Language:English
Jacob Fearnley v Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Jacob Fearnley (Local)
Prediction 23.17%4.32fair odd
EV +3.13%
Edge +0.702%
Kelly +0.906%
Growth +0.028%
assuming max odds 4.45
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.38%23.29%23.11%24.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.064.104.4526.67%24.61%24.39%22.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Juan Manuel Cerundolo (Visit)
Prediction 76.83%1.30fair odd
EV -3.20%
Edge -2.54%
Kelly -12.31%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.26
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
75.10%76.71%76.89%78.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.211.241.241.2682.64%80.70%80.65%79.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Jacob Fearnley (Local): 23.17%; Juan Manuel Cerundolo (Visit): 76.83%. For Jacob Fearnley (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.32. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.45, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.13%.
Sportsbook Odds (55 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.38%EV +3.13%E +0.702%K +0.906%G +0.028% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.62%EV -7.04%E -5.82%K -33.53%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-26 15:12 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.34I 23.04%NM 22.08%EV +0.576%E +0.133%K +0.172%G +0.001% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.92%EV -5.50%E -4.48%K -23.93%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-26 15:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.66%EV -0.351%E -0.082%K -0.106%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 77.34%EV -3.20%E -2.54%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-05-26 15:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -0.351%E -0.082%K -0.106%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -5.50%E -4.48%K -23.93%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-26 15:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -1.51%E -0.355%K -0.465%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -5.50%E -4.48%K -23.93%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-26 15:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -2.67%E -0.635%K -0.834%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -3.97%E -3.17%K -15.87%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-26 15:09 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -2.67%E -0.635%K -0.834%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -3.97%E -3.17%K -15.87%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-26 15:10 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -2.67%E -0.635%K -0.834%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -3.97%E -3.17%K -15.87%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-26 15:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -2.67%E -0.635%K -0.834%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.27%E -5.14%K -28.51%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-26 15:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.19I 23.87%NM 22.55%EV -2.90%E -0.692%K -0.909%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.45%EV -6.27%E -5.14%K -28.51%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-26 15:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.16I 24.04%NM 23.11%EV -3.60%E -0.864%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.89%EV -3.97%E -3.17%K -15.87%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-26 15:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.16I 24.04%NM 23.11%EV -3.60%E -0.864%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.89%EV -3.97%E -3.17%K -15.87%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-26 15:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.15%EV -3.83%E -0.922%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.85%EV -3.97%E -3.17%K -15.87%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-26 15:09 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV -3.83%E -0.922%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.99%EV -4.74%E -3.82%K -19.73%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-26 15:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -3.83%E -0.922%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -6.27%E -5.14%K -28.51%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-26 15:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -3.83%E -0.922%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -6.27%E -5.14%K -28.51%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-26 15:49 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -4.99%E -1.22%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -3.97%E -3.17%K -15.87%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-26 15:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.99%E -1.22%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.74%E -3.82%K -19.73%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-26 15:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.99%E -1.22%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.74%E -3.82%K -19.73%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-26 15:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.99%E -1.22%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.74%E -3.82%K -19.73%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-26 15:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.99%E -1.22%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.74%E -3.82%K -19.73%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-26 15:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.99%E -1.22%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.74%E -3.82%K -19.73%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-26 15:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.99%E -1.22%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.74%E -3.82%K -19.73%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-26 15:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.99%E -1.22%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.74%E -3.82%K -19.73%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-26 15:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.99%E -1.22%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.74%E -3.82%K -19.73%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-26 15:10 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.99%E -1.22%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.74%E -3.82%K -19.73%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-26 15:09 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.99%E -1.22%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.74%E -3.82%K -19.73%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-26 15:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.99%E -1.22%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.74%E -3.82%K -19.73%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-26 15:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.99%E -1.22%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.74%E -3.82%K -19.73%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-26 15:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.99%E -1.22%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.74%E -3.82%K -19.73%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-26 15:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -4.99%E -1.22%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.27%E -5.14%K -28.51%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-26 15:10 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -4.99%E -1.22%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.27%E -5.14%K -28.51%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-26 15:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.15%EV -6.14%E -1.52%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.85%EV -6.27%E -5.14%K -28.51%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-26 15:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.30%E -1.83%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.97%E -3.17%K -15.87%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-26 15:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.30%E -1.83%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.97%E -3.17%K -15.87%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-26 15:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.30%E -1.83%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.97%E -3.17%K -15.87%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-26 15:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.30%E -1.83%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.97%E -3.17%K -15.87%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-26 15:19 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.30%E -1.83%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.97%E -3.17%K -15.87%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-26 15:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.30%E -1.83%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.97%E -3.17%K -15.87%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-26 15:09 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -7.30%E -1.83%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.74%E -3.82%K -19.73%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-26 15:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -7.30%E -1.83%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.74%E -3.82%K -19.73%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-26 15:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -7.30%E -1.83%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.74%E -3.82%K -19.73%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-26 15:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.30%E -1.83%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.27%E -5.14%K -28.51%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-26 15:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.30%E -1.83%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.27%E -5.14%K -28.51%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-26 15:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -8.46%E -2.14%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -5.50%E -4.48%K -23.93%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-26 15:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -8.46%E -2.14%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -5.50%E -4.48%K -23.93%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-26 15:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -8.46%E -2.14%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -5.50%E -4.48%K -23.93%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-26 15:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -9.62%E -2.47%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -3.97%E -3.17%K -15.87%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-26 15:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -11.94%E -3.14%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -3.20%E -2.54%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-26 15:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -11.94%E -3.14%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -3.20%E -2.54%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-26 15:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -11.94%E -3.14%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -3.97%E -3.17%K -15.87%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-26 15:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -11.94%E -3.14%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -3.97%E -3.17%K -15.87%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-26 15:10 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -11.94%E -3.14%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -3.97%E -3.17%K -15.87%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-26 15:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -11.94%E -3.14%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -3.97%E -3.17%K -15.87%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-26 15:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -13.10%E -3.49%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.27%E -5.14%K -28.51%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-26 15:09 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86% | 0.6% | 2026-05-26 15:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86% | 0.6% | 2026-05-26 15:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86% | 0.6% | 2026-05-26 15:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86% | 0.6% | 2026-05-26 15:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.50% | 1.1% | 2026-05-26 15:40 |
| Novig◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.74% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.26% | 2.2% | 2026-05-26 15:50 |