La scuola delle quote

Jaime Faria v Frances Tiafoe

Inizio: 2026-05-30 18:15 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

63 bookmaker (22 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Jaime Faria (Casa)

Previsione 37.92%2.64quota equa
EV -1.03%
Vantaggio -0.395%
Kelly -0.640%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.61

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
36.71%37.92%37.89%39.13%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.382.492.502.6142.02%40.14%40.00%38.31%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Frances Tiafoe (Trasferta)

Previsione 62.08%1.61quota equa
EV -2.53%
Vantaggio -1.61%
Kelly -4.45%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.57

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
60.87%62.08%62.11%63.29%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.451.531.541.5768.97%65.16%64.94%63.69%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (63 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
BetOnline.ag2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV -1.03%E -0.395%K -0.640%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.89%EV -4.40%E -2.85%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-30 18:10
LowVig.ag2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV -1.03%E -0.395%K -0.640%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.89%EV -4.40%E -2.85%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-30 18:10
Pinnacle2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50%EV -1.41%E -0.542%K -0.881%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50%EV -3.15%E -2.02%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-30 18:10
Betclic (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -1.41%E -0.542%K -0.881%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -5.64%E -3.71%K -10.84%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-30 18:09
FanDuel2.58I 38.76%NM 37.07%EV -2.17%E -0.840%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.93%EV -5.64%E -3.71%K -10.84%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-30 18:10
SportsBet2.56I 39.06%NM 37.10%EV -2.93%E -1.14%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.90%EV -6.26%E -4.14%K -12.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-30 18:01
Coolbet2.55I 39.22%NM 38.11%EV -3.30%E -1.30%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.89%EV -2.53%E -1.61%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-30 18:09
BetAnything2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -3.30%E -1.30%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -3.15%E -2.02%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-30 18:09
Unibet (UK)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV -3.30%E -1.30%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20%EV -3.78%E -2.44%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-30 18:09
Codere (IT)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV -3.30%E -1.30%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20%EV -3.78%E -2.44%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-30 18:10
Bovada2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.30%E -1.30%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.40%E -2.85%K -8.14%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-30 18:09
Winamax (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.30%E -1.30%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.40%E -2.85%K -8.14%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-30 18:09
Tipico (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.30%E -1.30%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.88%E -4.59%K -13.76%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-30 18:10
BetMGM2.54I 39.37%NM 37.13%EV -3.68%E -1.45%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.87%EV -6.88%E -4.59%K -13.76%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-30 18:10
Marathon Bet2.52I 39.68%NM 37.62%EV -4.44%E -1.76%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.38%EV -5.64%E -3.71%K -10.84%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-30 18:09
NetBet (FR)2.52I 39.68%NM 37.47%EV -4.44%E -1.76%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.53%EV -6.26%E -4.14%K -12.27%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-30 18:09
1xBet2.51I 39.84%NM 38.02%EV -4.82%E -1.92%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.98%EV -4.40%E -2.85%K -8.14%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-30 18:10
MyBookie.ag2.51I 39.84%NM 37.87%EV -4.82%E -1.92%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.13%EV -5.02%E -3.28%K -9.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-30 18:08
Fanatics2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.20%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.15%E -2.02%K -5.63%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-30 18:10
NordicBet2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.20%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.40%E -2.85%K -8.14%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-30 18:09
Betsson2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.20%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.40%E -2.85%K -8.14%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-30 18:10
Unibet (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.20%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.40%E -2.85%K -8.14%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-30 18:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.20%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.02%E -3.28%K -9.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-30 18:10
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.20%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.02%E -3.28%K -9.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-30 18:10
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.20%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.02%E -3.28%K -9.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-30 18:09
theScore Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.20%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.02%E -3.28%K -9.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-30 18:10
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.20%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.02%E -3.28%K -9.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-30 18:10
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.20%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.02%E -3.28%K -9.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-30 18:10
PlayUp2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.20%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.64%E -3.71%K -10.84%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-30 18:10
Ladbrokes (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.20%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.64%E -3.71%K -10.84%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-30 18:10
Neds2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.20%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.64%E -3.71%K -10.84%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-30 18:10
