StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Francisco Cerundolo v Hugo Gaston

Matchstart: 2026-05-28 11:15 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

63 spelbolag (22 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Francisco Cerundolo (Hemma)

Prognos 88.11%1.14rättvist odds
EV -3.08%
Fördel -2.80%
Kelly -30.84%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.10

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
85.53%87.95%88.18%91.56%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.061.091.081.1094.34%92.08%92.59%90.91%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Hugo Gaston (Borta)

Prognos 11.89%8.41rättvist odds
EV +36.79%
Fördel +3.20%
Kelly +3.50%
Tillväxt +1.29%

med antagandet om högsta odds 11.50

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
8.44%12.05%11.82%14.47%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
6.507.647.5011.5015.38%13.09%13.33%8.70%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Francisco Cerundolo (Hemma): 88.11%; Hugo Gaston (Borta): 11.89%. För Hugo Gaston (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 8.41. 9 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 11.50, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +36.79%.

Spelbolagsodds (63 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼MarginalUppdaterat
1xBet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 91.56%EV -6.61%E -6.23%K -110.14%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.44%EV +36.79%E +3.20%K +3.50%G +1.29%3.0%2026-05-28 11:00
SportsBet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -6.61%E -6.23%K -110.14%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV +13.00%E +1.37%K +1.53%G +0.199%4.9%2026-05-28 10:54
FanDuel🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.48%EV -5.73%E -5.35%K -81.82%G +0.000%9.10I 10.99%NM 10.52%EV +8.24%E +0.906%K +1.02%G +0.084%4.4%2026-05-28 10:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.57%EV -6.61%E -6.23%K -110.14%G +0.000%9.10I 10.99%NM 10.43%EV +8.24%E +0.906%K +1.02%G +0.084%5.3%2026-05-28 11:00
Coolbet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 89.20%EV -3.97%E -3.64%K -44.06%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.80%EV +7.05%E +0.784%K +0.881%G +0.062%2.9%2026-05-28 09:10
Paddy Power🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -5.73%E -5.35%K -81.82%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV +7.05%E +0.784%K +0.881%G +0.062%4.6%2026-05-28 10:39
Winamax (DE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.85%E -4.49%K -60.58%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV +1.10%E +0.130%K +0.147%G +0.002%4.4%2026-05-28 10:39
Unibet (UK)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.85%E -4.49%K -60.58%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV +1.10%E +0.130%K +0.147%G +0.002%4.4%2026-05-28 07:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -6.61%E -6.23%K -110.14%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV +1.10%E +0.130%K +0.147%G +0.002%6.1%2026-05-26 09:10
Codere (IT)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.61%EV -4.85%E -4.49%K -60.58%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.39%EV -0.085%E -0.010%K -0.011%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-28 10:35
Betclic (FR)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.61%EV -4.85%E -4.49%K -60.58%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.39%EV -0.085%E -0.010%K -0.011%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-28 10:40
Fanatics🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.49%EV -4.85%E -4.49%K -60.58%G +0.000%8.30I 12.05%NM 11.51%EV -1.27%E -0.154%K -0.175%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-28 07:48
NetBet (FR)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.52%EV -5.73%E -5.35%K -81.82%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.48%EV -1.87%E -0.227%K -0.258%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-28 11:00
Fliff🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.55%EV -6.61%E -6.23%K -110.14%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.45%EV -2.46%E -0.300%K -0.342%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-28 11:00
Pinnacle🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 88.16%EV -3.08%E -2.80%K -30.84%G +0.000%8.19I 12.21%NM 11.84%EV -2.58%E -0.315%K -0.359%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-28 10:39
Unibet (FR)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.24%EV -4.85%E -4.49%K -60.58%G +0.000%8.10I 12.35%NM 11.76%EV -3.65%E -0.451%K -0.515%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-28 10:39
MyBookie.ag🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.24%EV -4.85%E -4.49%K -60.58%G +0.000%8.10I 12.35%NM 11.76%EV -3.65%E -0.451%K -0.515%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-28 10:40
Bet Right🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.85%E -4.49%K -60.58%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -4.84%E -0.605%K -0.692%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-28 07:50
NordicBet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.85%E -4.49%K -60.58%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -4.84%E -0.605%K -0.692%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-28 07:50
Betsson🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.85%E -4.49%K -60.58%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -4.84%E -0.605%K -0.692%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-28 07:50
Betway🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.73%E -5.35%K -81.82%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -4.84%E -0.605%K -0.692%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-28 11:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.73%E -5.35%K -81.82%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -4.84%E -0.605%K -0.692%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-28 10:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.85%EV -3.97%E -3.64%K -44.06%G +0.000%7.88I 12.69%NM 12.15%EV -6.27%E -0.796%K -0.911%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-27 07:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.85%EV -3.97%E -3.64%K -44.06%G +0.000%7.88I 12.69%NM 12.15%EV -6.27%E -0.796%K -0.911%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-27 07:40
Bovada🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.67%EV -3.97%E -3.64%K -44.06%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.33%EV -7.82%E -1.01%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-27 14:38
DraftKings🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.70%EV -4.85%E -4.49%K -60.58%G +0.000%7.70I 12.99%NM 12.30%EV -8.41%E -1.09%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-28 02:39
Betr (AU)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.85%E -4.49%K -60.58%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -10.79%E -1.44%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-28 06:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.85%E -4.49%K -60.58%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -10.79%E -1.44%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-28 06:50
Everygame🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.85%E -4.49%K -60.58%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -10.79%E -1.44%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-26 08:20
