Language:English
Francisco Cerundolo v Hugo Gaston
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Francisco Cerundolo (Local)
Prediction 88.11%1.14fair odd
EV -3.08%
Edge -2.80%
Kelly -30.84%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
85.53%87.95%88.18%91.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.061.091.081.1094.34%92.08%92.59%90.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Hugo Gaston (Visit)
Prediction 11.89%8.41fair odd
EV +36.79%
Edge +3.20%
Kelly +3.50%
Growth +1.29%
assuming max odds 11.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
8.44%12.05%11.82%14.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.507.647.5011.5015.38%13.09%13.33%8.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Francisco Cerundolo (Local): 88.11%; Hugo Gaston (Visit): 11.89%. For Hugo Gaston (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 8.41. 9 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 11.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +36.79%.
Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 91.56%EV -6.61%E -6.23%K -110.14%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.44%EV +36.79%E +3.20%K +3.50%G +1.29% | 3.0% | 2026-05-28 11:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -6.61%E -6.23%K -110.14%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV +13.00%E +1.37%K +1.53%G +0.199% | 4.9% | 2026-05-28 10:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.48%EV -5.73%E -5.35%K -81.82%G +0.000% | 9.10I 10.99%NM 10.52%EV +8.24%E +0.906%K +1.02%G +0.084% | 4.4% | 2026-05-28 10:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.57%EV -6.61%E -6.23%K -110.14%G +0.000% | 9.10I 10.99%NM 10.43%EV +8.24%E +0.906%K +1.02%G +0.084% | 5.3% | 2026-05-28 11:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 89.20%EV -3.97%E -3.64%K -44.06%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.80%EV +7.05%E +0.784%K +0.881%G +0.062% | 2.9% | 2026-05-28 09:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -5.73%E -5.35%K -81.82%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV +7.05%E +0.784%K +0.881%G +0.062% | 4.6% | 2026-05-28 10:39 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.85%E -4.49%K -60.58%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV +1.10%E +0.130%K +0.147%G +0.002% | 4.4% | 2026-05-28 10:39 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.85%E -4.49%K -60.58%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV +1.10%E +0.130%K +0.147%G +0.002% | 4.4% | 2026-05-28 07:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -6.61%E -6.23%K -110.14%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV +1.10%E +0.130%K +0.147%G +0.002% | 6.1% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.61%EV -4.85%E -4.49%K -60.58%G +0.000% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.39%EV -0.085%E -0.010%K -0.011%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-28 10:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.61%EV -4.85%E -4.49%K -60.58%G +0.000% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.39%EV -0.085%E -0.010%K -0.011%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-28 10:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.49%EV -4.85%E -4.49%K -60.58%G +0.000% | 8.30I 12.05%NM 11.51%EV -1.27%E -0.154%K -0.175%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-28 07:48 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.52%EV -5.73%E -5.35%K -81.82%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.48%EV -1.87%E -0.227%K -0.258%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-28 11:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.55%EV -6.61%E -6.23%K -110.14%G +0.000% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.45%EV -2.46%E -0.300%K -0.342%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-28 11:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 88.16%EV -3.08%E -2.80%K -30.84%G +0.000% | 8.19I 12.21%NM 11.84%EV -2.58%E -0.315%K -0.359%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-28 10:39 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.24%EV -4.85%E -4.49%K -60.58%G +0.000% | 8.10I 12.35%NM 11.76%EV -3.65%E -0.451%K -0.515%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-28 10:39 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.24%EV -4.85%E -4.49%K -60.58%G +0.000% | 8.10I 12.35%NM 11.76%EV -3.65%E -0.451%K -0.515%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-28 10:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.85%E -4.49%K -60.58%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -4.84%E -0.605%K -0.692%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-28 07:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.85%E -4.49%K -60.58%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -4.84%E -0.605%K -0.692%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-28 07:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.85%E -4.49%K -60.58%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -4.84%E -0.605%K -0.692%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-28 07:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.73%E -5.35%K -81.82%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -4.84%E -0.605%K -0.692%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-28 11:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.73%E -5.35%K -81.82%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -4.84%E -0.605%K -0.692%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-28 10:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.85%EV -3.97%E -3.64%K -44.06%G +0.000% | 7.88I 12.69%NM 12.15%EV -6.27%E -0.796%K -0.911%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-27 07:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.85%EV -3.97%E -3.64%K -44.06%G +0.000% | 7.88I 12.69%NM 12.15%EV -6.27%E -0.796%K -0.911%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-27 07:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.67%EV -3.97%E -3.64%K -44.06%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.33%EV -7.82%E -1.01%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-27 14:38 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.70%EV -4.85%E -4.49%K -60.58%G +0.000% | 7.70I 12.99%NM 12.30%EV -8.41%E -1.09%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-28 02:39 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.85%E -4.49%K -60.58%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -10.79%E -1.44%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-28 06:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.85%E -4.49%K -60.58%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -10.79%E -1.44%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-28 06:50 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.85%E -4.49%K -60.58%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -10.79%E -1.44%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-26 08:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.85%E -4.49%K -60.58%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -10.79%E -1.44%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-26 12:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.85%E -4.49%K -60.58%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -10.79%E -1.44%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-26 12:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.85%E -4.49%K -60.58%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -10.79%E -1.44%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-26 12:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.85%E -4.49%K -60.58%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -10.79%E -1.44%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-26 12:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.85%E -4.49%K -60.58%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -10.79%E -1.44%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-27 06:20 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.24%EV -3.97%E -3.64%K -44.06%G +0.000% | 7.45I 13.42%NM 12.76%EV -11.38%E -1.53%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-27 19:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.09%EV -3.08%E -2.80%K -30.84%G +0.000% | 7.42I 13.48%NM 12.91%EV -11.74%E -1.58%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-26 16:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.85%EV -3.97%E -3.64%K -44.06%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.15%EV -14.36%E -1.99%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-28 07:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.08%E -2.80%K -30.84%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -16.74%E -2.39%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-27 19:49 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.08%E -2.80%K -30.84%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -16.74%E -2.39%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-27 19:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.08%E -2.80%K -30.84%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -16.74%E -2.39%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-27 19:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.08%E -2.80%K -30.84%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -16.74%E -2.39%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-27 19:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.08%E -2.80%K -30.84%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -16.74%E -2.39%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-27 19:49 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.08%E -2.80%K -30.84%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -16.74%E -2.39%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-27 19:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.08%E -2.80%K -30.84%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -16.74%E -2.39%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-27 19:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.08%E -2.80%K -30.84%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -16.74%E -2.39%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-27 19:49 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.08%E -2.80%K -30.84%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -16.74%E -2.39%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-27 19:49 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.08%E -2.80%K -30.84%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -16.74%E -2.39%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-27 19:49 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.08%E -2.80%K -30.84%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -16.74%E -2.39%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-27 19:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.08%E -2.80%K -30.84%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -16.74%E -2.39%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-27 19:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.08%E -2.80%K -30.84%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -16.74%E -2.39%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-27 19:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.08%E -2.80%K -30.84%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -16.74%E -2.39%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-27 19:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.08%E -2.80%K -30.84%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -16.74%E -2.39%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-26 09:20 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -4.85%E -4.49%K -60.58%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -16.74%E -2.39%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-26 09:59 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -4.85%E -4.49%K -60.58%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -16.74%E -2.39%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-27 07:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -3.08%E -2.80%K -30.84%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -19.71%E -2.92%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-28 10:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -3.08%E -2.80%K -30.84%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -19.71%E -2.92%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-26 09:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -3.08%E -2.80%K -30.84%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -19.71%E -2.92%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-26 09:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -3.08%E -2.80%K -30.84%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -19.71%E -2.92%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-26 09:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -3.97%E -3.64%K -44.06%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -19.71%E -2.92%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-27 19:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -3.97%E -3.64%K -44.06%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -19.71%E -2.92%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-27 19:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -3.97%E -3.64%K -44.06%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -19.71%E -2.92%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-27 19:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -3.08%E -2.80%K -30.84%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -22.68%E -3.49%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-26 09:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -4.85%E -4.49%K -60.58%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -22.68%E -3.49%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-26 09:08 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.11I 90.09%NM 89.44% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 10.56% | 0.7% | 2026-05-28 11:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.11I 90.09%NM 89.44% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 10.56% | 0.7% | 2026-05-28 11:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.11I 90.09%NM 89.44% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 10.56% | 0.7% | 2026-05-28 11:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 89.52% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 10.48% | 1.5% | 2026-05-28 10:50 |
| Novig◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 88.78% | 8.70I 11.49%NM 11.22% | 2.4% | 2026-05-28 11:00 |