Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Jakub Mensik v Alexander Zverev

Início: 2026-06-05 12:30 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

58 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Jakub Mensik (Local)

Previsão 24.89%4.02odd justa
EV +4.04%
Vantagem +0.966%
Kelly +1.27%
Crescimento +0.051%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.18

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
23.30%24.88%24.83%26.75%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.563.823.854.1828.09%26.15%25.97%23.92%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Alexander Zverev (Visitante)

Previsão 75.11%1.33odd justa
EV -2.36%
Vantagem -1.81%
Kelly -7.85%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
73.25%75.12%75.17%76.70%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.251.271.271.3080.00%78.80%78.74%76.92%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Jakub Mensik (Local): 24.89%; Alexander Zverev (Visitante): 75.11%. Para Jakub Mensik (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 4.02. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 4.18, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +4.04%.

Odds das casas de apostas (58 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯4.18I 23.92%NM 23.30%EV +4.04%E +0.966%K +1.27%G +0.051%1.27I 78.74%NM 76.70%EV -4.61%E -3.63%K -17.07%G +0.000%2.7%2026-06-05 12:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -0.444%E -0.111%K -0.148%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -4.61%E -3.63%K -17.07%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-05 11:59
FanDuel🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -0.444%E -0.111%K -0.148%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -5.36%E -4.25%K -20.62%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-05 12:19
Bovada🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -0.444%E -0.111%K -0.148%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.11%E -4.89%K -24.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-05 12:20
Bet Victor🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -0.444%E -0.111%K -0.148%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.11%E -4.89%K -24.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-04 12:40
Paddy Power🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -0.444%E -0.111%K -0.148%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.11%E -4.89%K -24.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-05 12:19
PMU (FR)🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 24.47%EV -1.69%E -0.427%K -0.572%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 75.53%EV -3.86%E -3.01%K -13.78%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-05 11:49
Coolbet🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.86%EV -2.93%E -0.752%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 75.14%EV -3.11%E -2.41%K -10.71%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-05 12:19
Winamax (DE)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.71%EV -2.93%E -0.752%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 75.29%EV -3.86%E -3.01%K -13.78%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-05 12:19
Unibet🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -2.93%E -0.752%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.61%E -3.63%K -17.07%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-05 11:49
BetRivers🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -2.93%E -0.752%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.61%E -3.63%K -17.07%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-05 11:50
Casumo🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -2.93%E -0.752%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.61%E -3.63%K -17.07%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-05 11:50
Unibet (SE)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -2.93%E -0.752%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.61%E -3.63%K -17.07%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-05 11:49
LeoVegas🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -2.93%E -0.752%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.61%E -3.63%K -17.07%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-05 12:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -2.93%E -0.752%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.61%E -3.63%K -17.07%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-05 12:00
Unibet (NL)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -2.93%E -0.752%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.61%E -3.63%K -17.07%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-05 11:49
Grosvenor🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -2.93%E -0.752%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.61%E -3.63%K -17.07%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-05 11:49
betPARX🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -2.93%E -0.752%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.61%E -3.63%K -17.07%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-05 11:49
Bally Bet🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -2.93%E -0.752%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.61%E -3.63%K -17.07%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-05 12:00
ATG (SE)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -2.93%E -0.752%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.61%E -3.63%K -17.07%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-05 11:50
Svenska Spel🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -2.93%E -0.752%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.61%E -3.63%K -17.07%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-05 11:50
theScore Bet🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -2.93%E -0.752%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.61%E -3.63%K -17.07%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-05 12:20
NetBet (FR)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -2.93%E -0.752%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.61%E -3.63%K -17.07%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-05 12:20
Bet Right🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -2.93%E -0.752%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.36%E -4.25%K -20.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-05 11:10
LowVig.ag🎯3.89I 25.71%NM 24.76%EV -3.18%E -0.818%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 75.24%EV -3.86%E -3.01%K -13.78%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-05 12:19
BetOnline.ag🎯3.89I 25.71%NM 24.76%EV -3.18%E -0.818%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 75.24%EV -3.86%E -3.01%K -13.78%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-05 12:20
Marathon Bet🎯3.86I 25.91%NM 24.90%EV -3.93%E -1.02%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 75.10%EV -3.86%E -3.01%K -13.78%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-05 12:20
