L’École des cotes

Jaime Faria v Frances Tiafoe

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-30 18:15 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

63 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Jaime Faria (Local)

Prévision 37.92%2.64cote équitable
EV -1.03%
Avantage -0.395%
Kelly -0.640%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.61

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.71%37.92%37.89%39.13%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.382.492.502.6142.02%40.14%40.00%38.31%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Frances Tiafoe (Visiteur)

Prévision 62.08%1.61cote équitable
EV -2.53%
Avantage -1.61%
Kelly -4.45%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.57

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
60.87%62.08%62.11%63.29%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.451.531.541.5768.97%65.16%64.94%63.69%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (63 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
BetOnline.ag2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV -1.03%E -0.395%K -0.640%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.89%EV -4.40%E -2.85%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-30 18:10
LowVig.ag2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV -1.03%E -0.395%K -0.640%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.89%EV -4.40%E -2.85%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-30 18:10
Pinnacle2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50%EV -1.41%E -0.542%K -0.881%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50%EV -3.15%E -2.02%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-30 18:10
Betclic (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -1.41%E -0.542%K -0.881%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -5.64%E -3.71%K -10.84%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-30 18:09
FanDuel2.58I 38.76%NM 37.07%EV -2.17%E -0.840%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.93%EV -5.64%E -3.71%K -10.84%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-30 18:10
SportsBet2.56I 39.06%NM 37.10%EV -2.93%E -1.14%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.90%EV -6.26%E -4.14%K -12.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-30 18:01
Coolbet2.55I 39.22%NM 38.11%EV -3.30%E -1.30%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.89%EV -2.53%E -1.61%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-30 18:09
BetAnything2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -3.30%E -1.30%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -3.15%E -2.02%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-30 18:09
Unibet (UK)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV -3.30%E -1.30%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20%EV -3.78%E -2.44%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-30 18:09
Codere (IT)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV -3.30%E -1.30%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20%EV -3.78%E -2.44%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-30 18:10
Bovada2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.30%E -1.30%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.40%E -2.85%K -8.14%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-30 18:09
Winamax (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.30%E -1.30%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.40%E -2.85%K -8.14%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-30 18:09
Tipico (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.30%E -1.30%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.88%E -4.59%K -13.76%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-30 18:10
BetMGM2.54I 39.37%NM 37.13%EV -3.68%E -1.45%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.87%EV -6.88%E -4.59%K -13.76%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-30 18:10
Marathon Bet2.52I 39.68%NM 37.62%EV -4.44%E -1.76%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.38%EV -5.64%E -3.71%K -10.84%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-30 18:09
NetBet (FR)2.52I 39.68%NM 37.47%EV -4.44%E -1.76%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.53%EV -6.26%E -4.14%K -12.27%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-30 18:09
1xBet2.51I 39.84%NM 38.02%EV -4.82%E -1.92%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.98%EV -4.40%E -2.85%K -8.14%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-30 18:10
MyBookie.ag2.51I 39.84%NM 37.87%EV -4.82%E -1.92%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.13%EV -5.02%E -3.28%K -9.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-30 18:08
Fanatics2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.20%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.15%E -2.02%K -5.63%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-30 18:10
NordicBet2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.20%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.40%E -2.85%K -8.14%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-30 18:09
Betsson2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.20%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.40%E -2.85%K -8.14%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-30 18:10
Unibet (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.20%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.40%E -2.85%K -8.14%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-30 18:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.20%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.02%E -3.28%K -9.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-30 18:10
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.20%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.02%E -3.28%K -9.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-30 18:10
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.20%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.02%E -3.28%K -9.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-30 18:09
theScore Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.20%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.02%E -3.28%K -9.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-30 18:10
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.20%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.02%E -3.28%K -9.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-30 18:10
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.20%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.02%E -3.28%K -9.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-30 18:10
PlayUp2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.20%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.64%E -3.71%K -10.84%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-30 18:10
Ladbrokes (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.20%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.64%E -3.71%K -10.84%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-30 18:10
Neds2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.20%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.64%E -3.71%K -10.84%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-30 18:10
