StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Jakub Mensik v Joao Fonseca

Spielbeginn: 2026-06-02 18:30 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

63 Wettanbieter (22 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Jakub Mensik (Heim)

Prognose 33.97%2.94faire Quote
EV +8.71%
Vorteil +2.72%
Kelly +3.96%
Wachstum +0.345%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.20

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
29.82%33.87%33.92%35.37%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.652.822.803.2037.74%35.52%35.71%31.25%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Joao Fonseca (Auswärts)

Prognose 66.03%1.51faire Quote
EV -1.62%
Vorteil -1.09%
Kelly -3.30%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.49

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
64.63%66.13%66.08%70.18%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.361.431.441.4973.53%69.71%69.44%67.11%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Jakub Mensik (Heim): 33.97%; Joao Fonseca (Auswärts): 66.03%. Für Jakub Mensik (Heim) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 2.94. 1 Wettanbieter bot eine Schlussquote über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 3.20 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +8.71%.

Wettanbieterquoten (63 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
BetRivers🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV +8.71%E +2.72%K +3.96%G +0.345%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -10.20%E -7.50%K -28.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-02 18:05
Pinnacle🎯2.93I 34.13%NM 33.26%EV -0.460%E -0.157%K -0.238%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 66.74%EV -3.60%E -2.47%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-02 18:20
1xBet🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 32.72%EV -0.800%E -0.274%K -0.417%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.28%EV -6.24%E -4.40%K -14.86%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-02 18:20
Coolbet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.49%EV -1.48%E -0.510%K -0.779%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 66.51%EV -3.60%E -2.47%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-02 18:19
Unibet (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -1.48%E -0.510%K -0.779%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -4.92%E -3.42%K -11.18%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-02 18:14
Codere (IT)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -1.48%E -0.510%K -0.779%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -4.92%E -3.42%K -11.18%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-02 18:15
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -1.48%E -0.510%K -0.779%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -4.92%E -3.42%K -11.18%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-02 18:18
PMU (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -1.48%E -0.510%K -0.779%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.58%E -3.90%K -12.98%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-02 18:19
Marathon Bet🎯2.89I 34.60%NM 33.26%EV -1.82%E -0.629%K -0.962%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.74%EV -4.92%E -3.42%K -11.18%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-02 18:20
Unibet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -2.16%E -0.750%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -5.58%E -3.90%K -12.98%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-02 18:19
Unibet (SE)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -2.16%E -0.750%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -5.58%E -3.90%K -12.98%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-02 18:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -2.16%E -0.750%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -5.58%E -3.90%K -12.98%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-02 18:19
Casumo🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -2.16%E -0.750%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -5.58%E -3.90%K -12.98%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-02 18:20
LeoVegas🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -2.16%E -0.750%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -5.58%E -3.90%K -12.98%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-02 18:20
Unibet (NL)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -2.16%E -0.750%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -5.58%E -3.90%K -12.98%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-02 18:19
Grosvenor🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -2.16%E -0.750%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -5.58%E -3.90%K -12.98%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-02 18:19
FanDuel🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -2.16%E -0.750%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -5.58%E -3.90%K -12.98%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-02 18:20
Svenska Spel🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -2.16%E -0.750%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -5.58%E -3.90%K -12.98%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-02 18:19
betPARX🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -2.16%E -0.750%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -5.58%E -3.90%K -12.98%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-02 18:20
Bally Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -2.16%E -0.750%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -5.58%E -3.90%K -12.98%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-02 18:20
ATG (SE)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -2.16%E -0.750%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -5.58%E -3.90%K -12.98%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-02 18:19
BetOnline.ag🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.87%EV -3.18%E -1.12%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 66.13%EV -3.60%E -2.47%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-02 18:20
LowVig.ag🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.87%EV -3.18%E -1.12%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 66.13%EV -3.60%E -2.47%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-02 18:20
Bovada🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.18%E -1.12%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.92%E -3.42%K -11.18%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-02 18:18
BetAnything🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.18%E -1.12%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.92%E -3.42%K -11.18%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-02 18:19
TABtouch🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -3.18%E -1.12%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.24%E -4.40%K -14.86%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-02 18:19
LiveScore Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -3.18%E -1.12%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -6.90%E -4.89%K -16.83%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-02 18:19
Virgin Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -3.18%E -1.12%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -6.90%E -4.89%K -16.83%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-02 18:19
SportsBet🎯2.84I 35.21%NM 33.49%EV -3.52%E -1.24%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.51%EV -5.58%E -3.90%K -12.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-02 18:18
