Szkoła Kursów

Jacob Fearnley v Juan Manuel Cerundolo

Początek: 2026-05-26 16:00 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

55 bukmacherów (19 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Jacob Fearnley (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 23.17%4.32kurs godziwy
EV +3.13%
Przewaga +0.702%
Kelly +0.906%
Wzrost +0.028%

przy maksymalnym kursie 4.45

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
21.38%23.29%23.11%24.90%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.754.064.104.4526.67%24.61%24.39%22.47%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Juan Manuel Cerundolo (Goście)

Prognoza 76.83%1.30kurs godziwy
EV -3.20%
Przewaga -2.54%
Kelly -12.31%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.26

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
75.10%76.71%76.89%78.62%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.211.241.241.2682.64%80.70%80.65%79.37%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (55 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarze ▼GościeMarżaAktualizacja
SportsBet4.45I 22.47%NM 21.38%EV +3.13%E +0.702%K +0.906%G +0.028%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.62%EV -7.04%E -5.82%K -33.53%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-26 15:12
1xBet4.34I 23.04%NM 22.08%EV +0.576%E +0.133%K +0.172%G +0.001%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.92%EV -5.50%E -4.48%K -23.93%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-26 15:50
Pinnacle4.30I 23.26%NM 22.66%EV -0.351%E -0.082%K -0.106%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 77.34%EV -3.20%E -2.54%K -12.31%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-26 15:50
FanDuel4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -0.351%E -0.082%K -0.106%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -5.50%E -4.48%K -23.93%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-26 15:10
Bet Right4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -1.51%E -0.355%K -0.465%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -5.50%E -4.48%K -23.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-26 15:50
Unibet (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -2.67%E -0.635%K -0.834%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -3.97%E -3.17%K -15.87%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-26 15:09
Winamax (DE)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -2.67%E -0.635%K -0.834%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -3.97%E -3.17%K -15.87%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-26 15:10
Codere (IT)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -2.67%E -0.635%K -0.834%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -3.97%E -3.17%K -15.87%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-26 15:10
Paddy Power4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -2.67%E -0.635%K -0.834%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.27%E -5.14%K -28.51%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-26 15:10
DraftKings4.19I 23.87%NM 22.55%EV -2.90%E -0.692%K -0.909%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.45%EV -6.27%E -5.14%K -28.51%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-26 15:10
BetOnline.ag4.16I 24.04%NM 23.11%EV -3.60%E -0.864%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.89%EV -3.97%E -3.17%K -15.87%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-26 15:10
LowVig.ag4.16I 24.04%NM 23.11%EV -3.60%E -0.864%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.89%EV -3.97%E -3.17%K -15.87%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-26 15:10
Betclic (FR)4.15I 24.10%NM 23.15%EV -3.83%E -0.922%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.85%EV -3.97%E -3.17%K -15.87%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-26 15:09
Fanatics4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV -3.83%E -0.922%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.99%EV -4.74%E -3.82%K -19.73%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-26 15:10
Betr (AU)4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -3.83%E -0.922%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -6.27%E -5.14%K -28.51%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-26 15:50
PointsBet (AU)4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -3.83%E -0.922%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -6.27%E -5.14%K -28.51%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-26 15:49
BetAnything4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -4.99%E -1.22%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -3.97%E -3.17%K -15.87%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-26 15:50
Casumo4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.99%E -1.22%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.74%E -3.82%K -19.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-26 15:10
LeoVegas4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.99%E -1.22%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.74%E -3.82%K -19.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-26 15:10
Unibet (NL)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.99%E -1.22%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.74%E -3.82%K -19.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-26 15:10
Grosvenor4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.99%E -1.22%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.74%E -3.82%K -19.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-26 15:10
TABtouch4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.99%E -1.22%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.74%E -3.82%K -19.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-26 15:10
LeoVegas (SE)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.99%E -1.22%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.74%E -3.82%K -19.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-26 15:10
BetRivers4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.99%E -1.22%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.74%E -3.82%K -19.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-26 15:10
Unibet (SE)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.99%E -1.22%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.74%E -3.82%K -19.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-26 15:10
MyBookie.ag4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.99%E -1.22%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.74%E -3.82%K -19.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-26 15:09
Bally Bet4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.99%E -1.22%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.74%E -3.82%K -19.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-26 15:10
betPARX4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.99%E -1.22%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.74%E -3.82%K -19.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-26 15:10
ATG (SE)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.99%E -1.22%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.74%E -3.82%K -19.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-26 15:10
Svenska Spel4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.99%E -1.22%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.74%E -3.82%K -19.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-26 15:10
Tipico (DE)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -4.99%E -1.22%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.27%E -5.14%K -28.51%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-26 15:10
NetBet (FR)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -4.99%E -1.22%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.27%E -5.14%K -28.51%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-26 15:10
Fliff4.05I 24.69%NM 23.15%EV -6.14%E -1.52%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.85%EV -6.27%E -5.14%K -28.51%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-26 15:10
PlayUp4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.30%E -1.83%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.97%E -3.17%K -15.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-26 15:10
888sport4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.30%E -1.83%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.97%E -3.17%K -15.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-26 15:10
William Hill4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.30%E -1.83%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.97%E -3.17%K -15.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-26 15:10
Bovada4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.30%E -1.83%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.97%E -3.17%K -15.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-26 15:19
Mr Green (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.30%E -1.83%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.97%E -3.17%K -15.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-26 15:10
888sport (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.30%E -1.83%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.97%E -3.17%K -15.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-26 15:09
Winamax (FR)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -7.30%E -1.83%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.74%E -3.82%K -19.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-26 15:10
theScore Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -7.30%E -1.83%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.74%E -3.82%K -19.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-26 15:10
Hard Rock Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -7.30%E -1.83%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.74%E -3.82%K -19.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-26 15:10
Betway4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.30%E -1.83%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.27%E -5.14%K -28.51%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-26 15:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.30%E -1.83%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.27%E -5.14%K -28.51%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-26 15:30
PMU (FR)3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -8.46%E -2.14%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -5.50%E -4.48%K -23.93%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-26 15:10
LiveScore Bet3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -8.46%E -2.14%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -5.50%E -4.48%K -23.93%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-26 15:10
Virgin Bet3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -8.46%E -2.14%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -5.50%E -4.48%K -23.93%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-26 15:10
BetMGM3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -9.62%E -2.47%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -3.97%E -3.17%K -15.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-26 15:10
Ladbrokes (AU)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -11.94%E -3.14%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -3.20%E -2.54%K -12.31%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-26 15:10
Neds3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -11.94%E -3.14%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -3.20%E -2.54%K -12.31%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-26 15:10
Ladbrokes (UK)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -11.94%E -3.14%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -3.97%E -3.17%K -15.87%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-26 15:10
Coral3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -11.94%E -3.14%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -3.97%E -3.17%K -15.87%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-26 15:10
Everygame3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -11.94%E -3.14%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -3.97%E -3.17%K -15.87%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-26 15:10
Caesars3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -11.94%E -3.14%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -3.97%E -3.17%K -15.87%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-26 15:10
Bet Victor3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -13.10%E -3.49%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.27%E -5.14%K -28.51%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-26 15:09
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (6)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%0.6%2026-05-26 15:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%0.6%2026-05-26 15:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%0.6%2026-05-26 15:50
Matchbook4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%0.6%2026-05-26 15:50
Smarkets4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50%1.26I 79.37%NM 78.50%1.1%2026-05-26 15:40
Novig4.50I 22.22%NM 21.74%1.25I 80.00%NM 78.26%2.2%2026-05-26 15:50