La escuela de los momios

Jakub Mensik v Alexander Zverev

Inicio: 2026-06-05 12:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

58 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Jakub Mensik (Local)

Predicción 24.89%4.02momio equitativo
EV +4.04%
Ventaja +0.966%
Kelly +1.27%
Crecimiento +0.051%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.18

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.30%24.88%24.83%26.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.563.823.854.1828.09%26.15%25.97%23.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Alexander Zverev (Visitante)

Predicción 75.11%1.33momio equitativo
EV -2.36%
Ventaja -1.81%
Kelly -7.85%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
73.25%75.12%75.17%76.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.251.271.271.3080.00%78.80%78.74%76.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Pinnacle4.18I 23.92%NM 23.30%EV +4.04%E +0.966%K +1.27%G +0.051%1.27I 78.74%NM 76.70%EV -4.61%E -3.63%K -17.07%G +0.000%2.7%2026-06-05 12:20
Hard Rock Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -0.444%E -0.111%K -0.148%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -4.61%E -3.63%K -17.07%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-05 11:59
FanDuel4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -0.444%E -0.111%K -0.148%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -5.36%E -4.25%K -20.62%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-05 12:19
Bovada4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -0.444%E -0.111%K -0.148%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.11%E -4.89%K -24.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-05 12:20
Bet Victor4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -0.444%E -0.111%K -0.148%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.11%E -4.89%K -24.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-04 12:40
Paddy Power4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -0.444%E -0.111%K -0.148%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.11%E -4.89%K -24.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-05 12:19
PMU (FR)3.95I 25.32%NM 24.47%EV -1.69%E -0.427%K -0.572%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 75.53%EV -3.86%E -3.01%K -13.78%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-05 11:49
Coolbet3.90I 25.64%NM 24.86%EV -2.93%E -0.752%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 75.14%EV -3.11%E -2.41%K -10.71%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-05 12:19
Winamax (DE)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.71%EV -2.93%E -0.752%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 75.29%EV -3.86%E -3.01%K -13.78%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-05 12:19
Unibet3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -2.93%E -0.752%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.61%E -3.63%K -17.07%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-05 11:49
BetRivers3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -2.93%E -0.752%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.61%E -3.63%K -17.07%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-05 11:50
Casumo3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -2.93%E -0.752%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.61%E -3.63%K -17.07%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-05 11:50
Unibet (SE)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -2.93%E -0.752%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.61%E -3.63%K -17.07%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-05 11:49
LeoVegas3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -2.93%E -0.752%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.61%E -3.63%K -17.07%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-05 12:00
LeoVegas (SE)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -2.93%E -0.752%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.61%E -3.63%K -17.07%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-05 12:00
Unibet (NL)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -2.93%E -0.752%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.61%E -3.63%K -17.07%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-05 11:49
Grosvenor3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -2.93%E -0.752%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.61%E -3.63%K -17.07%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-05 11:49
betPARX3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -2.93%E -0.752%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.61%E -3.63%K -17.07%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-05 11:49
Bally Bet3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -2.93%E -0.752%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.61%E -3.63%K -17.07%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-05 12:00
ATG (SE)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -2.93%E -0.752%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.61%E -3.63%K -17.07%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-05 11:50
Svenska Spel3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -2.93%E -0.752%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.61%E -3.63%K -17.07%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-05 11:50
theScore Bet3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -2.93%E -0.752%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.61%E -3.63%K -17.07%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-05 12:20
NetBet (FR)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -2.93%E -0.752%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.61%E -3.63%K -17.07%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-05 12:20
Bet Right3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -2.93%E -0.752%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.36%E -4.25%K -20.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-05 11:10
LowVig.ag3.89I 25.71%NM 24.76%EV -3.18%E -0.818%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 75.24%EV -3.86%E -3.01%K -13.78%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-05 12:19
BetOnline.ag3.89I 25.71%NM 24.76%EV -3.18%E -0.818%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 75.24%EV -3.86%E -3.01%K -13.78%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-05 12:20
Marathon Bet3.86I 25.91%NM 24.90%EV -3.93%E -1.02%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 75.10%EV -3.86%E -3.01%K -13.78%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-05 12:20
Winamax (FR)3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -4.18%E -1.08%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -4.61%E -3.63%K -17.07%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-05 12:20
