La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Francisco Cerundolo v Hugo Gaston
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Francisco Cerundolo (Local)
Predicción 88.11%1.14momio equitativo
EV -3.08%
Ventaja -2.80%
Kelly -30.84%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
85.53%87.95%88.18%91.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.061.091.081.1094.34%92.08%92.59%90.91%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Hugo Gaston (Visitante)
Predicción 11.89%8.41momio equitativo
EV +36.79%
Ventaja +3.20%
Kelly +3.50%
Crecimiento +1.29%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 11.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
8.44%12.05%11.82%14.47%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
6.507.647.5011.5015.38%13.09%13.33%8.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.06I 94.34%NM 91.56%EV -6.61%E -6.23%K -110.14%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.44%EV +36.79%E +3.20%K +3.50%G +1.29% | 3.0% | 2026-05-28 11:00 |
| SportsBet | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -6.61%E -6.23%K -110.14%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV +13.00%E +1.37%K +1.53%G +0.199% | 4.9% | 2026-05-28 10:54 |
| FanDuel | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.48%EV -5.73%E -5.35%K -81.82%G +0.000% | 9.10I 10.99%NM 10.52%EV +8.24%E +0.906%K +1.02%G +0.084% | 4.4% | 2026-05-28 10:40 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.57%EV -6.61%E -6.23%K -110.14%G +0.000% | 9.10I 10.99%NM 10.43%EV +8.24%E +0.906%K +1.02%G +0.084% | 5.3% | 2026-05-28 11:00 |
| Coolbet | 1.09I 91.74%NM 89.20%EV -3.97%E -3.64%K -44.06%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.80%EV +7.05%E +0.784%K +0.881%G +0.062% | 2.9% | 2026-05-28 09:10 |
| Paddy Power | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -5.73%E -5.35%K -81.82%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV +7.05%E +0.784%K +0.881%G +0.062% | 4.6% | 2026-05-28 10:39 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.85%E -4.49%K -60.58%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV +1.10%E +0.130%K +0.147%G +0.002% | 4.4% | 2026-05-28 10:39 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.85%E -4.49%K -60.58%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV +1.10%E +0.130%K +0.147%G +0.002% | 4.4% | 2026-05-28 07:40 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -6.61%E -6.23%K -110.14%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV +1.10%E +0.130%K +0.147%G +0.002% | 6.1% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.61%EV -4.85%E -4.49%K -60.58%G +0.000% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.39%EV -0.085%E -0.010%K -0.011%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-28 10:35 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.61%EV -4.85%E -4.49%K -60.58%G +0.000% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.39%EV -0.085%E -0.010%K -0.011%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-28 10:40 |
| Fanatics | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.49%EV -4.85%E -4.49%K -60.58%G +0.000% | 8.30I 12.05%NM 11.51%EV -1.27%E -0.154%K -0.175%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-28 07:48 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.52%EV -5.73%E -5.35%K -81.82%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.48%EV -1.87%E -0.227%K -0.258%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-28 11:00 |
| Fliff | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.55%EV -6.61%E -6.23%K -110.14%G +0.000% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.45%EV -2.46%E -0.300%K -0.342%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-28 11:00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.10I 90.91%NM 88.16%EV -3.08%E -2.80%K -30.84%G +0.000% | 8.19I 12.21%NM 11.84%EV -2.58%E -0.315%K -0.359%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-28 10:39 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.24%EV -4.85%E -4.49%K -60.58%G +0.000% | 8.10I 12.35%NM 11.76%EV -3.65%E -0.451%K -0.515%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-28 10:39 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.24%EV -4.85%E -4.49%K -60.58%G +0.000% | 8.10I 12.35%NM 11.76%EV -3.65%E -0.451%K -0.515%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-28 10:40 |
| Bet Right | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.85%E -4.49%K -60.58%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -4.84%E -0.605%K -0.692%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-28 07:50 |
| NordicBet | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.85%E -4.49%K -60.58%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -4.84%E -0.605%K -0.692%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-28 07:50 |
| Betsson | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.85%E -4.49%K -60.58%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -4.84%E -0.605%K -0.692%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-28 07:50 |
| Betway | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.73%E -5.35%K -81.82%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -4.84%E -0.605%K -0.692%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-28 11:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.73%E -5.35%K -81.82%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -4.84%E -0.605%K -0.692%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-28 10:40 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.85%EV -3.97%E -3.64%K -44.06%G +0.000% | 7.88I 12.69%NM 12.15%EV -6.27%E -0.796%K -0.911%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-27 07:40 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.85%EV -3.97%E -3.64%K -44.06%G +0.000% | 7.88I 12.69%NM 12.15%EV -6.27%E -0.796%K -0.911%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-27 07:40 |
| Bovada | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.67%EV -3.97%E -3.64%K -44.06%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.33%EV -7.82%E -1.01%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-27 14:38 |
| DraftKings | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.70%EV -4.85%E -4.49%K -60.58%G +0.000% | 7.70I 12.99%NM 12.30%EV -8.41%E -1.09%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-28 02:39 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.85%E -4.49%K -60.58%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -10.79%E -1.44%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-28 06:50 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.85%E -4.49%K -60.58%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -10.79%E -1.44%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-28 06:50 |
| Everygame | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.85%E -4.49%K -60.58%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -10.79%E -1.44%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-26 08:20 |
| 888sport | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.85%E -4.49%K -60.58%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -10.79%E -1.44%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-26 12:50 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.85%E -4.49%K -60.58%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -10.79%E -1.44%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-26 12:50 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.85%E -4.49%K -60.58%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -10.79%E -1.44%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-26 12:50 |
