La scuola delle quote

Francisco Cerundolo v Hugo Gaston

Inizio: 2026-05-28 11:15 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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63 bookmaker (22 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Francisco Cerundolo (Casa)

Previsione 88.11%1.14quota equa
EV -3.08%
Vantaggio -2.80%
Kelly -30.84%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.10

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
85.53%87.95%88.18%91.56%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.061.091.081.1094.34%92.08%92.59%90.91%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Hugo Gaston (Trasferta)

Previsione 11.89%8.41quota equa
EV +36.79%
Vantaggio +3.20%
Kelly +3.50%
Crescita +1.29%

ipotizzando la quota massima 11.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
8.44%12.05%11.82%14.47%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
6.507.647.5011.5015.38%13.09%13.33%8.70%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (63 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
1xBet1.06I 94.34%NM 91.56%EV -6.61%E -6.23%K -110.14%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.44%EV +36.79%E +3.20%K +3.50%G +1.29%3.0%2026-05-28 11:00
SportsBet1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -6.61%E -6.23%K -110.14%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV +13.00%E +1.37%K +1.53%G +0.199%4.9%2026-05-28 10:54
FanDuel1.07I 93.46%NM 89.48%EV -5.73%E -5.35%K -81.82%G +0.000%9.10I 10.99%NM 10.52%EV +8.24%E +0.906%K +1.02%G +0.084%4.4%2026-05-28 10:40
Marathon Bet1.06I 94.34%NM 89.57%EV -6.61%E -6.23%K -110.14%G +0.000%9.10I 10.99%NM 10.43%EV +8.24%E +0.906%K +1.02%G +0.084%5.3%2026-05-28 11:00
Coolbet1.09I 91.74%NM 89.20%EV -3.97%E -3.64%K -44.06%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.80%EV +7.05%E +0.784%K +0.881%G +0.062%2.9%2026-05-28 09:10
Paddy Power1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -5.73%E -5.35%K -81.82%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV +7.05%E +0.784%K +0.881%G +0.062%4.6%2026-05-28 10:39
Winamax (DE)1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.85%E -4.49%K -60.58%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV +1.10%E +0.130%K +0.147%G +0.002%4.4%2026-05-28 10:39
Unibet (UK)1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.85%E -4.49%K -60.58%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV +1.10%E +0.130%K +0.147%G +0.002%4.4%2026-05-28 07:40
Tipico (DE)1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -6.61%E -6.23%K -110.14%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV +1.10%E +0.130%K +0.147%G +0.002%6.1%2026-05-26 09:10
Codere (IT)1.08I 92.59%NM 88.61%EV -4.85%E -4.49%K -60.58%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.39%EV -0.085%E -0.010%K -0.011%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-28 10:35
Betclic (FR)1.08I 92.59%NM 88.61%EV -4.85%E -4.49%K -60.58%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.39%EV -0.085%E -0.010%K -0.011%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-28 10:40
Fanatics1.08I 92.59%NM 88.49%EV -4.85%E -4.49%K -60.58%G +0.000%8.30I 12.05%NM 11.51%EV -1.27%E -0.154%K -0.175%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-28 07:48
NetBet (FR)1.07I 93.46%NM 88.52%EV -5.73%E -5.35%K -81.82%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.48%EV -1.87%E -0.227%K -0.258%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-28 11:00
Fliff1.06I 94.34%NM 88.55%EV -6.61%E -6.23%K -110.14%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.45%EV -2.46%E -0.300%K -0.342%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-28 11:00
Pinnacle1.10I 90.91%NM 88.16%EV -3.08%E -2.80%K -30.84%G +0.000%8.19I 12.21%NM 11.84%EV -2.58%E -0.315%K -0.359%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-28 10:39
Unibet (FR)1.08I 92.59%NM 88.24%EV -4.85%E -4.49%K -60.58%G +0.000%8.10I 12.35%NM 11.76%EV -3.65%E -0.451%K -0.515%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-28 10:39
MyBookie.ag1.08I 92.59%NM 88.24%EV -4.85%E -4.49%K -60.58%G +0.000%8.10I 12.35%NM 11.76%EV -3.65%E -0.451%K -0.515%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-28 10:40
Bet Right1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.85%E -4.49%K -60.58%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -4.84%E -0.605%K -0.692%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-28 07:50
NordicBet1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.85%E -4.49%K -60.58%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -4.84%E -0.605%K -0.692%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-28 07:50
Betsson1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.85%E -4.49%K -60.58%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -4.84%E -0.605%K -0.692%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-28 07:50
Betway1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.73%E -5.35%K -81.82%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -4.84%E -0.605%K -0.692%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-28 11:00
Winamax (FR)1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.73%E -5.35%K -81.82%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -4.84%E -0.605%K -0.692%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-28 10:40
BetOnline.ag1.09I 91.74%NM 87.85%EV -3.97%E -3.64%K -44.06%G +0.000%7.88I 12.69%NM 12.15%EV -6.27%E -0.796%K -0.911%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-27 07:40
LowVig.ag1.09I 91.74%NM 87.85%EV -3.97%E -3.64%K -44.06%G +0.000%7.88I 12.69%NM 12.15%EV -6.27%E -0.796%K -0.911%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-27 07:40
Bovada1.09I 91.74%NM 87.67%EV -3.97%E -3.64%K -44.06%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.33%EV -7.82%E -1.01%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-27 14:38
DraftKings1.08I 92.59%NM 87.70%EV -4.85%E -4.49%K -60.58%G +0.000%7.70I 12.99%NM 12.30%EV -8.41%E -1.09%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-28 02:39
Betr (AU)1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.85%E -4.49%K -60.58%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -10.79%E -1.44%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-28 06:50
PointsBet (AU)1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.85%E -4.49%K -60.58%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -10.79%E -1.44%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-28 06:50
Everygame1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.85%E -4.49%K -60.58%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -10.79%E -1.44%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-26 08:20
888sport1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.85%E -4.49%K -60.58%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -10.79%E -1.44%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-26 12:50
888sport (SE)1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.85%E -4.49%K -60.58%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -10.79%E -1.44%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-26 12:50
Mr Green (SE)1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.85%E -4.49%K -60.58%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -10.79%E -1.44%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-26 12:50