TABtouch3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -4.18%E -1.08%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.36%E -4.25%K -20.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-05 11:49
PlayUp3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -4.18%E -1.08%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -6.11%E -4.89%K -24.45%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-05 12:19
Betclic (FR)3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -4.18%E -1.08%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -6.11%E -4.89%K -24.45%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-05 12:20
Unibet (UK)3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -5.42%E -1.43%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.11%E -2.41%K -10.71%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-05 12:19
Codere (IT)3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -5.42%E -1.43%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.11%E -2.41%K -10.71%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-05 12:20
Unibet (FR)3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -5.42%E -1.43%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -3.86%E -3.01%K -13.78%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-05 11:49
BetAnything3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.42%E -1.43%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.61%E -3.63%K -17.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-05 12:19
LiveScore Bet3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -5.42%E -1.43%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.11%E -4.89%K -24.45%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-05 11:50
Virgin Bet3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -5.42%E -1.43%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.11%E -4.89%K -24.45%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-05 11:49
Tipico (DE)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -5.42%E -1.43%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.11%E -4.89%K -24.45%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-05 04:50
Everygame3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -5.42%E -1.43%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.11%E -4.89%K -24.45%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-05 12:19
GTbets3.78I 26.46%NM 24.85%EV -5.92%E -1.57%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.15%EV -6.11%E -4.89%K -24.45%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-05 09:00
BetMGM3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -6.67%E -1.78%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.11%E -2.41%K -10.71%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-05 08:49
Betsson3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -6.67%E -1.78%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -3.86%E -3.01%K -13.78%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-05 12:19
NordicBet3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -6.67%E -1.78%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -3.86%E -3.01%K -13.78%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-05 12:19
MyBookie.ag3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -6.67%E -1.78%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -3.86%E -3.01%K -13.78%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-05 12:19
TAB3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -6.67%E -1.78%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -3.86%E -3.01%K -13.78%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-05 10:19
Betway3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -6.67%E -1.78%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.11%E -4.89%K -24.45%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-05 12:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -6.67%E -1.78%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.11%E -4.89%K -24.45%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-05 12:20
Fanatics3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -7.91%E -2.14%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -4.61%E -3.63%K -17.07%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-05 12:20
Fliff3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -7.91%E -2.14%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.11%E -4.89%K -24.45%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-05 12:20
DraftKings3.66I 27.32%NM 26.06%EV -8.91%E -2.43%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.94%EV -3.11%E -2.41%K -10.71%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-05 10:30
PointsBet (AU)3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -9.15%E -2.51%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -4.61%E -3.63%K -17.07%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-05 12:10
Betr (AU)3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -9.15%E -2.51%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -4.61%E -3.63%K -17.07%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-05 12:19
William Hill3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.40%E -2.89%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.11%E -2.41%K -10.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-05 10:09
Neds3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -10.40%E -2.89%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -3.86%E -3.01%K -13.78%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-05 08:49
Ladbrokes (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -10.40%E -2.89%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -3.86%E -3.01%K -13.78%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-05 08:40
Ladbrokes (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -10.40%E -2.89%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.11%E -4.89%K -24.45%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-05 08:49
Coral3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -10.40%E -2.89%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.11%E -4.89%K -24.45%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-05 08:49
1xBet3.56I 28.09%NM 26.75%EV -11.39%E -3.20%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.25%EV -2.36%E -1.81%K -7.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-05 12:20
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.30I 23.26%NM 23.21%1.30I 76.92%NM 76.79%0.2%2026-06-05 12:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.30I 23.26%NM 23.21%1.30I 76.92%NM 76.79%0.2%2026-06-05 12:20
Novig4.33I 23.09%NM 22.95%1.29I 77.52%NM 77.05%0.6%2026-06-05 12:20
Smarkets4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36%0.7%2026-06-05 12:10
Matchbook4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%0.8%2026-06-05 12:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%0.8%2026-06-05 12:10