| William Hill | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.85%E -4.49%K -60.58%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -10.79%E -1.44%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-26 12:50 |
| BetUS | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.85%E -4.49%K -60.58%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -10.79%E -1.44%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-27 06:20 |
| BetAnything | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.24%EV -3.97%E -3.64%K -44.06%G +0.000% | 7.45I 13.42%NM 12.76%EV -11.38%E -1.53%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-27 19:40 |
| GTbets | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.09%EV -3.08%E -2.80%K -30.84%G +0.000% | 7.42I 13.48%NM 12.91%EV -11.74%E -1.58%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-26 16:40 |
| theScore Bet | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.85%EV -3.97%E -3.64%K -44.06%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.15%EV -14.36%E -1.99%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-28 07:00 |
| Unibet | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.08%E -2.80%K -30.84%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -16.74%E -2.39%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-27 19:49 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.08%E -2.80%K -30.84%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -16.74%E -2.39%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-27 19:40 |
| Grosvenor | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.08%E -2.80%K -30.84%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -16.74%E -2.39%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-27 19:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.08%E -2.80%K -30.84%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -16.74%E -2.39%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-27 19:40 |
| TABtouch | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.08%E -2.80%K -30.84%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -16.74%E -2.39%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-27 19:49 |
| LeoVegas | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.08%E -2.80%K -30.84%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -16.74%E -2.39%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-27 19:50 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.08%E -2.80%K -30.84%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -16.74%E -2.39%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-27 19:40 |
| BetRivers | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.08%E -2.80%K -30.84%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -16.74%E -2.39%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-27 19:49 |
| Casumo | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.08%E -2.80%K -30.84%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -16.74%E -2.39%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-27 19:49 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.08%E -2.80%K -30.84%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -16.74%E -2.39%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-27 19:49 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.08%E -2.80%K -30.84%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -16.74%E -2.39%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-27 19:40 |
| Bally Bet | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.08%E -2.80%K -30.84%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -16.74%E -2.39%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-27 19:40 |
| betPARX | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.08%E -2.80%K -30.84%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -16.74%E -2.39%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-27 19:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.08%E -2.80%K -30.84%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -16.74%E -2.39%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-27 19:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.08%E -2.80%K -30.84%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -16.74%E -2.39%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-26 09:20 |
| Caesars | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -4.85%E -4.49%K -60.58%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -16.74%E -2.39%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-26 09:59 |
| TAB | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -4.85%E -4.49%K -60.58%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -16.74%E -2.39%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-27 07:40 |
| PlayUp | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -3.08%E -2.80%K -30.84%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -19.71%E -2.92%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-28 10:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -3.08%E -2.80%K -30.84%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -19.71%E -2.92%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-26 09:20 |
| Neds | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -3.08%E -2.80%K -30.84%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -19.71%E -2.92%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-26 09:20 |
| BetMGM | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -3.08%E -2.80%K -30.84%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -19.71%E -2.92%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-26 09:20 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -3.97%E -3.64%K -44.06%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -19.71%E -2.92%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-27 19:50 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -3.97%E -3.64%K -44.06%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -19.71%E -2.92%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-27 19:40 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -3.97%E -3.64%K -44.06%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -19.71%E -2.92%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-27 19:50 |
| Coral | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -3.08%E -2.80%K -30.84%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -22.68%E -3.49%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-26 09:20 |
| Bet Victor | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -4.85%E -4.49%K -60.58%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -22.68%E -3.49%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-26 09:08 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.11I 90.09%NM 89.44% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 10.56% | 0.7% | 2026-05-28 11:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.11I 90.09%NM 89.44% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 10.56% | 0.7% | 2026-05-28 11:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.11I 90.09%NM 89.44% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 10.56% | 0.7% | 2026-05-28 11:00 |
| Smarkets | 1.10I 90.91%NM 89.52% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 10.48% | 1.5% | 2026-05-28 10:50 |
| Novig | 1.10I 90.91%NM 88.78% | 8.70I 11.49%NM 11.22% | 2.4% | 2026-05-28 11:00 |