مدرسة الاحتمالات

Jakub Mensik v Joao Fonseca

البداية: 2026-06-02 18:30 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

63 شركة مراهنات (22 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Jakub Mensik (المضيف)

التنبؤ 33.97%2.94السعر العادل
EV +8.71%
الأفضلية +2.72%
Kelly +3.96%
النمو +0.345%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.20

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
29.82%33.87%33.92%35.37%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.652.822.803.2037.74%35.52%35.71%31.25%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Joao Fonseca (الضيف)

التنبؤ 66.03%1.51السعر العادل
EV -1.62%
الأفضلية -1.09%
Kelly -3.30%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.49

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
64.63%66.13%66.08%70.18%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.361.431.441.4973.53%69.71%69.44%67.11%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (63 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
BetRivers3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV +8.71%E +2.72%K +3.96%G +0.345%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -10.20%E -7.50%K -28.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-02 18:05
Pinnacle2.93I 34.13%NM 33.26%EV -0.460%E -0.157%K -0.238%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 66.74%EV -3.60%E -2.47%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-02 18:20
1xBet2.92I 34.25%NM 32.72%EV -0.800%E -0.274%K -0.417%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.28%EV -6.24%E -4.40%K -14.86%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-02 18:20
Coolbet2.90I 34.48%NM 33.49%EV -1.48%E -0.510%K -0.779%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 66.51%EV -3.60%E -2.47%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-02 18:19
Unibet (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -1.48%E -0.510%K -0.779%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -4.92%E -3.42%K -11.18%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-02 18:14
Codere (IT)2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -1.48%E -0.510%K -0.779%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -4.92%E -3.42%K -11.18%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-02 18:15
Hard Rock Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -1.48%E -0.510%K -0.779%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -4.92%E -3.42%K -11.18%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-02 18:18
PMU (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -1.48%E -0.510%K -0.779%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.58%E -3.90%K -12.98%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-02 18:19
Marathon Bet2.89I 34.60%NM 33.26%EV -1.82%E -0.629%K -0.962%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.74%EV -4.92%E -3.42%K -11.18%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-02 18:20
Unibet2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -2.16%E -0.750%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -5.58%E -3.90%K -12.98%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-02 18:19
Unibet (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -2.16%E -0.750%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -5.58%E -3.90%K -12.98%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-02 18:19
LeoVegas (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -2.16%E -0.750%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -5.58%E -3.90%K -12.98%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-02 18:19
Casumo2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -2.16%E -0.750%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -5.58%E -3.90%K -12.98%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-02 18:20
LeoVegas2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -2.16%E -0.750%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -5.58%E -3.90%K -12.98%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-02 18:20
Unibet (NL)2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -2.16%E -0.750%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -5.58%E -3.90%K -12.98%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-02 18:19
Grosvenor2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -2.16%E -0.750%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -5.58%E -3.90%K -12.98%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-02 18:19
FanDuel2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -2.16%E -0.750%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -5.58%E -3.90%K -12.98%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-02 18:20
Svenska Spel2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -2.16%E -0.750%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -5.58%E -3.90%K -12.98%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-02 18:19
betPARX2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -2.16%E -0.750%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -5.58%E -3.90%K -12.98%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-02 18:20
Bally Bet2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -2.16%E -0.750%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -5.58%E -3.90%K -12.98%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-02 18:20
ATG (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -2.16%E -0.750%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -5.58%E -3.90%K -12.98%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-02 18:19
BetOnline.ag2.85I 35.09%NM 33.87%EV -3.18%E -1.12%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 66.13%EV -3.60%E -2.47%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-02 18:20
LowVig.ag2.85I 35.09%NM 33.87%EV -3.18%E -1.12%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 66.13%EV -3.60%E -2.47%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-02 18:20
Bovada2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.18%E -1.12%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.92%E -3.42%K -11.18%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-02 18:18
BetAnything2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.18%E -1.12%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.92%E -3.42%K -11.18%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-02 18:19
TABtouch2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -3.18%E -1.12%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.24%E -4.40%K -14.86%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-02 18:19
LiveScore Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -3.18%E -1.12%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -6.90%E -4.89%K -16.83%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-02 18:19
Virgin Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -3.18%E -1.12%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -6.90%E -4.89%K -16.83%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-02 18:19
SportsBet2.84I 35.21%NM 33.49%EV -3.52%E -1.24%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.51%EV -5.58%E -3.90%K -12.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-02 18:18
NetBet (FR)2.82I 35.46%NM 33.49%EV -4.20%E -1.49%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.51%EV -6.24%E -4.40%K -14.86%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-02 18:15
