مدرسة الاحتمالات

Jakub Mensik v Alexander Zverev

البداية: 2026-06-05 12:30 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

58 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Jakub Mensik (المضيف)

التنبؤ 24.89%4.02السعر العادل
EV +4.04%
الأفضلية +0.966%
Kelly +1.27%
النمو +0.051%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.18

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
23.30%24.88%24.83%26.75%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.563.823.854.1828.09%26.15%25.97%23.92%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Alexander Zverev (الضيف)

التنبؤ 75.11%1.33السعر العادل
EV -2.36%
الأفضلية -1.81%
Kelly -7.85%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.30

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
73.25%75.12%75.17%76.70%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.251.271.271.3080.00%78.80%78.74%76.92%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (58 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle4.18I 23.92%NM 23.30%EV +4.04%E +0.966%K +1.27%G +0.051%1.27I 78.74%NM 76.70%EV -4.61%E -3.63%K -17.07%G +0.000%2.7%2026-06-05 12:20
Hard Rock Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -0.444%E -0.111%K -0.148%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -4.61%E -3.63%K -17.07%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-05 11:59
FanDuel4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -0.444%E -0.111%K -0.148%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -5.36%E -4.25%K -20.62%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-05 12:19
Bovada4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -0.444%E -0.111%K -0.148%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.11%E -4.89%K -24.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-05 12:20
Bet Victor4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -0.444%E -0.111%K -0.148%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.11%E -4.89%K -24.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-04 12:40
Paddy Power4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -0.444%E -0.111%K -0.148%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.11%E -4.89%K -24.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-05 12:19
PMU (FR)3.95I 25.32%NM 24.47%EV -1.69%E -0.427%K -0.572%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 75.53%EV -3.86%E -3.01%K -13.78%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-05 11:49
Coolbet3.90I 25.64%NM 24.86%EV -2.93%E -0.752%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 75.14%EV -3.11%E -2.41%K -10.71%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-05 12:19
Winamax (DE)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.71%EV -2.93%E -0.752%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 75.29%EV -3.86%E -3.01%K -13.78%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-05 12:19
Unibet3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -2.93%E -0.752%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.61%E -3.63%K -17.07%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-05 11:49
BetRivers3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -2.93%E -0.752%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.61%E -3.63%K -17.07%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-05 11:50
Casumo3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -2.93%E -0.752%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.61%E -3.63%K -17.07%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-05 11:50
Unibet (SE)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -2.93%E -0.752%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.61%E -3.63%K -17.07%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-05 11:49
LeoVegas3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -2.93%E -0.752%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.61%E -3.63%K -17.07%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-05 12:00
LeoVegas (SE)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -2.93%E -0.752%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.61%E -3.63%K -17.07%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-05 12:00
Unibet (NL)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -2.93%E -0.752%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.61%E -3.63%K -17.07%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-05 11:49
Grosvenor3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -2.93%E -0.752%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.61%E -3.63%K -17.07%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-05 11:49
betPARX3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -2.93%E -0.752%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.61%E -3.63%K -17.07%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-05 11:49
Bally Bet3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -2.93%E -0.752%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.61%E -3.63%K -17.07%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-05 12:00
ATG (SE)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -2.93%E -0.752%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.61%E -3.63%K -17.07%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-05 11:50
Svenska Spel3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -2.93%E -0.752%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.61%E -3.63%K -17.07%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-05 11:50
theScore Bet3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -2.93%E -0.752%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.61%E -3.63%K -17.07%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-05 12:20
NetBet (FR)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -2.93%E -0.752%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.61%E -3.63%K -17.07%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-05 12:20
Bet Right3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -2.93%E -0.752%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.36%E -4.25%K -20.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-05 11:10
LowVig.ag3.89I 25.71%NM 24.76%EV -3.18%E -0.818%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 75.24%EV -3.86%E -3.01%K -13.78%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-05 12:19
BetOnline.ag3.89I 25.71%NM 24.76%EV -3.18%E -0.818%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 75.24%EV -3.86%E -3.01%K -13.78%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-05 12:20
Marathon Bet3.86I 25.91%NM 24.90%EV -3.93%E -1.02%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 75.10%EV -3.86%E -3.01%K -13.78%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-05 12:20
Winamax (FR)3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -4.18%E -1.08%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -4.61%E -3.63%K -17.07%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-05 12:20