888sport🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.85%E -4.49%K -60.58%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -10.79%E -1.44%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-26 12:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.85%E -4.49%K -60.58%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -10.79%E -1.44%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-26 12:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.85%E -4.49%K -60.58%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -10.79%E -1.44%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-26 12:50
William Hill🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.85%E -4.49%K -60.58%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -10.79%E -1.44%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-26 12:50
BetUS🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.85%E -4.49%K -60.58%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -10.79%E -1.44%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-27 06:20
BetAnything🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.24%EV -3.97%E -3.64%K -44.06%G +0.000%7.45I 13.42%NM 12.76%EV -11.38%E -1.53%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 19:40
GTbets🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.09%EV -3.08%E -2.80%K -30.84%G +0.000%7.42I 13.48%NM 12.91%EV -11.74%E -1.58%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-26 16:40
theScore Bet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.85%EV -3.97%E -3.64%K -44.06%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.15%EV -14.36%E -1.99%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-28 07:00
Unibet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.08%E -2.80%K -30.84%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -16.74%E -2.39%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 19:49
Unibet (NL)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.08%E -2.80%K -30.84%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -16.74%E -2.39%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 19:40
Grosvenor🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.08%E -2.80%K -30.84%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -16.74%E -2.39%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 19:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.08%E -2.80%K -30.84%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -16.74%E -2.39%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 19:40
TABtouch🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.08%E -2.80%K -30.84%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -16.74%E -2.39%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 19:49
LeoVegas🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.08%E -2.80%K -30.84%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -16.74%E -2.39%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 19:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.08%E -2.80%K -30.84%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -16.74%E -2.39%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 19:40
BetRivers🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.08%E -2.80%K -30.84%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -16.74%E -2.39%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 19:49
Casumo🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.08%E -2.80%K -30.84%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -16.74%E -2.39%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 19:49
ATG (SE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.08%E -2.80%K -30.84%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -16.74%E -2.39%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 19:49
Svenska Spel🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.08%E -2.80%K -30.84%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -16.74%E -2.39%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 19:40
Bally Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.08%E -2.80%K -30.84%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -16.74%E -2.39%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 19:40
betPARX🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.08%E -2.80%K -30.84%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -16.74%E -2.39%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 19:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.08%E -2.80%K -30.84%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -16.74%E -2.39%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 19:49
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.08%E -2.80%K -30.84%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -16.74%E -2.39%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-26 09:20
Caesars🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -4.85%E -4.49%K -60.58%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -16.74%E -2.39%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-26 09:59
TAB🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -4.85%E -4.49%K -60.58%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -16.74%E -2.39%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-27 07:40
PlayUp🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -3.08%E -2.80%K -30.84%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -19.71%E -2.92%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-28 10:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -3.08%E -2.80%K -30.84%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -19.71%E -2.92%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-26 09:20
Neds🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -3.08%E -2.80%K -30.84%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -19.71%E -2.92%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-26 09:20
BetMGM🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -3.08%E -2.80%K -30.84%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -19.71%E -2.92%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-26 09:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -3.97%E -3.64%K -44.06%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -19.71%E -2.92%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-27 19:50
PMU (FR)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -3.97%E -3.64%K -44.06%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -19.71%E -2.92%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-27 19:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -3.97%E -3.64%K -44.06%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -19.71%E -2.92%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-27 19:50
Coral🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -3.08%E -2.80%K -30.84%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -22.68%E -3.49%K -4.12%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-26 09:20
Bet Victor🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -4.85%E -4.49%K -60.58%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -22.68%E -3.49%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-26 09:08
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (5)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.11I 90.09%NM 89.44%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.56%0.7%2026-05-28 11:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.11I 90.09%NM 89.44%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.56%0.7%2026-05-28 11:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.11I 90.09%NM 89.44%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.56%0.7%2026-05-28 11:00
Smarkets1.10I 90.91%NM 89.52%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.48%1.5%2026-05-28 10:50
Novig1.10I 90.91%NM 88.78%8.70I 11.49%NM 11.22%2.4%2026-05-28 11:00