Language:English
Jakub Mensik v Alexander Zverev
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Jakub Mensik (Local)
Prediction 24.89%4.02fair odd
EV +4.04%
Edge +0.966%
Kelly +1.27%
Growth +0.051%
assuming max odds 4.18
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.30%24.88%24.83%26.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.563.823.854.1828.09%26.15%25.97%23.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Alexander Zverev (Visit)
Prediction 75.11%1.33fair odd
EV -2.36%
Edge -1.81%
Kelly -7.85%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
73.25%75.12%75.17%76.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.251.271.271.3080.00%78.80%78.74%76.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Jakub Mensik (Local): 24.89%; Alexander Zverev (Visit): 75.11%. For Jakub Mensik (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.02. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.18, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.04%.
Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.18I 23.92%NM 23.30%EV +4.04%E +0.966%K +1.27%G +0.051% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.70%EV -4.61%E -3.63%K -17.07%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-06-05 12:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -0.444%E -0.111%K -0.148%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -4.61%E -3.63%K -17.07%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-05 11:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -0.444%E -0.111%K -0.148%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -5.36%E -4.25%K -20.62%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-05 12:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -0.444%E -0.111%K -0.148%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.11%E -4.89%K -24.45%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-05 12:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -0.444%E -0.111%K -0.148%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.11%E -4.89%K -24.45%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-04 12:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -0.444%E -0.111%K -0.148%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.11%E -4.89%K -24.45%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-05 12:19 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.47%EV -1.69%E -0.427%K -0.572%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.53%EV -3.86%E -3.01%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-06-05 11:49 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.86%EV -2.93%E -0.752%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.14%EV -3.11%E -2.41%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-06-05 12:19 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.71%EV -2.93%E -0.752%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.29%EV -3.86%E -3.01%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-05 12:19 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -2.93%E -0.752%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.61%E -3.63%K -17.07%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-05 11:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -2.93%E -0.752%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.61%E -3.63%K -17.07%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-05 11:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -2.93%E -0.752%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.61%E -3.63%K -17.07%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-05 11:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -2.93%E -0.752%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.61%E -3.63%K -17.07%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-05 11:49 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -2.93%E -0.752%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.61%E -3.63%K -17.07%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-05 12:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -2.93%E -0.752%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.61%E -3.63%K -17.07%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-05 12:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -2.93%E -0.752%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.61%E -3.63%K -17.07%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-05 11:49 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -2.93%E -0.752%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.61%E -3.63%K -17.07%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-05 11:49 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -2.93%E -0.752%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.61%E -3.63%K -17.07%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-05 11:49 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -2.93%E -0.752%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.61%E -3.63%K -17.07%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-05 12:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -2.93%E -0.752%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.61%E -3.63%K -17.07%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-05 11:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -2.93%E -0.752%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.61%E -3.63%K -17.07%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-05 11:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -2.93%E -0.752%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.61%E -3.63%K -17.07%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-05 12:20 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -2.93%E -0.752%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.61%E -3.63%K -17.07%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-05 12:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -2.93%E -0.752%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.36%E -4.25%K -20.62%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-05 11:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.89I 25.71%NM 24.76%EV -3.18%E -0.818%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.24%EV -3.86%E -3.01%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-05 12:19 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.89I 25.71%NM 24.76%EV -3.18%E -0.818%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.24%EV -3.86%E -3.01%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-05 12:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.86I 25.91%NM 24.90%EV -3.93%E -1.02%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.10%EV -3.86%E -3.01%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-05 12:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -4.18%E -1.08%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -4.61%E -3.63%K -17.07%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-05 12:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -4.18%E -1.08%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.36%E -4.25%K -20.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-05 11:49 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -4.18%E -1.08%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -6.11%E -4.89%K -24.45%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-05 12:19 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -4.18%E -1.08%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -6.11%E -4.89%K -24.45%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-05 12:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -5.42%E -1.43%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.11%E -2.41%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-05 12:19 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -5.42%E -1.43%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.11%E -2.41%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-05 12:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -5.42%E -1.43%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -3.86%E -3.01%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-05 11:49 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.42%E -1.43%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.61%E -3.63%K -17.07%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-05 12:19 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -5.42%E -1.43%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.11%E -4.89%K -24.45%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-05 11:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -5.42%E -1.43%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.11%E -4.89%K -24.45%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-05 11:49 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -5.42%E -1.43%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.11%E -4.89%K -24.45%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-05 04:50 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -5.42%E -1.43%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.11%E -4.89%K -24.45%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-05 12:19 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.78I 26.46%NM 24.85%EV -5.92%E -1.57%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.15%EV -6.11%E -4.89%K -24.45%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-05 09:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -6.67%E -1.78%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.11%E -2.41%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-05 08:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -6.67%E -1.78%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -3.86%E -3.01%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-05 12:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -6.67%E -1.78%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -3.86%E -3.01%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-05 12:19 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -6.67%E -1.78%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -3.86%E -3.01%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-05 12:19 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -6.67%E -1.78%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -3.86%E -3.01%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-05 10:19 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -6.67%E -1.78%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.11%E -4.89%K -24.45%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-05 12:19 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -6.67%E -1.78%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.11%E -4.89%K -24.45%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-05 12:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -7.91%E -2.14%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -4.61%E -3.63%K -17.07%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-05 12:20 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -7.91%E -2.14%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.11%E -4.89%K -24.45%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-05 12:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.66I 27.32%NM 26.06%EV -8.91%E -2.43%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.94%EV -3.11%E -2.41%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-05 10:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -9.15%E -2.51%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -4.61%E -3.63%K -17.07%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-05 12:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -9.15%E -2.51%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -4.61%E -3.63%K -17.07%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-05 12:19 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.40%E -2.89%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.11%E -2.41%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-05 10:09 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -10.40%E -2.89%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -3.86%E -3.01%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-05 08:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -10.40%E -2.89%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -3.86%E -3.01%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-05 08:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -10.40%E -2.89%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.11%E -4.89%K -24.45%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-05 08:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -10.40%E -2.89%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.11%E -4.89%K -24.45%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-05 08:49 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.75%EV -11.39%E -3.20%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.25%EV -2.36%E -1.81%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-05 12:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.21% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.79% | 0.2% | 2026-06-05 12:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.21% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.79% | 0.2% | 2026-06-05 12:20 |
| Novig◎ | 4.33I 23.09%NM 22.95% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 77.05% | 0.6% | 2026-06-05 12:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36% | 0.7% | 2026-06-05 12:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92% | 0.8% | 2026-06-05 12:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92% | 0.8% | 2026-06-05 12:10 |