Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Francisco Cerundolo v Botic van de Zandschulp

Kickoff: 2026-05-25 15:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

59 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Francisco Cerundolo (Local)

Prediction 82.45%1.21fair odd
EV +0.590%
Edge +0.484%
Kelly +2.68%
Growth +0.016%

assuming max odds 1.22

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
78.67%82.29%82.71%85.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.101.151.151.2290.91%86.98%86.96%81.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Botic van de Zandschulp (Visit)

Prediction 17.55%5.70fair odd
EV +9.68%
Edge +1.55%
Kelly +1.84%
Growth +0.179%

assuming max odds 6.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.97%17.71%17.29%21.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.405.305.206.2522.73%18.86%19.23%16.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Francisco Cerundolo (Local): 82.45%; Botic van de Zandschulp (Visit): 17.55%. For Botic van de Zandschulp (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.70. 11 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +9.68%.

Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Bet Right🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -7.66%E -6.83%K -63.79%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV +9.68%E +1.55%K +1.84%G +0.179%5.3%2026-05-25 15:10
TAB🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.03%EV -9.30%E -8.46%K -93.04%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.97%EV +9.68%E +1.55%K +1.84%G +0.179%6.9%2026-05-25 15:20
Pinnacle🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 84.29%EV -5.18%E -4.51%K -34.54%G +0.000%6.17I 16.21%NM 15.71%EV +8.28%E +1.34%K +1.60%G +0.133%3.2%2026-05-25 13:40
Coolbet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 83.80%EV -4.36%E -3.76%K -27.23%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.20%EV +5.30%E +0.883%K +1.06%G +0.056%2.9%2026-05-25 15:19
SportsBet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -6.83%E -6.04%K -52.54%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +5.30%E +0.883%K +1.06%G +0.056%5.2%2026-05-25 09:28
William Hill🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -7.66%E -6.83%K -63.79%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +5.30%E +0.883%K +1.06%G +0.056%6.0%2026-05-25 13:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.94%EV -6.01%E -5.27%K -42.90%G +0.000%5.96I 16.78%NM 16.06%EV +4.59%E +0.771%K +0.926%G +0.043%4.5%2026-05-25 07:29
LowVig.ag🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.94%EV -6.01%E -5.27%K -42.90%G +0.000%5.96I 16.78%NM 16.06%EV +4.59%E +0.771%K +0.926%G +0.043%4.5%2026-05-25 07:29
FanDuel🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -6.01%E -5.27%K -42.90%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +1.79%E +0.308%K +0.372%G +0.007%5.0%2026-05-25 09:20
NetBet (FR)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.82%EV -7.66%E -6.83%K -63.79%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.18%EV +1.79%E +0.308%K +0.372%G +0.007%6.5%2026-05-25 15:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.46%EV -6.83%E -6.04%K -52.54%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.54%EV +0.030%E +0.005%K +0.006%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-25 07:40
DraftKings🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.26%EV -6.01%E -5.27%K -42.90%G +0.000%5.67I 17.64%NM 16.74%EV -0.496%E -0.088%K -0.106%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-25 15:19
Codere (IT)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.84%EV -4.36%E -3.76%K -27.23%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV -1.72%E -0.308%K -0.375%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-25 09:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -3.53%E -3.02%K -20.78%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV -3.48%E -0.633%K -0.773%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-25 15:20
Fanatics🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.18%E -4.51%K -34.54%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -3.48%E -0.633%K -0.773%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-25 09:20
Betway🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.01%E -5.27%K -42.90%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -3.48%E -0.633%K -0.773%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-25 15:20
Everygame🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.01%E -5.27%K -42.90%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -3.48%E -0.633%K -0.773%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-25 07:30
BetAnything🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.01%E -5.27%K -42.90%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -3.48%E -0.633%K -0.773%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-25 15:14
Paddy Power🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.01%E -5.27%K -42.90%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -3.48%E -0.633%K -0.773%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-23 00:18
888sport🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -7.66%E -6.83%K -63.79%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -3.48%E -0.633%K -0.773%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-25 15:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -7.66%E -6.83%K -63.79%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -3.48%E -0.633%K -0.773%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-25 15:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -7.66%E -6.83%K -63.79%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -3.48%E -0.633%K -0.773%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-25 15:20
GTbets🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 82.00%EV -1.88%E -1.58%K -9.91%G +0.000%5.42I 18.45%NM 18.00%EV -4.88%E -0.901%K -1.10%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-25 15:10
MyBookie.ag🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -4.36%E -3.76%K -27.23%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -6.99%E -1.32%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 13:08
Coral🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.18%E -4.51%K -34.54%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -7.87%E -1.50%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-25 15:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.18%E -4.51%K -34.54%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -7.87%E -1.50%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-25 15:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.18%E -4.51%K -34.54%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -7.87%E -1.50%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-25 15:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.18%E -4.51%K -34.54%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -7.87%E -1.50%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-22 12:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.36%E -3.76%K -27.23%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.74%E -1.68%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-25 15:19