Winamax (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.20%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.64%E -3.71%K -10.84%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-30 18:10
TAB2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.20%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.64%E -3.71%K -10.84%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-30 18:10
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.20%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.88%E -4.59%K -13.76%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-30 18:10
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -5.20%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -8.12%E -5.49%K -16.92%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-30 18:10
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -5.20%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -8.12%E -5.49%K -16.92%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-30 18:10
Betr (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -5.20%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -9.98%E -6.89%K -22.19%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-30 18:10
GTbets2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -5.96%E -2.40%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -3.15%E -2.02%K -5.63%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-30 18:10
Bet Right2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.96%E -2.40%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.40%E -2.85%K -8.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-30 18:10
DraftKings2.46I 40.65%NM 38.50%EV -6.72%E -2.73%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.50%EV -4.40%E -2.85%K -8.14%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-30 18:10
Unibet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -7.10%E -2.90%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.15%E -2.02%K -5.63%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-30 18:10
LeoVegas2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -7.10%E -2.90%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.15%E -2.02%K -5.63%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-30 18:09
BetRivers2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -7.10%E -2.90%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.15%E -2.02%K -5.63%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-30 18:05
Grosvenor2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -7.10%E -2.90%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.15%E -2.02%K -5.63%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-30 18:10
LeoVegas (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -7.10%E -2.90%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.15%E -2.02%K -5.63%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-30 18:09
Unibet (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -7.10%E -2.90%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.15%E -2.02%K -5.63%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-30 18:10
Casumo2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -7.10%E -2.90%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.15%E -2.02%K -5.63%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-30 18:10
Unibet (NL)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -7.10%E -2.90%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.15%E -2.02%K -5.63%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-30 18:10
Bally Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -7.10%E -2.90%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.15%E -2.02%K -5.63%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-30 18:10
betPARX2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -7.10%E -2.90%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.15%E -2.02%K -5.63%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-30 18:10
Svenska Spel2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -7.10%E -2.90%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.15%E -2.02%K -5.63%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-30 18:10
ATG (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -7.10%E -2.90%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.15%E -2.02%K -5.63%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-30 18:10
Hard Rock Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -7.10%E -2.90%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.15%E -2.02%K -5.63%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-30 18:10
Everygame2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.10%E -2.90%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.02%E -3.28%K -9.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-30 18:09
PointsBet (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.10%E -2.90%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.02%E -3.28%K -9.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-30 18:10
Fliff2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.10%E -2.90%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.88%E -4.59%K -13.76%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-30 18:09
TABtouch2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -7.86%E -3.23%K -5.49%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -3.15%E -2.02%K -5.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-30 18:10
Virgin Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -8.99%E -3.75%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -4.40%E -2.85%K -8.14%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-30 18:09
PMU (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -8.99%E -3.75%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -4.40%E -2.85%K -8.14%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-30 18:10
LiveScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -8.99%E -3.75%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -4.40%E -2.85%K -8.14%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-30 18:10
Caesars2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -8.99%E -3.75%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.02%E -3.28%K -9.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-30 18:09
Bet Victor2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.99%E -3.75%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.88%E -4.59%K -13.76%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-30 18:09
Betway2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -9.75%E -4.10%K -7.07%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.02%E -3.28%K -9.47%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-30 18:09
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91%0.6%2026-05-30 18:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91%0.6%2026-05-30 18:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91%0.6%2026-05-30 18:10
Matchbook2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91%0.6%2026-05-30 18:10
Novig2.72I 36.76%NM 36.15%1.54I 64.94%NM 63.85%1.7%2026-05-30 18:10
Smarkets2.64I 37.88%NM 36.99%1.55I 64.52%NM 63.01%2.4%2026-05-30 18:10