A Escola das Odds

Jacob Fearnley v Juan Manuel Cerundolo

Início: 2026-05-26 16:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

55 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Jacob Fearnley (Local)

Previsão 23.17%4.32odd justa
EV +3.13%
Vantagem +0.702%
Kelly +0.906%
Crescimento +0.028%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.45

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
21.38%23.29%23.11%24.90%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.754.064.104.4526.67%24.61%24.39%22.47%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Juan Manuel Cerundolo (Visitante)

Previsão 76.83%1.30odd justa
EV -3.20%
Vantagem -2.54%
Kelly -12.31%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.26

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
75.10%76.71%76.89%78.62%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.211.241.241.2682.64%80.70%80.65%79.37%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (55 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
SportsBet4.45I 22.47%NM 21.38%EV +3.13%E +0.702%K +0.906%G +0.028%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.62%EV -7.04%E -5.82%K -33.53%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-26 15:12
1xBet4.34I 23.04%NM 22.08%EV +0.576%E +0.133%K +0.172%G +0.001%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.92%EV -5.50%E -4.48%K -23.93%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-26 15:50
Pinnacle4.30I 23.26%NM 22.66%EV -0.351%E -0.082%K -0.106%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 77.34%EV -3.20%E -2.54%K -12.31%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-26 15:50
FanDuel4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -0.351%E -0.082%K -0.106%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -5.50%E -4.48%K -23.93%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-26 15:10
Bet Right4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -1.51%E -0.355%K -0.465%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -5.50%E -4.48%K -23.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-26 15:50
Unibet (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -2.67%E -0.635%K -0.834%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -3.97%E -3.17%K -15.87%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-26 15:09
Winamax (DE)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -2.67%E -0.635%K -0.834%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -3.97%E -3.17%K -15.87%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-26 15:10
Codere (IT)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -2.67%E -0.635%K -0.834%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -3.97%E -3.17%K -15.87%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-26 15:10
Paddy Power4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -2.67%E -0.635%K -0.834%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.27%E -5.14%K -28.51%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-26 15:10
DraftKings4.19I 23.87%NM 22.55%EV -2.90%E -0.692%K -0.909%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.45%EV -6.27%E -5.14%K -28.51%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-26 15:10
BetOnline.ag4.16I 24.04%NM 23.11%EV -3.60%E -0.864%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.89%EV -3.97%E -3.17%K -15.87%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-26 15:10
LowVig.ag4.16I 24.04%NM 23.11%EV -3.60%E -0.864%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.89%EV -3.97%E -3.17%K -15.87%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-26 15:10
Betclic (FR)4.15I 24.10%NM 23.15%EV -3.83%E -0.922%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.85%EV -3.97%E -3.17%K -15.87%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-26 15:09
Fanatics4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV -3.83%E -0.922%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.99%EV -4.74%E -3.82%K -19.73%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-26 15:10
Betr (AU)4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -3.83%E -0.922%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -6.27%E -5.14%K -28.51%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-26 15:50
PointsBet (AU)4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -3.83%E -0.922%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -6.27%E -5.14%K -28.51%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-26 15:49
BetAnything4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -4.99%E -1.22%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -3.97%E -3.17%K -15.87%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-26 15:50
Casumo4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.99%E -1.22%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.74%E -3.82%K -19.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-26 15:10
LeoVegas4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.99%E -1.22%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.74%E -3.82%K -19.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-26 15:10
Unibet (NL)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.99%E -1.22%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.74%E -3.82%K -19.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-26 15:10
Grosvenor4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.99%E -1.22%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.74%E -3.82%K -19.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-26 15:10
TABtouch4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.99%E -1.22%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.74%E -3.82%K -19.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-26 15:10
LeoVegas (SE)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.99%E -1.22%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.74%E -3.82%K -19.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-26 15:10
BetRivers4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.99%E -1.22%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.74%E -3.82%K -19.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-26 15:10
Unibet (SE)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.99%E -1.22%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.74%E -3.82%K -19.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-26 15:10
MyBookie.ag4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.99%E -1.22%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.74%E -3.82%K -19.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-26 15:09
Bally Bet4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.99%E -1.22%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.74%E -3.82%K -19.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-26 15:10
betPARX4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.99%E -1.22%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.74%E -3.82%K -19.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-26 15:10
ATG (SE)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.99%E -1.22%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.74%E -3.82%K -19.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-26 15:10
Svenska Spel4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.99%E -1.22%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.74%E -3.82%K -19.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-26 15:10
Tipico (DE)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -4.99%E -1.22%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.27%E -5.14%K -28.51%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-26 15:10
NetBet (FR)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -4.99%E -1.22%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.27%E -5.14%K -28.51%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-26 15:10
Fliff4.05I 24.69%NM 23.15%EV -6.14%E -1.52%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.85%EV -6.27%E -5.14%K -28.51%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-26 15:10
PlayUp4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.30%E -1.83%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.97%E -3.17%K -15.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-26 15:10
888sport4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.30%E -1.83%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.97%E -3.17%K -15.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-26 15:10
William Hill4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.30%E -1.83%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.97%E -3.17%K -15.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-26 15:10
Bovada4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.30%E -1.83%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.97%E -3.17%K -15.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-26 15:19
Mr Green (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.30%E -1.83%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.97%E -3.17%K -15.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-26 15:10
888sport (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.30%E -1.83%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.97%E -3.17%K -15.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-26 15:09
Winamax (FR)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -7.30%E -1.83%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.74%E -3.82%K -19.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-26 15:10
theScore Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -7.30%E -1.83%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.74%E -3.82%K -19.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-26 15:10
Hard Rock Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -7.30%E -1.83%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.74%E -3.82%K -19.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-26 15:10
Betway4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.30%E -1.83%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.27%E -5.14%K -28.51%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-26 15:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.30%E -1.83%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.27%E -5.14%K -28.51%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-26 15:30
PMU (FR)3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -8.46%E -2.14%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -5.50%E -4.48%K -23.93%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-26 15:10
LiveScore Bet3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -8.46%E -2.14%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -5.50%E -4.48%K -23.93%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-26 15:10
Virgin Bet3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -8.46%E -2.14%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -5.50%E -4.48%K -23.93%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-26 15:10
BetMGM3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -9.62%E -2.47%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -3.97%E -3.17%K -15.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-26 15:10
Ladbrokes (AU)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -11.94%E -3.14%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -3.20%E -2.54%K -12.31%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-26 15:10
Neds3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -11.94%E -3.14%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -3.20%E -2.54%K -12.31%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-26 15:10
Ladbrokes (UK)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -11.94%E -3.14%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -3.97%E -3.17%K -15.87%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-26 15:10
Coral3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -11.94%E -3.14%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -3.97%E -3.17%K -15.87%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-26 15:10
Everygame3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -11.94%E -3.14%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -3.97%E -3.17%K -15.87%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-26 15:10
Caesars3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -11.94%E -3.14%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -3.97%E -3.17%K -15.87%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-26 15:10
Bet Victor3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -13.10%E -3.49%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.27%E -5.14%K -28.51%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-26 15:09
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%0.6%2026-05-26 15:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%0.6%2026-05-26 15:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%0.6%2026-05-26 15:50
Matchbook4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%0.6%2026-05-26 15:50
Smarkets4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50%1.26I 79.37%NM 78.50%1.1%2026-05-26 15:40
Novig4.50I 22.22%NM 21.74%1.25I 80.00%NM 78.26%2.2%2026-05-26 15:50