Winamax (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.20%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.64%E -3.71%K -10.84%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-30 18:10
TAB2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.20%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.64%E -3.71%K -10.84%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-30 18:10
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.20%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.88%E -4.59%K -13.76%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-30 18:10
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -5.20%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -8.12%E -5.49%K -16.92%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-30 18:10
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -5.20%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -8.12%E -5.49%K -16.92%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-30 18:10
Betr (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -5.20%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -9.98%E -6.89%K -22.19%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-30 18:10
GTbets2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -5.96%E -2.40%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -3.15%E -2.02%K -5.63%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-30 18:10
Bet Right2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.96%E -2.40%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.40%E -2.85%K -8.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-30 18:10
DraftKings2.46I 40.65%NM 38.50%EV -6.72%E -2.73%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.50%EV -4.40%E -2.85%K -8.14%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-30 18:10
Unibet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -7.10%E -2.90%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.15%E -2.02%K -5.63%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-30 18:10
LeoVegas2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -7.10%E -2.90%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.15%E -2.02%K -5.63%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-30 18:09
BetRivers2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -7.10%E -2.90%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.15%E -2.02%K -5.63%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-30 18:05
Grosvenor2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -7.10%E -2.90%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.15%E -2.02%K -5.63%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-30 18:10
LeoVegas (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -7.10%E -2.90%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.15%E -2.02%K -5.63%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-30 18:09
Unibet (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -7.10%E -2.90%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.15%E -2.02%K -5.63%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-30 18:10
Casumo2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -7.10%E -2.90%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.15%E -2.02%K -5.63%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-30 18:10
Unibet (NL)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -7.10%E -2.90%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.15%E -2.02%K -5.63%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-30 18:10
Bally Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -7.10%E -2.90%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.15%E -2.02%K -5.63%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-30 18:10
betPARX2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -7.10%E -2.90%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.15%E -2.02%K -5.63%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-30 18:10
Svenska Spel2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -7.10%E -2.90%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.15%E -2.02%K -5.63%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-30 18:10
ATG (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -7.10%E -2.90%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.15%E -2.02%K -5.63%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-30 18:10
Hard Rock Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -7.10%E -2.90%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.15%E -2.02%K -5.63%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-30 18:10
Everygame2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.10%E -2.90%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.02%E -3.28%K -9.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-30 18:09
PointsBet (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.10%E -2.90%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.02%E -3.28%K -9.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-30 18:10
Fliff2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.10%E -2.90%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.88%E -4.59%K -13.76%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-30 18:09
TABtouch2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -7.86%E -3.23%K -5.49%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -3.15%E -2.02%K -5.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-30 18:10
Virgin Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -8.99%E -3.75%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -4.40%E -2.85%K -8.14%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-30 18:09
PMU (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -8.99%E -3.75%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -4.40%E -2.85%K -8.14%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-30 18:10
LiveScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -8.99%E -3.75%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -4.40%E -2.85%K -8.14%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-30 18:10
Caesars2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -8.99%E -3.75%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.02%E -3.28%K -9.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-30 18:09
Bet Victor2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.99%E -3.75%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.88%E -4.59%K -13.76%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-30 18:09
Betway2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -9.75%E -4.10%K -7.07%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.02%E -3.28%K -9.47%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-30 18:09
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91%0.6%2026-05-30 18:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91%0.6%2026-05-30 18:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91%0.6%2026-05-30 18:10
Matchbook2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91%0.6%2026-05-30 18:10
Novig2.72I 36.76%NM 36.15%1.54I 64.94%NM 63.85%1.7%2026-05-30 18:10
Smarkets2.64I 37.88%NM 36.99%1.55I 64.52%NM 63.01%2.4%2026-05-30 18:10