مدرسة الاحتمالات

Jaime Faria v Frances Tiafoe

البداية: 2026-05-30 18:15 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

63 شركة مراهنات (22 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Jaime Faria (المضيف)

التنبؤ 37.92%2.64السعر العادل
EV -1.03%
الأفضلية -0.395%
Kelly -0.640%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.61

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
36.71%37.92%37.89%39.13%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.382.492.502.6142.02%40.14%40.00%38.31%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Frances Tiafoe (الضيف)

التنبؤ 62.08%1.61السعر العادل
EV -2.53%
الأفضلية -1.61%
Kelly -4.45%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.57

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
60.87%62.08%62.11%63.29%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.451.531.541.5768.97%65.16%64.94%63.69%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (63 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
BetOnline.ag2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV -1.03%E -0.395%K -0.640%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.89%EV -4.40%E -2.85%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-30 18:10
LowVig.ag2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV -1.03%E -0.395%K -0.640%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.89%EV -4.40%E -2.85%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-30 18:10
Pinnacle2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50%EV -1.41%E -0.542%K -0.881%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50%EV -3.15%E -2.02%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-30 18:10
Betclic (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -1.41%E -0.542%K -0.881%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -5.64%E -3.71%K -10.84%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-30 18:09
FanDuel2.58I 38.76%NM 37.07%EV -2.17%E -0.840%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.93%EV -5.64%E -3.71%K -10.84%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-30 18:10
SportsBet2.56I 39.06%NM 37.10%EV -2.93%E -1.14%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.90%EV -6.26%E -4.14%K -12.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-30 18:01
Coolbet2.55I 39.22%NM 38.11%EV -3.30%E -1.30%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.89%EV -2.53%E -1.61%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-30 18:09
BetAnything2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -3.30%E -1.30%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -3.15%E -2.02%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-30 18:09
Unibet (UK)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV -3.30%E -1.30%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20%EV -3.78%E -2.44%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-30 18:09
Codere (IT)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV -3.30%E -1.30%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20%EV -3.78%E -2.44%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-30 18:10
Bovada2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.30%E -1.30%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.40%E -2.85%K -8.14%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-30 18:09
Winamax (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.30%E -1.30%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.40%E -2.85%K -8.14%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-30 18:09
Tipico (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.30%E -1.30%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.88%E -4.59%K -13.76%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-30 18:10
BetMGM2.54I 39.37%NM 37.13%EV -3.68%E -1.45%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.87%EV -6.88%E -4.59%K -13.76%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-30 18:10
Marathon Bet2.52I 39.68%NM 37.62%EV -4.44%E -1.76%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.38%EV -5.64%E -3.71%K -10.84%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-30 18:09
NetBet (FR)2.52I 39.68%NM 37.47%EV -4.44%E -1.76%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.53%EV -6.26%E -4.14%K -12.27%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-30 18:09
1xBet2.51I 39.84%NM 38.02%EV -4.82%E -1.92%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.98%EV -4.40%E -2.85%K -8.14%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-30 18:10
MyBookie.ag2.51I 39.84%NM 37.87%EV -4.82%E -1.92%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.13%EV -5.02%E -3.28%K -9.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-30 18:08
Fanatics2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.20%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.15%E -2.02%K -5.63%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-30 18:10
NordicBet2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.20%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.40%E -2.85%K -8.14%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-30 18:09
Betsson2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.20%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.40%E -2.85%K -8.14%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-30 18:10
Unibet (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.20%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.40%E -2.85%K -8.14%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-30 18:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.20%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.02%E -3.28%K -9.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-30 18:10
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.20%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.02%E -3.28%K -9.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-30 18:10
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.20%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.02%E -3.28%K -9.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-30 18:09
theScore Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.20%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.02%E -3.28%K -9.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-30 18:10
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.20%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.02%E -3.28%K -9.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-30 18:10
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.20%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.02%E -3.28%K -9.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-30 18:10
PlayUp2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.20%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.64%E -3.71%K -10.84%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-30 18:10
Ladbrokes (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.20%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.64%E -3.71%K -10.84%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-30 18:10
Neds2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.20%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.64%E -3.71%K -10.84%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-30 18:10
