EV -0.800%E -0.274%K -0.417%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.28%EV -6.24%E -4.40%K -14.86%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-02 18:20
Coolbet2.90I 34.48%NM 33.49%EV -1.48%E -0.510%K -0.779%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 66.51%EV -3.60%E -2.47%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-02 18:19
Unibet (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -1.48%E -0.510%K -0.779%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -4.92%E -3.42%K -11.18%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-02 18:14
Codere (IT)2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -1.48%E -0.510%K -0.779%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -4.92%E -3.42%K -11.18%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-02 18:15
Hard Rock Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -1.48%E -0.510%K -0.779%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -4.92%E -3.42%K -11.18%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-02 18:18
PMU (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -1.48%E -0.510%K -0.779%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.58%E -3.90%K -12.98%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-02 18:19
Marathon Bet2.89I 34.60%NM 33.26%EV -1.82%E -0.629%K -0.962%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.74%EV -4.92%E -3.42%K -11.18%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-02 18:20
Unibet2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -2.16%E -0.750%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -5.58%E -3.90%K -12.98%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-02 18:19
Unibet (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -2.16%E -0.750%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -5.58%E -3.90%K -12.98%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-02 18:19
LeoVegas (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -2.16%E -0.750%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -5.58%E -3.90%K -12.98%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-02 18:19
Casumo2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -2.16%E -0.750%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -5.58%E -3.90%K -12.98%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-02 18:20
LeoVegas2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -2.16%E -0.750%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -5.58%E -3.90%K -12.98%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-02 18:20
Unibet (NL)2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -2.16%E -0.750%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -5.58%E -3.90%K -12.98%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-02 18:19
Grosvenor2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -2.16%E -0.750%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -5.58%E -3.90%K -12.98%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-02 18:19
FanDuel2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -2.16%E -0.750%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -5.58%E -3.90%K -12.98%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-02 18:20
Svenska Spel2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -2.16%E -0.750%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -5.58%E -3.90%K -12.98%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-02 18:19
betPARX2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -2.16%E -0.750%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -5.58%E -3.90%K -12.98%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-02 18:20
Bally Bet2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -2.16%E -0.750%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -5.58%E -3.90%K -12.98%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-02 18:20
ATG (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -2.16%E -0.750%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -5.58%E -3.90%K -12.98%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-02 18:19
BetOnline.ag2.85I 35.09%NM 33.87%EV -3.18%E -1.12%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 66.13%EV -3.60%E -2.47%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-02 18:20
LowVig.ag2.85I 35.09%NM 33.87%EV -3.18%E -1.12%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 66.13%EV -3.60%E -2.47%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-02 18:20
Bovada2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.18%E -1.12%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.92%E -3.42%K -11.18%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-02 18:18
BetAnything2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.18%E -1.12%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.92%E -3.42%K -11.18%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-02 18:19
TABtouch2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -3.18%E -1.12%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.24%E -4.40%K -14.86%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-02 18:19
LiveScore Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -3.18%E -1.12%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -6.90%E -4.89%K -16.83%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-02 18:19
Virgin Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -3.18%E -1.12%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -6.90%E -4.89%K -16.83%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-02 18:19
SportsBet2.84I 35.21%NM 33.49%EV -3.52%E -1.24%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.51%EV -5.58%E -3.90%K -12.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-02 18:18
NetBet (FR)2.82I 35.46%NM 33.49%EV -4.20%E -1.49%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.51%EV -6.24%E -4.40%K -14.86%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-02 18:15
GTbets2.80I 35.71%NM 34.73%EV -4.88%E -1.74%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.27%EV -1.62%E -1.09%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.8%2026-06-02 18:15
Unibet (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -4.88%E -1.74%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -2.94%E -2.00%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-02 18:20
Winamax (DE)2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -4.88%E -1.74%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -2.94%E -2.00%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-02 18:20
theScore Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -4.88%E -1.74%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -2.94%E -2.00%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-02 18:19
Bet Right2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.88%E -1.74%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.92%E -3.42%K -11.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-02 18:19
BetMGM2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.88%E -1.74%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.92%E -3.42%K -11.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-02 18:19
Tipico (DE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -4.88%E -1.74%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.24%E -4.40%K -14.86%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-02 18:19
Paddy Power2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -4.88%E -1.74%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.56%E -5.40%K -18.90%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-02 18:19
MyBookie.ag2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.58%E -2.39%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.26%E -2.94%K -9.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-02 18:20
PlayUp2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.58%E -2.39%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.26%E -2.94%K -9.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-02 18:19
Ladbrokes (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.58%E -2.39%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.26%E -2.94%K -9.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-02 18:20
Neds2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.58%E -2.39%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.26%E -2.94%K -9.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-02 18:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.58%E -2.39%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.92%E -3.42%K -11.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-02 18:19
Betclic (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.58%E -2.39%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.92%E -3.42%K -11.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-02 18:14
Winamax (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.58%E -2.39%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.92%E -3.42%K -11.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-02 18:20
TAB2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.58%E -2.39%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.92%E -3.42%K -11.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-02 18:19
Everygame2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.58%E -2.39%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.92%E -3.42%K -11.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-02 18:17
888sport2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.58%E -2.39%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.92%E -3.42%K -11.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-02 18:20
William Hill2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.58%E -2.39%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.92%E -3.42%K -11.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-02 18:19
888sport (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.58%E -2.39%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.92%E -3.42%K -11.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-02 18:19
Mr Green (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.58%E -2.39%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.92%E -3.42%K -11.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-02 18:19
PointsBet (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -6.58%E -2.39%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.58%E -3.90%K -12.98%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-02 18:20
Betway2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.58%E -2.39%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.56%E -5.40%K -18.90%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-02 18:19
Betr (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.58%E -2.39%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.56%E -5.40%K -18.90%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-02 18:20
Bet Victor2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.58%E -2.39%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.56%E -5.40%K -18.90%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-02 18:13
Fliff2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -6.58%E -2.39%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 66.59%EV -8.88%E -6.44%K -23.37%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-02 18:20
DraftKings2.71I 36.90%NM 35.17%EV -7.93%E -2.93%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.83%EV -2.94%E -2.00%K -6.26%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-02 18:20
Betsson2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.27%E -3.06%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.26%E -2.94%K -9.47%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-02 18:20
NordicBet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.27%E -3.06%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.26%E -2.94%K -9.47%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-02 18:20
Fanatics2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -8.27%E -3.06%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -4.92%E -3.42%K -11.18%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-02 18:19
Ladbrokes (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -8.27%E -3.06%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.56%E -5.40%K -18.90%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-02 18:20
Coral2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -8.27%E -3.06%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.56%E -5.40%K -18.90%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-02 18:20
Caesars2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -9.97%E -3.76%K -6.04%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -4.26%E -2.94%K -9.47%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-02 18:19
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (6)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 34.39%1.52I 65.79%NM 65.61%0.3%2026-06-02 18:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91%0.5%2026-06-02 18:20
Matchbook2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91%0.5%2026-06-02 18:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91%0.5%2026-06-02 18:20
Novig2.88I 34.72%NM 34.25%1.50I 66.67%NM 65.75%1.4%2026-06-02 18:20
Smarkets2.86I 34.97%NM 34.10%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.90%2.5%2026-06-02 18:20