Language:English
Jaime Faria v Frances Tiafoe
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Jaime Faria (Local)
Prediction 37.92%2.64fair odd
EV -1.03%
Edge -0.395%
Kelly -0.640%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.61
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.71%37.92%37.89%39.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.382.492.502.6142.02%40.14%40.00%38.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Frances Tiafoe (Visit)
Prediction 62.08%1.61fair odd
EV -2.53%
Edge -1.61%
Kelly -4.45%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.57
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.87%62.08%62.11%63.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.451.531.541.5768.97%65.16%64.94%63.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Jaime Faria (Local): 37.92%; Frances Tiafoe (Visit): 62.08%. For Jaime Faria (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.64. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.61, with an expected value of -1.03%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV -1.03%E -0.395%K -0.640%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.89%EV -4.40%E -2.85%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-30 18:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV -1.03%E -0.395%K -0.640%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.89%EV -4.40%E -2.85%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-30 18:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50%EV -1.41%E -0.542%K -0.881%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50%EV -3.15%E -2.02%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-05-30 18:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -1.41%E -0.542%K -0.881%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -5.64%E -3.71%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-30 18:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.07%EV -2.17%E -0.840%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.93%EV -5.64%E -3.71%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-30 18:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.10%EV -2.93%E -1.14%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.90%EV -6.26%E -4.14%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-30 18:01 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.11%EV -3.30%E -1.30%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.89%EV -2.53%E -1.61%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-05-30 18:09 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -3.30%E -1.30%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -3.15%E -2.02%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-30 18:09 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV -3.30%E -1.30%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20%EV -3.78%E -2.44%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-30 18:09 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV -3.30%E -1.30%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20%EV -3.78%E -2.44%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-30 18:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.30%E -1.30%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.40%E -2.85%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-30 18:09 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.30%E -1.30%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.40%E -2.85%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-30 18:09 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.30%E -1.30%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.88%E -4.59%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-30 18:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.13%EV -3.68%E -1.45%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.87%EV -6.88%E -4.59%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-30 18:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.62%EV -4.44%E -1.76%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.38%EV -5.64%E -3.71%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-30 18:09 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.47%EV -4.44%E -1.76%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.53%EV -6.26%E -4.14%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-30 18:09 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.02%EV -4.82%E -1.92%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.98%EV -4.40%E -2.85%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-30 18:10 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.51I 39.84%NM 37.87%EV -4.82%E -1.92%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.13%EV -5.02%E -3.28%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-30 18:08 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.20%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.15%E -2.02%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-30 18:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.20%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.40%E -2.85%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-30 18:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.20%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.40%E -2.85%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-30 18:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.20%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.40%E -2.85%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-30 18:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.20%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.02%E -3.28%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-30 18:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.20%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.02%E -3.28%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-30 18:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.20%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.02%E -3.28%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-30 18:09 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.20%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.02%E -3.28%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-30 18:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.20%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.02%E -3.28%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-30 18:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.20%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.02%E -3.28%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-30 18:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.20%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.64%E -3.71%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-30 18:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.20%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.64%E -3.71%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-30 18:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.20%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.64%E -3.71%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-30 18:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.20%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.64%E -3.71%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-30 18:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.20%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.64%E -3.71%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-30 18:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.20%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.88%E -4.59%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-30 18:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -5.20%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -8.12%E -5.49%K -16.92%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-30 18:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -5.20%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -8.12%E -5.49%K -16.92%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-30 18:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -5.20%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -9.98%E -6.89%K -22.19%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-30 18:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -5.96%E -2.40%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -3.15%E -2.02%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-30 18:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.96%E -2.40%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.40%E -2.85%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-30 18:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.50%EV -6.72%E -2.73%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.50%EV -4.40%E -2.85%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-30 18:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -7.10%E -2.90%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.15%E -2.02%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-30 18:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -7.10%E -2.90%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.15%E -2.02%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-30 18:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -7.10%E -2.90%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.15%E -2.02%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-30 18:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -7.10%E -2.90%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.15%E -2.02%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-30 18:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -7.10%E -2.90%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.15%E -2.02%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-30 18:09 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -7.10%E -2.90%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.15%E -2.02%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-30 18:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -7.10%E -2.90%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.15%E -2.02%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-30 18:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -7.10%E -2.90%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.15%E -2.02%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-30 18:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -7.10%E -2.90%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.15%E -2.02%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-30 18:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -7.10%E -2.90%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.15%E -2.02%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-30 18:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -7.10%E -2.90%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.15%E -2.02%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-30 18:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -7.10%E -2.90%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.15%E -2.02%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-30 18:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -7.10%E -2.90%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.15%E -2.02%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-30 18:10 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.10%E -2.90%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.02%E -3.28%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-30 18:09 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.10%E -2.90%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.02%E -3.28%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-30 18:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.10%E -2.90%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.88%E -4.59%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-30 18:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -7.86%E -3.23%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -3.15%E -2.02%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-30 18:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -8.99%E -3.75%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -4.40%E -2.85%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-30 18:09 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -8.99%E -3.75%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -4.40%E -2.85%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-30 18:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -8.99%E -3.75%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -4.40%E -2.85%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-30 18:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -8.99%E -3.75%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.02%E -3.28%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-30 18:09 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.99%E -3.75%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.88%E -4.59%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-30 18:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -9.75%E -4.10%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.02%E -3.28%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-30 18:09 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91% | 0.6% | 2026-05-30 18:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91% | 0.6% | 2026-05-30 18:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91% | 0.6% | 2026-05-30 18:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91% | 0.6% | 2026-05-30 18:10 |
| Novig◎ | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.15% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.85% | 1.7% | 2026-05-30 18:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.99% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.01% | 2.4% | 2026-05-30 18:10 |