Winamax (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.20%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.64%E -3.71%K -10.84%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-30 18:10
TAB2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.20%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.64%E -3.71%K -10.84%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-30 18:10
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.20%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.88%E -4.59%K -13.76%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-30 18:10
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -5.20%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -8.12%E -5.49%K -16.92%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-30 18:10
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -5.20%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -8.12%E -5.49%K -16.92%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-30 18:10
Betr (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -5.20%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -9.98%E -6.89%K -22.19%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-30 18:10
GTbets2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -5.96%E -2.40%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -3.15%E -2.02%K -5.63%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-30 18:10
Bet Right2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.96%E -2.40%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.40%E -2.85%K -8.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-30 18:10
DraftKings2.46I 40.65%NM 38.50%EV -6.72%E -2.73%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.50%EV -4.40%E -2.85%K -8.14%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-30 18:10
Unibet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -7.10%E -2.90%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.15%E -2.02%K -5.63%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-30 18:10
LeoVegas2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -7.10%E -2.90%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.15%E -2.02%K -5.63%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-30 18:09
BetRivers2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -7.10%E -2.90%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.15%E -2.02%K -5.63%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-30 18:05
Grosvenor2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -7.10%E -2.90%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.15%E -2.02%K -5.63%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-30 18:10
LeoVegas (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -7.10%E -2.90%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.15%E -2.02%K -5.63%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-30 18:09
Unibet (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -7.10%E -2.90%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.15%E -2.02%K -5.63%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-30 18:10
Casumo2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -7.10%E -2.90%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.15%E -2.02%K -5.63%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-30 18:10
Unibet (NL)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -7.10%E -2.90%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.15%E -2.02%K -5.63%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-30 18:10
Bally Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -7.10%E -2.90%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.15%E -2.02%K -5.63%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-30 18:10
betPARX2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -7.10%E -2.90%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.15%E -2.02%K -5.63%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-30 18:10
Svenska Spel2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -7.10%E -2.90%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.15%E -2.02%K -5.63%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-30 18:10
ATG (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -7.10%E -2.90%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.15%E -2.02%K -5.63%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-30 18:10
Hard Rock Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -7.10%E -2.90%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.15%E -2.02%K -5.63%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-30 18:10
Everygame2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.10%E -2.90%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.02%E -3.28%K -9.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-30 18:09
PointsBet (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.10%E -2.90%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.02%E -3.28%K -9.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-30 18:10
Fliff2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.10%E -2.90%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.88%E -4.59%K -13.76%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-30 18:09
TABtouch2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -7.86%E -3.23%K -5.49%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -3.15%E -2.02%K -5.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-30 18:10
Virgin Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -8.99%E -3.75%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -4.40%E -2.85%K -8.14%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-30 18:09
PMU (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -8.99%E -3.75%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -4.40%E -2.85%K -8.14%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-30 18:10
LiveScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -8.99%E -3.75%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -4.40%E -2.85%K -8.14%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-30 18:10
Caesars2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -8.99%E -3.75%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.02%E -3.28%K -9.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-30 18:09
Bet Victor2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.99%E -3.75%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.88%E -4.59%K -13.76%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-30 18:09
Betway2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -9.75%E -4.10%K -7.07%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.02%E -3.28%K -9.47%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-30 18:09
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91%0.6%2026-05-30 18:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91%0.6%2026-05-30 18:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91%0.6%2026-05-30 18:10
Matchbook2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91%0.6%2026-05-30 18:10
Novig2.72I 36.76%NM 36.15%1.54I 64.94%NM 63.85%1.7%2026-05-30 18:10
Smarkets2.64I 37.88%NM 36.99%1.55I 64.52%NM 63.01%2.4%2026-05-30 18:10