NetBet (FR)🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 33.49%EV -4.20%E -1.49%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.51%EV -6.24%E -4.40%K -14.86%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-02 18:15
GTbets🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.73%EV -4.88%E -1.74%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.27%EV -1.62%E -1.09%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.8%2026-06-02 18:15
Unibet (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -4.88%E -1.74%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -2.94%E -2.00%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-02 18:20
Winamax (DE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -4.88%E -1.74%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -2.94%E -2.00%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-02 18:20
theScore Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -4.88%E -1.74%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -2.94%E -2.00%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-02 18:19
Bet Right🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.88%E -1.74%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.92%E -3.42%K -11.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-02 18:19
BetMGM🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.88%E -1.74%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.92%E -3.42%K -11.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-02 18:19
Tipico (DE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -4.88%E -1.74%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.24%E -4.40%K -14.86%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-02 18:19
Paddy Power🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -4.88%E -1.74%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.56%E -5.40%K -18.90%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-02 18:19
MyBookie.ag🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.58%E -2.39%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.26%E -2.94%K -9.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-02 18:20
PlayUp🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.58%E -2.39%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.26%E -2.94%K -9.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-02 18:19
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.58%E -2.39%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.26%E -2.94%K -9.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-02 18:20
Neds🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.58%E -2.39%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.26%E -2.94%K -9.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-02 18:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.58%E -2.39%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.92%E -3.42%K -11.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-02 18:19
Betclic (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.58%E -2.39%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.92%E -3.42%K -11.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-02 18:14
Winamax (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.58%E -2.39%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.92%E -3.42%K -11.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-02 18:20
TAB🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.58%E -2.39%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.92%E -3.42%K -11.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-02 18:19
Everygame🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.58%E -2.39%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.92%E -3.42%K -11.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-02 18:17
888sport🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.58%E -2.39%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.92%E -3.42%K -11.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-02 18:20
William Hill🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.58%E -2.39%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.92%E -3.42%K -11.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-02 18:19
888sport (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.58%E -2.39%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.92%E -3.42%K -11.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-02 18:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.58%E -2.39%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.92%E -3.42%K -11.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-02 18:19
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -6.58%E -2.39%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.58%E -3.90%K -12.98%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-02 18:20
Betway🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.58%E -2.39%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.56%E -5.40%K -18.90%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-02 18:19
Betr (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.58%E -2.39%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.56%E -5.40%K -18.90%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-02 18:20
Bet Victor🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.58%E -2.39%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.56%E -5.40%K -18.90%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-02 18:13
Fliff🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -6.58%E -2.39%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 66.59%EV -8.88%E -6.44%K -23.37%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-02 18:20
DraftKings🎯2.71I 36.90%NM 35.17%EV -7.93%E -2.93%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.83%EV -2.94%E -2.00%K -6.26%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-02 18:20
Betsson🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.27%E -3.06%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.26%E -2.94%K -9.47%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-02 18:20
NordicBet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.27%E -3.06%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.26%E -2.94%K -9.47%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-02 18:20
Fanatics🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -8.27%E -3.06%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -4.92%E -3.42%K -11.18%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-02 18:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -8.27%E -3.06%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.56%E -5.40%K -18.90%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-02 18:20
Coral🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -8.27%E -3.06%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.56%E -5.40%K -18.90%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-02 18:20
Caesars🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -9.97%E -3.76%K -6.04%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -4.26%E -2.94%K -9.47%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-02 18:19
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 34.39%1.52I 65.79%NM 65.61%0.3%2026-06-02 18:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91%0.5%2026-06-02 18:20
Matchbook2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91%0.5%2026-06-02 18:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91%0.5%2026-06-02 18:20
Novig2.88I 34.72%NM 34.25%1.50I 66.67%NM 65.75%1.4%2026-06-02 18:20
Smarkets2.86I 34.97%NM 34.10%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.90%2.5%2026-06-02 18:20