L’École des cotes

Francisco Cerundolo v Hugo Gaston

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-28 11:15 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

63 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Francisco Cerundolo (Local)

Prévision 88.11%1.14cote équitable
EV -3.08%
Avantage -2.80%
Kelly -30.84%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
85.53%87.95%88.18%91.56%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.061.091.081.1094.34%92.08%92.59%90.91%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Hugo Gaston (Visiteur)

Prévision 11.89%8.41cote équitable
EV +36.79%
Avantage +3.20%
Kelly +3.50%
Croissance +1.29%

avec la cote maximale 11.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
8.44%12.05%11.82%14.47%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
6.507.647.5011.5015.38%13.09%13.33%8.70%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (63 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
1xBet1.06I 94.34%NM 91.56%EV -6.61%E -6.23%K -110.14%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.44%EV +36.79%E +3.20%K +3.50%G +1.29%3.0%2026-05-28 11:00
SportsBet1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -6.61%E -6.23%K -110.14%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV +13.00%E +1.37%K +1.53%G +0.199%4.9%2026-05-28 10:54
FanDuel1.07I 93.46%NM 89.48%EV -5.73%E -5.35%K -81.82%G +0.000%9.10I 10.99%NM 10.52%EV +8.24%E +0.906%K +1.02%G +0.084%4.4%2026-05-28 10:40
Marathon Bet1.06I 94.34%NM 89.57%EV -6.61%E -6.23%K -110.14%G +0.000%9.10I 10.99%NM 10.43%EV +8.24%E +0.906%K +1.02%G +0.084%5.3%2026-05-28 11:00
Coolbet1.09I 91.74%NM 89.20%EV -3.97%E -3.64%K -44.06%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.80%EV +7.05%E +0.784%K +0.881%G +0.062%2.9%2026-05-28 09:10
Paddy Power1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -5.73%E -5.35%K -81.82%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV +7.05%E +0.784%K +0.881%G +0.062%4.6%2026-05-28 10:39
Winamax (DE)1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.85%E -4.49%K -60.58%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV +1.10%E +0.130%K +0.147%G +0.002%4.4%2026-05-28 10:39
Unibet (UK)1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.85%E -4.49%K -60.58%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV +1.10%E +0.130%K +0.147%G +0.002%4.4%2026-05-28 07:40
Tipico (DE)1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -6.61%E -6.23%K -110.14%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV +1.10%E +0.130%K +0.147%G +0.002%6.1%2026-05-26 09:10
Codere (IT)1.08I 92.59%NM 88.61%EV -4.85%E -4.49%K -60.58%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.39%EV -0.085%E -0.010%K -0.011%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-28 10:35
Betclic (FR)1.08I 92.59%NM 88.61%EV -4.85%E -4.49%K -60.58%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.39%EV -0.085%E -0.010%K -0.011%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-28 10:40
Fanatics1.08I 92.59%NM 88.49%EV -4.85%E -4.49%K -60.58%G +0.000%8.30I 12.05%NM 11.51%EV -1.27%E -0.154%K -0.175%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-28 07:48
NetBet (FR)1.07I 93.46%NM 88.52%EV -5.73%E -5.35%K -81.82%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.48%EV -1.87%E -0.227%K -0.258%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-28 11:00
Fliff1.06I 94.34%NM 88.55%EV -6.61%E -6.23%K -110.14%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.45%EV -2.46%E -0.300%K -0.342%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-28 11:00
Pinnacle1.10I 90.91%NM 88.16%EV -3.08%E -2.80%K -30.84%G +0.000%8.19I 12.21%NM 11.84%EV -2.58%E -0.315%K -0.359%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-28 10:39
Unibet (FR)1.08I 92.59%NM 88.24%EV -4.85%E -4.49%K -60.58%G +0.000%8.10I 12.35%NM 11.76%EV -3.65%E -0.451%K -0.515%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-28 10:39
MyBookie.ag1.08I 92.59%NM 88.24%EV -4.85%E -4.49%K -60.58%G +0.000%8.10I 12.35%NM 11.76%EV -3.65%E -0.451%K -0.515%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-28 10:40
Bet Right1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.85%E -4.49%K -60.58%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -4.84%E -0.605%K -0.692%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-28 07:50
NordicBet1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.85%E -4.49%K -60.58%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -4.84%E -0.605%K -0.692%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-28 07:50
Betsson1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.85%E -4.49%K -60.58%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -4.84%E -0.605%K -0.692%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-28 07:50
Betway1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.73%E -5.35%K -81.82%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -4.84%E -0.605%K -0.692%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-28 11:00
Winamax (FR)1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.73%E -5.35%K -81.82%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -4.84%E -0.605%K -0.692%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-28 10:40
BetOnline.ag1.09I 91.74%NM 87.85%EV -3.97%E -3.64%K -44.06%G +0.000%7.88I 12.69%NM 12.15%EV -6.27%E -0.796%K -0.911%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-27 07:40
LowVig.ag1.09I 91.74%NM 87.85%EV -3.97%E -3.64%K -44.06%G +0.000%7.88I 12.69%NM 12.15%EV -6.27%E -0.796%K -0.911%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-27 07:40
Bovada1.09I 91.74%NM 87.67%EV -3.97%E -3.64%K -44.06%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.33%EV -7.82%E -1.01%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-27 14:38
DraftKings1.08I 92.59%NM 87.70%EV -4.85%E -4.49%K -60.58%G +0.000%7.70I 12.99%NM 12.30%EV -8.41%E -1.09%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-28 02:39
Betr (AU)1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.85%E -4.49%K -60.58%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -10.79%E -1.44%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-28 06:50
PointsBet (AU)1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.85%E -4.49%K -60.58%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -10.79%E -1.44%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-28 06:50
Everygame1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.85%E -4.49%K -60.58%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -10.79%E -1.44%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-26 08:20
888sport1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.85%E -4.49%K -60.58%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -10.79%E -1.44%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-26 12:50
888sport (SE)1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.85%E -4.49%K -60.58%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -10.79%E -1.44%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-26 12:50
Mr Green (SE)1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.85%E -4.49%K -60.58%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -10.79%E -1.44%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-26 12:50