William Hill1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.85%E -4.49%K -60.58%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -10.79%E -1.44%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-26 12:50
BetUS1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.85%E -4.49%K -60.58%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -10.79%E -1.44%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-27 06:20
BetAnything1.09I 91.74%NM 87.24%EV -3.97%E -3.64%K -44.06%G +0.000%7.45I 13.42%NM 12.76%EV -11.38%E -1.53%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 19:40
GTbets1.10I 90.91%NM 87.09%EV -3.08%E -2.80%K -30.84%G +0.000%7.42I 13.48%NM 12.91%EV -11.74%E -1.58%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-26 16:40
theScore Bet1.09I 91.74%NM 86.85%EV -3.97%E -3.64%K -44.06%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.15%EV -14.36%E -1.99%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-28 07:00
Unibet1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.08%E -2.80%K -30.84%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -16.74%E -2.39%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 19:49
Unibet (NL)1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.08%E -2.80%K -30.84%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -16.74%E -2.39%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 19:40
Grosvenor1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.08%E -2.80%K -30.84%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -16.74%E -2.39%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 19:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.08%E -2.80%K -30.84%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -16.74%E -2.39%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 19:40
TABtouch1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.08%E -2.80%K -30.84%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -16.74%E -2.39%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 19:49
LeoVegas1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.08%E -2.80%K -30.84%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -16.74%E -2.39%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 19:50
Unibet (SE)1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.08%E -2.80%K -30.84%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -16.74%E -2.39%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 19:40
BetRivers1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.08%E -2.80%K -30.84%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -16.74%E -2.39%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 19:49
Casumo1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.08%E -2.80%K -30.84%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -16.74%E -2.39%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 19:49
ATG (SE)1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.08%E -2.80%K -30.84%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -16.74%E -2.39%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 19:49
Svenska Spel1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.08%E -2.80%K -30.84%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -16.74%E -2.39%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 19:40
Bally Bet1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.08%E -2.80%K -30.84%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -16.74%E -2.39%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 19:40
betPARX1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.08%E -2.80%K -30.84%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -16.74%E -2.39%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 19:40
Hard Rock Bet1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.08%E -2.80%K -30.84%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -16.74%E -2.39%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 19:49
Ladbrokes (UK)1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.08%E -2.80%K -30.84%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -16.74%E -2.39%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-26 09:20
Caesars1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -4.85%E -4.49%K -60.58%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -16.74%E -2.39%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-26 09:59
TAB1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -4.85%E -4.49%K -60.58%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -16.74%E -2.39%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-27 07:40
PlayUp1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -3.08%E -2.80%K -30.84%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -19.71%E -2.92%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-28 10:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -3.08%E -2.80%K -30.84%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -19.71%E -2.92%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-26 09:20
Neds1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -3.08%E -2.80%K -30.84%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -19.71%E -2.92%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-26 09:20
BetMGM1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -3.08%E -2.80%K -30.84%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -19.71%E -2.92%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-26 09:20
Virgin Bet1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -3.97%E -3.64%K -44.06%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -19.71%E -2.92%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-27 19:50
PMU (FR)1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -3.97%E -3.64%K -44.06%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -19.71%E -2.92%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-27 19:40
LiveScore Bet1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -3.97%E -3.64%K -44.06%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -19.71%E -2.92%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-27 19:50
Coral1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -3.08%E -2.80%K -30.84%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -22.68%E -3.49%K -4.12%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-26 09:20
Bet Victor1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -4.85%E -4.49%K -60.58%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -22.68%E -3.49%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-26 09:08
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.11I 90.09%NM 89.44%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.56%0.7%2026-05-28 11:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.11I 90.09%NM 89.44%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.56%0.7%2026-05-28 11:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.11I 90.09%NM 89.44%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.56%0.7%2026-05-28 11:00
Smarkets1.10I 90.91%NM 89.52%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.48%1.5%2026-05-28 10:50
Novig1.10I 90.91%NM 88.78%8.70I 11.49%NM 11.22%2.4%2026-05-28 11:00