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.36%E -3.76%K -27.23%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.74%E -1.68%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-21 21:00
Neds🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.36%E -3.76%K -27.23%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.74%E -1.68%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-21 21:00
BetRivers🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.36%E -3.76%K -27.23%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.74%E -1.68%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-22 12:10
Unibet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.36%E -3.76%K -27.23%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.74%E -1.68%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-22 12:10
Casumo🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.36%E -3.76%K -27.23%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.74%E -1.68%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-22 12:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.36%E -3.76%K -27.23%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.74%E -1.68%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-22 12:10
TABtouch🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.36%E -3.76%K -27.23%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.74%E -1.68%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-22 12:10
betPARX🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.36%E -3.76%K -27.23%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.74%E -1.68%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-22 12:09
ATG (SE)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.36%E -3.76%K -27.23%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.74%E -1.68%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-22 12:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.36%E -3.76%K -27.23%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.74%E -1.68%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-22 12:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.36%E -3.76%K -27.23%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.74%E -1.68%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-22 12:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.36%E -3.76%K -27.23%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.74%E -1.68%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-25 15:19
NordicBet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.47%EV -4.36%E -3.76%K -27.23%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV -10.50%E -2.06%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-25 15:20
Betsson🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.47%EV -4.36%E -3.76%K -27.23%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV -10.50%E -2.06%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-25 15:20
Fliff🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 81.99%EV -7.66%E -6.83%K -63.79%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.01%EV -10.50%E -2.06%K -2.56%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-25 15:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -5.18%E -4.51%K -34.54%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -12.25%E -2.45%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-25 15:20
BetMGM🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -5.18%E -4.51%K -34.54%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -12.25%E -2.45%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-25 15:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.99%EV -5.18%E -4.51%K -34.54%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -14.01%E -2.86%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-25 15:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.99%EV -5.18%E -4.51%K -34.54%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -14.01%E -2.86%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-25 15:20
Grosvenor🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.99%EV -5.18%E -4.51%K -34.54%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -14.01%E -2.86%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-25 15:20
Bally Bet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.99%EV -5.18%E -4.51%K -34.54%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -14.01%E -2.86%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-25 15:20
theScore Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -3.53%E -3.02%K -20.78%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -14.89%E -3.07%K -3.87%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-25 15:20
LeoVegas🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 80.81%EV -6.01%E -5.27%K -42.90%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -15.76%E -3.28%K -4.15%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-25 15:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 80.81%EV -6.01%E -5.27%K -42.90%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -15.76%E -3.28%K -4.15%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-25 15:20
Bet Victor🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -5.18%E -4.51%K -34.54%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -16.64%E -3.50%K -4.44%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-25 15:09
Betclic (FR)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -5.18%E -4.51%K -34.54%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -16.64%E -3.50%K -4.44%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-25 15:20
PMU (FR)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 80.56%EV -8.48%E -7.64%K -77.09%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.44%EV -19.27%E -4.19%K -5.35%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-25 15:20
1xBet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.96%EV -0.235%E -0.194%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.54I 22.03%NM 21.04%EV -20.33%E -4.48%K -5.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-25 15:10
Bovada🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV +0.590%E +0.484%K +2.68%G +0.016%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -21.03%E -4.67%K -6.01%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-25 15:13
Caesars🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -2.71%E -2.29%K -15.04%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -22.78%E -5.18%K -6.70%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-23 10:46
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets1.17I 85.47%NM 85.32%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.68%0.2%2026-05-25 15:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77%0.8%2026-05-25 15:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77%0.8%2026-05-25 15:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77%0.8%2026-05-25 15:20
Novig1.14I 87.72%NM 85.82%6.90I 14.49%NM 14.18%2.2%2026-05-25 15:20