Winamax (FR)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -4.18%E -1.08%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -4.61%E -3.63%K -17.07%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-05 12:20
TABtouch🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -4.18%E -1.08%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.36%E -4.25%K -20.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-05 11:49
PlayUp🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -4.18%E -1.08%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -6.11%E -4.89%K -24.45%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-05 12:19
Betclic (FR)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -4.18%E -1.08%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -6.11%E -4.89%K -24.45%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-05 12:20
Unibet (UK)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -5.42%E -1.43%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.11%E -2.41%K -10.71%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-05 12:19
Codere (IT)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -5.42%E -1.43%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.11%E -2.41%K -10.71%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-05 12:20
Unibet (FR)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -5.42%E -1.43%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -3.86%E -3.01%K -13.78%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-05 11:49
BetAnything🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.42%E -1.43%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.61%E -3.63%K -17.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-05 12:19
LiveScore Bet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -5.42%E -1.43%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.11%E -4.89%K -24.45%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-05 11:50
Virgin Bet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -5.42%E -1.43%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.11%E -4.89%K -24.45%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-05 11:49
Tipico (DE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -5.42%E -1.43%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.11%E -4.89%K -24.45%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-05 04:50
Everygame🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -5.42%E -1.43%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.11%E -4.89%K -24.45%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-05 12:19
GTbets🎯3.78I 26.46%NM 24.85%EV -5.92%E -1.57%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.15%EV -6.11%E -4.89%K -24.45%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-05 09:00
BetMGM🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -6.67%E -1.78%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.11%E -2.41%K -10.71%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-05 08:49
Betsson🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -6.67%E -1.78%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -3.86%E -3.01%K -13.78%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-05 12:19
NordicBet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -6.67%E -1.78%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -3.86%E -3.01%K -13.78%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-05 12:19
MyBookie.ag🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -6.67%E -1.78%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -3.86%E -3.01%K -13.78%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-05 12:19
TAB🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -6.67%E -1.78%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -3.86%E -3.01%K -13.78%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-05 10:19
Betway🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -6.67%E -1.78%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.11%E -4.89%K -24.45%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-05 12:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -6.67%E -1.78%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.11%E -4.89%K -24.45%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-05 12:20
Fanatics🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -7.91%E -2.14%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -4.61%E -3.63%K -17.07%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-05 12:20
Fliff🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -7.91%E -2.14%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.11%E -4.89%K -24.45%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-05 12:20
DraftKings🎯3.66I 27.32%NM 26.06%EV -8.91%E -2.43%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.94%EV -3.11%E -2.41%K -10.71%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-05 10:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -9.15%E -2.51%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -4.61%E -3.63%K -17.07%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-05 12:10
Betr (AU)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -9.15%E -2.51%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -4.61%E -3.63%K -17.07%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-05 12:19
William Hill🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.40%E -2.89%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.11%E -2.41%K -10.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-05 10:09
Neds🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -10.40%E -2.89%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -3.86%E -3.01%K -13.78%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-05 08:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -10.40%E -2.89%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -3.86%E -3.01%K -13.78%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-05 08:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -10.40%E -2.89%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.11%E -4.89%K -24.45%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-05 08:49
Coral🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -10.40%E -2.89%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.11%E -4.89%K -24.45%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-05 08:49
1xBet🎯3.56I 28.09%NM 26.75%EV -11.39%E -3.20%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.25%EV -2.36%E -1.81%K -7.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-05 12:20
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.30I 23.26%NM 23.21%1.30I 76.92%NM 76.79%0.2%2026-06-05 12:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.30I 23.26%NM 23.21%1.30I 76.92%NM 76.79%0.2%2026-06-05 12:20
Novig4.33I 23.09%NM 22.95%1.29I 77.52%NM 77.05%0.6%2026-06-05 12:20
Smarkets4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36%0.7%2026-06-05 12:10
Matchbook4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%0.8%2026-06-05 12:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%0.8%2026-06-05 12:10