La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Jakub Mensik v Joao Fonseca
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Jakub Mensik (Casa)
Previsione 33.97%2.94quota equa
EV +8.71%
Vantaggio +2.72%
Kelly +3.96%
Crescita +0.345%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.20
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
29.82%33.87%33.92%35.37%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.652.822.803.2037.74%35.52%35.71%31.25%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Joao Fonseca (Trasferta)
Previsione 66.03%1.51quota equa
EV -1.62%
Vantaggio -1.09%
Kelly -3.30%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.49
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
64.63%66.13%66.08%70.18%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.361.431.441.4973.53%69.71%69.44%67.11%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (63 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetRivers | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV +8.71%E +2.72%K +3.96%G +0.345% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -10.20%E -7.50%K -28.34%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-02 18:05 |
| Pinnacle | 2.93I 34.13%NM 33.26%EV -0.460%E -0.157%K -0.238%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 66.74%EV -3.60%E -2.47%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-06-02 18:20 |
| 1xBet | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.72%EV -0.800%E -0.274%K -0.417%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.28%EV -6.24%E -4.40%K -14.86%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-02 18:20 |
| Coolbet | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.49%EV -1.48%E -0.510%K -0.779%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 66.51%EV -3.60%E -2.47%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-06-02 18:19 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -1.48%E -0.510%K -0.779%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -4.92%E -3.42%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-02 18:14 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -1.48%E -0.510%K -0.779%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -4.92%E -3.42%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-02 18:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -1.48%E -0.510%K -0.779%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -4.92%E -3.42%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-02 18:18 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -1.48%E -0.510%K -0.779%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.58%E -3.90%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-02 18:19 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.89I 34.60%NM 33.26%EV -1.82%E -0.629%K -0.962%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.74%EV -4.92%E -3.42%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-02 18:20 |
| Unibet | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -2.16%E -0.750%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -5.58%E -3.90%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-02 18:19 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -2.16%E -0.750%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -5.58%E -3.90%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-02 18:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -2.16%E -0.750%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -5.58%E -3.90%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-02 18:19 |
| Casumo | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -2.16%E -0.750%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -5.58%E -3.90%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-02 18:20 |
| LeoVegas | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -2.16%E -0.750%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -5.58%E -3.90%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-02 18:20 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -2.16%E -0.750%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -5.58%E -3.90%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-02 18:19 |
| Grosvenor | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -2.16%E -0.750%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -5.58%E -3.90%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-02 18:19 |
| FanDuel | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -2.16%E -0.750%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -5.58%E -3.90%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-02 18:20 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -2.16%E -0.750%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -5.58%E -3.90%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-02 18:19 |
| betPARX | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -2.16%E -0.750%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -5.58%E -3.90%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-02 18:20 |
| Bally Bet | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -2.16%E -0.750%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -5.58%E -3.90%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-02 18:20 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -2.16%E -0.750%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -5.58%E -3.90%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-02 18:19 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.87%EV -3.18%E -1.12%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 66.13%EV -3.60%E -2.47%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-06-02 18:20 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.87%EV -3.18%E -1.12%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 66.13%EV -3.60%E -2.47%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-06-02 18:20 |
| Bovada | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.18%E -1.12%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.92%E -3.42%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-02 18:18 |
| BetAnything | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.18%E -1.12%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.92%E -3.42%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-02 18:19 |
| TABtouch | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -3.18%E -1.12%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.24%E -4.40%K -14.86%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-02 18:19 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -3.18%E -1.12%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -6.90%E -4.89%K -16.83%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-02 18:19 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -3.18%E -1.12%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -6.90%E -4.89%K -16.83%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-02 18:19 |
| SportsBet | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.49%EV -3.52%E -1.24%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.51%EV -5.58%E -3.90%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-02 18:18 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.49%EV -4.20%E -1.49%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.51%EV -6.24%E -4.40%K -14.86%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-02 18:15 |
| GTbets | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.73%EV -4.88%E -1.74%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.27%EV -1.62%E -1.09%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-06-02 18:15 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -4.88%E -1.74%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -2.94%E -2.00%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-02 18:20 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -4.88%E -1.74%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -2.94%E -2.00%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-02 18:20 |
| theScore Bet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -4.88%E -1.74%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -2.94%E -2.00%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-02 18:19 |
| Bet Right | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.88%E -1.74%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.92%E -3.42%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-02 18:19 |
| BetMGM | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.88%E -1.74%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.92%E -3.42%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-02 18:19 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -4.88%E -1.74%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.24%E -4.40%K -14.86%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-02 18:19 |
| Paddy Power | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -4.88%E -1.74%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.56%E -5.40%K -18.90%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-02 18:19 |
| MyBookie.ag | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.58%E -2.39%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.26%E -2.94%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-02 18:20 |
| PlayUp | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.58%E -2.39%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.26%E -2.94%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-02 18:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.58%E -2.39%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.26%E -2.94%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-02 18:20 |
| Neds | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.58%E -2.39%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.26%E -2.94%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-02 18:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.58%E -2.39%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.92%E -3.42%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-02 18:19 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.58%E -2.39%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.92%E -3.42%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-02 18:14 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.58%E -2.39%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.92%E -3.42%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-02 18:20 |
| TAB | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.58%E -2.39%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.92%E -3.42%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-02 18:19 |
| Everygame | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.58%E -2.39%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.92%E -3.42%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-02 18:17 |
| 888sport | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.58%E -2.39%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.92%E -3.42%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-02 18:20 |
| William Hill | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.58%E -2.39%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.92%E -3.42%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-02 18:19 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.58%E -2.39%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.92%E -3.42%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-02 18:19 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.58%E -2.39%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.92%E -3.42%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-02 18:19 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -6.58%E -2.39%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.58%E -3.90%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-02 18:20 |
| Betway | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.58%E -2.39%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.56%E -5.40%K -18.90%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-02 18:19 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.58%E -2.39%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.56%E -5.40%K -18.90%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-02 18:20 |
| Bet Victor | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.58%E -2.39%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.56%E -5.40%K -18.90%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-02 18:13 |
| Fliff | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -6.58%E -2.39%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.59%EV -8.88%E -6.44%K -23.37%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-06-02 18:20 |
| DraftKings | 2.71I 36.90%NM 35.17%EV -7.93%E -2.93%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.83%EV -2.94%E -2.00%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-02 18:20 |
| Betsson | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.27%E -3.06%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.26%E -2.94%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-02 18:20 |
| NordicBet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.27%E -3.06%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.26%E -2.94%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-02 18:20 |
| Fanatics | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -8.27%E -3.06%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -4.92%E -3.42%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-02 18:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -8.27%E -3.06%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.56%E -5.40%K -18.90%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-02 18:20 |
| Coral | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -8.27%E -3.06%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.56%E -5.40%K -18.90%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-02 18:20 |
| Caesars | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -9.97%E -3.76%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -4.26%E -2.94%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-02 18:19 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (6)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.39% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.61% | 0.3% | 2026-06-02 18:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91% | 0.5% | 2026-06-02 18:20 |
| Matchbook | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91% | 0.5% | 2026-06-02 18:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91% | 0.5% | 2026-06-02 18:20 |
| Novig | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.25% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.75% | 1.4% | 2026-06-02 18:20 |
| Smarkets | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.10% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.90% | 2.5% | 2026-06-02 18:20 |