TABtouch3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -4.18%E -1.08%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.36%E -4.25%K -20.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-05 11:49
PlayUp3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -4.18%E -1.08%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -6.11%E -4.89%K -24.45%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-05 12:19
Betclic (FR)3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -4.18%E -1.08%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -6.11%E -4.89%K -24.45%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-05 12:20
Unibet (UK)3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -5.42%E -1.43%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.11%E -2.41%K -10.71%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-05 12:19
Codere (IT)3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -5.42%E -1.43%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.11%E -2.41%K -10.71%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-05 12:20
Unibet (FR)3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -5.42%E -1.43%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -3.86%E -3.01%K -13.78%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-05 11:49
BetAnything3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.42%E -1.43%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.61%E -3.63%K -17.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-05 12:19
LiveScore Bet3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -5.42%E -1.43%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.11%E -4.89%K -24.45%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-05 11:50
Virgin Bet3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -5.42%E -1.43%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.11%E -4.89%K -24.45%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-05 11:49
Tipico (DE)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -5.42%E -1.43%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.11%E -4.89%K -24.45%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-05 04:50
Everygame3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -5.42%E -1.43%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.11%E -4.89%K -24.45%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-05 12:19
GTbets3.78I 26.46%NM 24.85%EV -5.92%E -1.57%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.15%EV -6.11%E -4.89%K -24.45%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-05 09:00
BetMGM3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -6.67%E -1.78%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.11%E -2.41%K -10.71%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-05 08:49
Betsson3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -6.67%E -1.78%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -3.86%E -3.01%K -13.78%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-05 12:19
NordicBet3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -6.67%E -1.78%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -3.86%E -3.01%K -13.78%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-05 12:19
MyBookie.ag3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -6.67%E -1.78%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -3.86%E -3.01%K -13.78%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-05 12:19
TAB3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -6.67%E -1.78%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -3.86%E -3.01%K -13.78%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-05 10:19
Betway3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -6.67%E -1.78%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.11%E -4.89%K -24.45%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-05 12:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -6.67%E -1.78%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.11%E -4.89%K -24.45%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-05 12:20
Fanatics3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -7.91%E -2.14%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -4.61%E -3.63%K -17.07%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-05 12:20
Fliff3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -7.91%E -2.14%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.11%E -4.89%K -24.45%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-05 12:20
DraftKings3.66I 27.32%NM 26.06%EV -8.91%E -2.43%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.94%EV -3.11%E -2.41%K -10.71%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-05 10:30
PointsBet (AU)3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -9.15%E -2.51%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -4.61%E -3.63%K -17.07%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-05 12:10
Betr (AU)3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -9.15%E -2.51%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -4.61%E -3.63%K -17.07%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-05 12:19
William Hill3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.40%E -2.89%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.11%E -2.41%K -10.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-05 10:09
Neds3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -10.40%E -2.89%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -3.86%E -3.01%K -13.78%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-05 08:49
Ladbrokes (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -10.40%E -2.89%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -3.86%E -3.01%K -13.78%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-05 08:40
Ladbrokes (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -10.40%E -2.89%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.11%E -4.89%K -24.45%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-05 08:49
Coral3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -10.40%E -2.89%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.11%E -4.89%K -24.45%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-05 08:49
1xBet3.56I 28.09%NM 26.75%EV -11.39%E -3.20%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.25%EV -2.36%E -1.81%K -7.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-05 12:20
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.30I 23.26%NM 23.21%1.30I 76.92%NM 76.79%0.2%2026-06-05 12:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.30I 23.26%NM 23.21%1.30I 76.92%NM 76.79%0.2%2026-06-05 12:20
Novig4.33I 23.09%NM 22.95%1.29I 77.52%NM 77.05%0.6%2026-06-05 12:20
Smarkets4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36%0.7%2026-06-05 12:10
Matchbook4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%0.8%2026-06-05 12:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%0.8%2026-06-05 12:10