Langue:Français
Jakub Mensik v Alexander Zverev
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Jakub Mensik (Local)
Prévision 24.89%4.02cote équitable
EV +4.04%
Avantage +0.966%
Kelly +1.27%
Croissance +0.051%
avec la cote maximale 4.18
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.30%24.88%24.83%26.75%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.563.823.854.1828.09%26.15%25.97%23.92%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Alexander Zverev (Visiteur)
Prévision 75.11%1.33cote équitable
EV -2.36%
Avantage -1.81%
Kelly -7.85%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.30
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
73.25%75.12%75.17%76.70%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.251.271.271.3080.00%78.80%78.74%76.92%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Jakub Mensik (Local) : 24.89% ; Alexander Zverev (Visiteur) : 75.11%. Pour Jakub Mensik (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.02. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.18, soit une espérance positive de +4.04%.
Cotes des opérateurs (58 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.18I 23.92%NM 23.30%EV +4.04%E +0.966%K +1.27%G +0.051% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.70%EV -4.61%E -3.63%K -17.07%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-06-05 12:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -0.444%E -0.111%K -0.148%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -4.61%E -3.63%K -17.07%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-05 11:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -0.444%E -0.111%K -0.148%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -5.36%E -4.25%K -20.62%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-05 12:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -0.444%E -0.111%K -0.148%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.11%E -4.89%K -24.45%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-05 12:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -0.444%E -0.111%K -0.148%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.11%E -4.89%K -24.45%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-04 12:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -0.444%E -0.111%K -0.148%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.11%E -4.89%K -24.45%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-05 12:19 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.47%EV -1.69%E -0.427%K -0.572%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.53%EV -3.86%E -3.01%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-06-05 11:49 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.86%EV -2.93%E -0.752%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.14%EV -3.11%E -2.41%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-06-05 12:19 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.71%EV -2.93%E -0.752%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.29%EV -3.86%E -3.01%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-05 12:19 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -2.93%E -0.752%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.61%E -3.63%K -17.07%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-05 11:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -2.93%E -0.752%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.61%E -3.63%K -17.07%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-05 11:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -2.93%E -0.752%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.61%E -3.63%K -17.07%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-05 11:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -2.93%E -0.752%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.61%E -3.63%K -17.07%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-05 11:49 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -2.93%E -0.752%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.61%E -3.63%K -17.07%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-05 12:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -2.93%E -0.752%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.61%E -3.63%K -17.07%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-05 12:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -2.93%E -0.752%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.61%E -3.63%K -17.07%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-05 11:49 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -2.93%E -0.752%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.61%E -3.63%K -17.07%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-05 11:49 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -2.93%E -0.752%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.61%E -3.63%K -17.07%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-05 11:49 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -2.93%E -0.752%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.61%E -3.63%K -17.07%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-05 12:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -2.93%E -0.752%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.61%E -3.63%K -17.07%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-05 11:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -2.93%E -0.752%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.61%E -3.63%K -17.07%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-05 11:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -2.93%E -0.752%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.61%E -3.63%K -17.07%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-05 12:20 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -2.93%E -0.752%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.61%E -3.63%K -17.07%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-05 12:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -2.93%E -0.752%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.36%E -4.25%K -20.62%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-05 11:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.89I 25.71%NM 24.76%EV -3.18%E -0.818%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.24%EV -3.86%E -3.01%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-05 12:19 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.89I 25.71%NM 24.76%EV -3.18%E -0.818%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.24%EV -3.86%E -3.01%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-05 12:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.86I 25.91%NM 24.90%EV -3.93%E -1.02%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.10%EV -3.86%E -3.01%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-05 12:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -4.18%E -1.08%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -4.61%E -3.63%K -17.07%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-05 12:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -4.18%E -1.08%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.36%E -4.25%K -20.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-05 11:49 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -4.18%E -1.08%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -6.11%E -4.89%K -24.45%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-05 12:19 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -4.18%E -1.08%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -6.11%E -4.89%K -24.45%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-05 12:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -5.42%E -1.43%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.11%E -2.41%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-05 12:19 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -5.42%E -1.43%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.11%E -2.41%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-05 12:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -5.42%E -1.43%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -3.86%E -3.01%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-05 11:49 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.42%E -1.43%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.61%E -3.63%K -17.07%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-05 12:19 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -5.42%E -1.43%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.11%E -4.89%K -24.45%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-05 11:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -5.42%E -1.43%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.11%E -4.89%K -24.45%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-05 11:49 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -5.42%E -1.43%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.11%E -4.89%K -24.45%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-05 04:50 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -5.42%E -1.43%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.11%E -4.89%K -24.45%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-05 12:19 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.78I 26.46%NM 24.85%EV -5.92%E -1.57%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.15%EV -6.11%E -4.89%K -24.45%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-05 09:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -6.67%E -1.78%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.11%E -2.41%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-05 08:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -6.67%E -1.78%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -3.86%E -3.01%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-05 12:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -6.67%E -1.78%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -3.86%E -3.01%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-05 12:19 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -6.67%E -1.78%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -3.86%E -3.01%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-05 12:19 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -6.67%E -1.78%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -3.86%E -3.01%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-05 10:19 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -6.67%E -1.78%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.11%E -4.89%K -24.45%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-05 12:19 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -6.67%E -1.78%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.11%E -4.89%K -24.45%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-05 12:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -7.91%E -2.14%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -4.61%E -3.63%K -17.07%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-05 12:20 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -7.91%E -2.14%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.11%E -4.89%K -24.45%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-05 12:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.66I 27.32%NM 26.06%EV -8.91%E -2.43%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.94%EV -3.11%E -2.41%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-05 10:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -9.15%E -2.51%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -4.61%E -3.63%K -17.07%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-05 12:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -9.15%E -2.51%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -4.61%E -3.63%K -17.07%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-05 12:19 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.40%E -2.89%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.11%E -2.41%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-05 10:09 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -10.40%E -2.89%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -3.86%E -3.01%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-05 08:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -10.40%E -2.89%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -3.86%E -3.01%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-05 08:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -10.40%E -2.89%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.11%E -4.89%K -24.45%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-05 08:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -10.40%E -2.89%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.11%E -4.89%K -24.45%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-05 08:49 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.75%EV -11.39%E -3.20%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.25%EV -2.36%E -1.81%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-05 12:20 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.21% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.79% | 0.2% | 2026-06-05 12:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.21% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.79% | 0.2% | 2026-06-05 12:20 |
| Novig◎ | 4.33I 23.09%NM 22.95% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 77.05% | 0.6% | 2026-06-05 12:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36% | 0.7% | 2026-06-05 12:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92% | 0.8% | 2026-06-05 12:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92% | 0.8% | 2026-06-05 12:10 |