GTbets2.80I 35.71%NM 34.73%EV -4.88%E -1.74%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.27%EV -1.62%E -1.09%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.8%2026-06-02 18:15
Unibet (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -4.88%E -1.74%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -2.94%E -2.00%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-02 18:20
Winamax (DE)2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -4.88%E -1.74%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -2.94%E -2.00%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-02 18:20
theScore Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -4.88%E -1.74%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -2.94%E -2.00%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-02 18:19
Bet Right2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.88%E -1.74%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.92%E -3.42%K -11.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-02 18:19
BetMGM2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.88%E -1.74%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.92%E -3.42%K -11.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-02 18:19
Tipico (DE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -4.88%E -1.74%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.24%E -4.40%K -14.86%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-02 18:19
Paddy Power2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -4.88%E -1.74%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.56%E -5.40%K -18.90%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-02 18:19
MyBookie.ag2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.58%E -2.39%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.26%E -2.94%K -9.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-02 18:20
PlayUp2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.58%E -2.39%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.26%E -2.94%K -9.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-02 18:19
Ladbrokes (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.58%E -2.39%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.26%E -2.94%K -9.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-02 18:20
Neds2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.58%E -2.39%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.26%E -2.94%K -9.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-02 18:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.58%E -2.39%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.92%E -3.42%K -11.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-02 18:19
Betclic (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.58%E -2.39%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.92%E -3.42%K -11.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-02 18:14
Winamax (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.58%E -2.39%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.92%E -3.42%K -11.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-02 18:20
TAB2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.58%E -2.39%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.92%E -3.42%K -11.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-02 18:19
Everygame2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.58%E -2.39%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.92%E -3.42%K -11.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-02 18:17
888sport2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.58%E -2.39%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.92%E -3.42%K -11.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-02 18:20
William Hill2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.58%E -2.39%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.92%E -3.42%K -11.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-02 18:19
888sport (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.58%E -2.39%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.92%E -3.42%K -11.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-02 18:19
Mr Green (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.58%E -2.39%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.92%E -3.42%K -11.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-02 18:19
PointsBet (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -6.58%E -2.39%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.58%E -3.90%K -12.98%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-02 18:20
Betway2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.58%E -2.39%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.56%E -5.40%K -18.90%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-02 18:19
Betr (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.58%E -2.39%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.56%E -5.40%K -18.90%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-02 18:20
Bet Victor2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.58%E -2.39%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.56%E -5.40%K -18.90%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-02 18:13
Fliff2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -6.58%E -2.39%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 66.59%EV -8.88%E -6.44%K -23.37%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-02 18:20
DraftKings2.71I 36.90%NM 35.17%EV -7.93%E -2.93%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.83%EV -2.94%E -2.00%K -6.26%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-02 18:20
Betsson2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.27%E -3.06%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.26%E -2.94%K -9.47%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-02 18:20
NordicBet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.27%E -3.06%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.26%E -2.94%K -9.47%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-02 18:20
Fanatics2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -8.27%E -3.06%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -4.92%E -3.42%K -11.18%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-02 18:19
Ladbrokes (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -8.27%E -3.06%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.56%E -5.40%K -18.90%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-02 18:20
Coral2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -8.27%E -3.06%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.56%E -5.40%K -18.90%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-02 18:20
Caesars2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -9.97%E -3.76%K -6.04%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -4.26%E -2.94%K -9.47%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-02 18:19
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 34.39%1.52I 65.79%NM 65.61%0.3%2026-06-02 18:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91%0.5%2026-06-02 18:20
Matchbook2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91%0.5%2026-06-02 18:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91%0.5%2026-06-02 18:20
Novig2.88I 34.72%NM 34.25%1.50I 66.67%NM 65.75%1.4%2026-06-02 18:20
Smarkets2.86I 34.97%NM 34.10%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.90%2.5%2026-06-02 18:20