William Hill1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.85%E -4.49%K -60.58%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -10.79%E -1.44%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-26 12:50
BetUS1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.85%E -4.49%K -60.58%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -10.79%E -1.44%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-27 06:20
BetAnything1.09I 91.74%NM 87.24%EV -3.97%E -3.64%K -44.06%G +0.000%7.45I 13.42%NM 12.76%EV -11.38%E -1.53%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 19:40
GTbets1.10I 90.91%NM 87.09%EV -3.08%E -2.80%K -30.84%G +0.000%7.42I 13.48%NM 12.91%EV -11.74%E -1.58%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-26 16:40
theScore Bet1.09I 91.74%NM 86.85%EV -3.97%E -3.64%K -44.06%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.15%EV -14.36%E -1.99%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-28 07:00
Unibet1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.08%E -2.80%K -30.84%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -16.74%E -2.39%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 19:49
Unibet (NL)1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.08%E -2.80%K -30.84%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -16.74%E -2.39%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 19:40
Grosvenor1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.08%E -2.80%K -30.84%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -16.74%E -2.39%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 19:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.08%E -2.80%K -30.84%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -16.74%E -2.39%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 19:40
TABtouch1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.08%E -2.80%K -30.84%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -16.74%E -2.39%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 19:49
LeoVegas1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.08%E -2.80%K -30.84%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -16.74%E -2.39%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 19:50
Unibet (SE)1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.08%E -2.80%K -30.84%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -16.74%E -2.39%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 19:40
BetRivers1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.08%E -2.80%K -30.84%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -16.74%E -2.39%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 19:49
Casumo1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.08%E -2.80%K -30.84%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -16.74%E -2.39%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 19:49
ATG (SE)1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.08%E -2.80%K -30.84%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -16.74%E -2.39%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 19:49
Svenska Spel1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.08%E -2.80%K -30.84%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -16.74%E -2.39%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 19:40
Bally Bet1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.08%E -2.80%K -30.84%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -16.74%E -2.39%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 19:40
betPARX1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.08%E -2.80%K -30.84%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -16.74%E -2.39%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 19:40
Hard Rock Bet1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.08%E -2.80%K -30.84%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -16.74%E -2.39%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 19:49
Ladbrokes (UK)1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.08%E -2.80%K -30.84%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -16.74%E -2.39%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-26 09:20
Caesars1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -4.85%E -4.49%K -60.58%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -16.74%E -2.39%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-26 09:59
TAB1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -4.85%E -4.49%K -60.58%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -16.74%E -2.39%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-27 07:40
PlayUp1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -3.08%E -2.80%K -30.84%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -19.71%E -2.92%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-28 10:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -3.08%E -2.80%K -30.84%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -19.71%E -2.92%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-26 09:20
Neds1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -3.08%E -2.80%K -30.84%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -19.71%E -2.92%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-26 09:20
BetMGM1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -3.08%E -2.80%K -30.84%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -19.71%E -2.92%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-26 09:20
Virgin Bet1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -3.97%E -3.64%K -44.06%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -19.71%E -2.92%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-27 19:50
PMU (FR)1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -3.97%E -3.64%K -44.06%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -19.71%E -2.92%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-27 19:40
LiveScore Bet1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -3.97%E -3.64%K -44.06%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -19.71%E -2.92%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-27 19:50
Coral1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -3.08%E -2.80%K -30.84%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -22.68%E -3.49%K -4.12%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-26 09:20
Bet Victor1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -4.85%E -4.49%K -60.58%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -22.68%E -3.49%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-26 09:08
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.11I 90.09%NM 89.44%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.56%0.7%2026-05-28 11:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.11I 90.09%NM 89.44%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.56%0.7%2026-05-28 11:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.11I 90.09%NM 89.44%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.56%0.7%2026-05-28 11:00
Smarkets1.10I 90.91%NM 89.52%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.48%1.5%2026-05-28 10:50
Novig1.10I 90.91%NM 88.78%8.70I 11.49%NM 11.22%2.4%2026-05-28 11:00