La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Jacob Fearnley v Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Jacob Fearnley (Local)
Predicción 23.17%4.32momio equitativo
EV +3.13%
Ventaja +0.702%
Kelly +0.906%
Crecimiento +0.028%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.45
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.38%23.29%23.11%24.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.754.064.104.4526.67%24.61%24.39%22.47%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Juan Manuel Cerundolo (Visitante)
Predicción 76.83%1.30momio equitativo
EV -3.20%
Ventaja -2.54%
Kelly -12.31%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.26
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
75.10%76.71%76.89%78.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.211.241.241.2682.64%80.70%80.65%79.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (55 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.38%EV +3.13%E +0.702%K +0.906%G +0.028% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.62%EV -7.04%E -5.82%K -33.53%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-26 15:12 |
| 1xBet | 4.34I 23.04%NM 22.08%EV +0.576%E +0.133%K +0.172%G +0.001% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.92%EV -5.50%E -4.48%K -23.93%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-26 15:50 |
| Pinnacle | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.66%EV -0.351%E -0.082%K -0.106%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 77.34%EV -3.20%E -2.54%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-05-26 15:50 |
| FanDuel | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -0.351%E -0.082%K -0.106%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -5.50%E -4.48%K -23.93%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-26 15:10 |
| Bet Right | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -1.51%E -0.355%K -0.465%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -5.50%E -4.48%K -23.93%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-26 15:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -2.67%E -0.635%K -0.834%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -3.97%E -3.17%K -15.87%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-26 15:09 |
| Winamax (DE) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -2.67%E -0.635%K -0.834%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -3.97%E -3.17%K -15.87%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-26 15:10 |
| Codere (IT) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -2.67%E -0.635%K -0.834%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -3.97%E -3.17%K -15.87%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-26 15:10 |
| Paddy Power | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -2.67%E -0.635%K -0.834%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.27%E -5.14%K -28.51%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-26 15:10 |
| DraftKings | 4.19I 23.87%NM 22.55%EV -2.90%E -0.692%K -0.909%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.45%EV -6.27%E -5.14%K -28.51%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-26 15:10 |
| BetOnline.ag | 4.16I 24.04%NM 23.11%EV -3.60%E -0.864%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.89%EV -3.97%E -3.17%K -15.87%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-26 15:10 |
| LowVig.ag | 4.16I 24.04%NM 23.11%EV -3.60%E -0.864%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.89%EV -3.97%E -3.17%K -15.87%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-26 15:10 |
| Betclic (FR) | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.15%EV -3.83%E -0.922%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.85%EV -3.97%E -3.17%K -15.87%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-26 15:09 |
| Fanatics | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV -3.83%E -0.922%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.99%EV -4.74%E -3.82%K -19.73%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-26 15:10 |
| Betr (AU) | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -3.83%E -0.922%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -6.27%E -5.14%K -28.51%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-26 15:50 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -3.83%E -0.922%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -6.27%E -5.14%K -28.51%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-26 15:49 |
| BetAnything | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -4.99%E -1.22%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -3.97%E -3.17%K -15.87%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-26 15:50 |
| Casumo | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.99%E -1.22%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.74%E -3.82%K -19.73%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-26 15:10 |
| LeoVegas | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.99%E -1.22%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.74%E -3.82%K -19.73%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-26 15:10 |
| Unibet (NL) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.99%E -1.22%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.74%E -3.82%K -19.73%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-26 15:10 |
| Grosvenor | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.99%E -1.22%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.74%E -3.82%K -19.73%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-26 15:10 |
| TABtouch | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.99%E -1.22%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.74%E -3.82%K -19.73%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-26 15:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.99%E -1.22%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.74%E -3.82%K -19.73%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-26 15:10 |
| BetRivers | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.99%E -1.22%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.74%E -3.82%K -19.73%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-26 15:10 |
| Unibet (SE) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.99%E -1.22%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.74%E -3.82%K -19.73%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-26 15:10 |
| MyBookie.ag | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.99%E -1.22%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.74%E -3.82%K -19.73%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-26 15:09 |
| Bally Bet | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.99%E -1.22%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.74%E -3.82%K -19.73%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-26 15:10 |
| betPARX | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.99%E -1.22%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.74%E -3.82%K -19.73%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-26 15:10 |
| ATG (SE) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.99%E -1.22%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.74%E -3.82%K -19.73%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-26 15:10 |
| Svenska Spel | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.99%E -1.22%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.74%E -3.82%K -19.73%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-26 15:10 |
| Tipico (DE) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -4.99%E -1.22%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.27%E -5.14%K -28.51%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-26 15:10 |
| NetBet (FR) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -4.99%E -1.22%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.27%E -5.14%K -28.51%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-26 15:10 |
| Fliff | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.15%EV -6.14%E -1.52%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.85%EV -6.27%E -5.14%K -28.51%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-26 15:10 |
| PlayUp | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.30%E -1.83%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.97%E -3.17%K -15.87%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-26 15:10 |
| 888sport | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.30%E -1.83%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.97%E -3.17%K -15.87%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-26 15:10 |
| William Hill | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.30%E -1.83%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.97%E -3.17%K -15.87%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-26 15:10 |
| Bovada | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.30%E -1.83%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.97%E -3.17%K -15.87%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-26 15:19 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.30%E -1.83%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.97%E -3.17%K -15.87%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-26 15:10 |
| 888sport (SE) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.30%E -1.83%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.97%E -3.17%K -15.87%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-26 15:09 |
| Winamax (FR) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -7.30%E -1.83%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.74%E -3.82%K -19.73%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-26 15:10 |
| theScore Bet | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -7.30%E -1.83%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.74%E -3.82%K -19.73%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-26 15:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -7.30%E -1.83%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.74%E -3.82%K -19.73%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-26 15:10 |
| Betway | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.30%E -1.83%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.27%E -5.14%K -28.51%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-26 15:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.30%E -1.83%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.27%E -5.14%K -28.51%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-26 15:30 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -8.46%E -2.14%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -5.50%E -4.48%K -23.93%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-26 15:10 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -8.46%E -2.14%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -5.50%E -4.48%K -23.93%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-26 15:10 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -8.46%E -2.14%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -5.50%E -4.48%K -23.93%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-26 15:10 |
| BetMGM | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -9.62%E -2.47%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -3.97%E -3.17%K -15.87%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-26 15:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -11.94%E -3.14%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -3.20%E -2.54%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-26 15:10 |
| Neds | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -11.94%E -3.14%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -3.20%E -2.54%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-26 15:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -11.94%E -3.14%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -3.97%E -3.17%K -15.87%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-26 15:10 |
| Coral | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -11.94%E -3.14%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -3.97%E -3.17%K -15.87%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-26 15:10 |
| Everygame | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -11.94%E -3.14%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -3.97%E -3.17%K -15.87%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-26 15:10 |
| Caesars | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -11.94%E -3.14%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -3.97%E -3.17%K -15.87%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-26 15:10 |
| Bet Victor | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -13.10%E -3.49%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.27%E -5.14%K -28.51%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-26 15:09 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86% | 0.6% | 2026-05-26 15:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86% | 0.6% | 2026-05-26 15:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86% | 0.6% | 2026-05-26 15:50 |
| Matchbook | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86% | 0.6% | 2026-05-26 15:50 |
| Smarkets | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.50% | 1.1% | 2026-05-26 15:40 |
| Novig | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.74% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.26% | 2.2% | 2026-05-26 15:50 |