مدرسة الاحتمالات

Francisco Cerundolo v Botic van de Zandschulp

البداية: 2026-05-25 15:30 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

59 شركة مراهنات (21 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Francisco Cerundolo (المضيف)

التنبؤ 82.45%1.21السعر العادل
EV +0.590%
الأفضلية +0.484%
Kelly +2.68%
النمو +0.016%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.22

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
78.67%82.29%82.71%85.03%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.101.151.151.2290.91%86.98%86.96%81.97%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Botic van de Zandschulp (الضيف)

التنبؤ 17.55%5.70السعر العادل
EV +9.68%
الأفضلية +1.55%
Kelly +1.84%
النمو +0.179%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 6.25

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
14.97%17.71%17.29%21.33%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.405.305.206.2522.73%18.86%19.23%16.00%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (59 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
Bet Right1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -7.66%E -6.83%K -63.79%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV +9.68%E +1.55%K +1.84%G +0.179%5.3%2026-05-25 15:10
TAB1.10I 90.91%NM 85.03%EV -9.30%E -8.46%K -93.04%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.97%EV +9.68%E +1.55%K +1.84%G +0.179%6.9%2026-05-25 15:20
Pinnacle1.15I 86.96%NM 84.29%EV -5.18%E -4.51%K -34.54%G +0.000%6.17I 16.21%NM 15.71%EV +8.28%E +1.34%K +1.60%G +0.133%3.2%2026-05-25 13:40
Coolbet1.16I 86.21%NM 83.80%EV -4.36%E -3.76%K -27.23%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.20%EV +5.30%E +0.883%K +1.06%G +0.056%2.9%2026-05-25 15:19
SportsBet1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -6.83%E -6.04%K -52.54%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +5.30%E +0.883%K +1.06%G +0.056%5.2%2026-05-25 09:28
William Hill1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -7.66%E -6.83%K -63.79%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +5.30%E +0.883%K +1.06%G +0.056%6.0%2026-05-25 13:40
BetOnline.ag1.14I 87.72%NM 83.94%EV -6.01%E -5.27%K -42.90%G +0.000%5.96I 16.78%NM 16.06%EV +4.59%E +0.771%K +0.926%G +0.043%4.5%2026-05-25 07:29
LowVig.ag1.14I 87.72%NM 83.94%EV -6.01%E -5.27%K -42.90%G +0.000%5.96I 16.78%NM 16.06%EV +4.59%E +0.771%K +0.926%G +0.043%4.5%2026-05-25 07:29
FanDuel1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -6.01%E -5.27%K -42.90%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +1.79%E +0.308%K +0.372%G +0.007%5.0%2026-05-25 09:20
NetBet (FR)1.12I 89.29%NM 83.82%EV -7.66%E -6.83%K -63.79%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.18%EV +1.79%E +0.308%K +0.372%G +0.007%6.5%2026-05-25 15:10
Tipico (DE)1.13I 88.50%NM 83.46%EV -6.83%E -6.04%K -52.54%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.54%EV +0.030%E +0.005%K +0.006%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-25 07:40
DraftKings1.14I 87.72%NM 83.26%EV -6.01%E -5.27%K -42.90%G +0.000%5.67I 17.64%NM 16.74%EV -0.496%E -0.088%K -0.106%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-25 15:19
Codere (IT)1.16I 86.21%NM 82.84%EV -4.36%E -3.76%K -27.23%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV -1.72%E -0.308%K -0.375%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-25 09:20
Winamax (DE)1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -3.53%E -3.02%K -20.78%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV -3.48%E -0.633%K -0.773%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-25 15:20
Fanatics1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.18%E -4.51%K -34.54%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -3.48%E -0.633%K -0.773%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-25 09:20
Betway1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.01%E -5.27%K -42.90%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -3.48%E -0.633%K -0.773%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-25 15:20
Everygame1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.01%E -5.27%K -42.90%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -3.48%E -0.633%K -0.773%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-25 07:30
BetAnything1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.01%E -5.27%K -42.90%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -3.48%E -0.633%K -0.773%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-25 15:14
Paddy Power1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.01%E -5.27%K -42.90%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -3.48%E -0.633%K -0.773%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-23 00:18
888sport1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -7.66%E -6.83%K -63.79%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -3.48%E -0.633%K -0.773%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-25 15:20
Mr Green (SE)1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -7.66%E -6.83%K -63.79%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -3.48%E -0.633%K -0.773%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-25 15:20
888sport (SE)1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -7.66%E -6.83%K -63.79%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -3.48%E -0.633%K -0.773%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-25 15:20
GTbets1.19I 84.03%NM 82.00%EV -1.88%E -1.58%K -9.91%G +0.000%5.42I 18.45%NM 18.00%EV -4.88%E -0.901%K -1.10%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-25 15:10
MyBookie.ag1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -4.36%E -3.76%K -27.23%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -6.99%E -1.32%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 13:08
Coral1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.18%E -4.51%K -34.54%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -7.87%E -1.50%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-25 15:20
Betr (AU)1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.18%E -4.51%K -34.54%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -7.87%E -1.50%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-25 15:10
PointsBet (AU)1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.18%E -4.51%K -34.54%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -7.87%E -1.50%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-25 15:10
Hard Rock Bet1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.18%E -4.51%K -34.54%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -7.87%E -1.50%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-22 12:10
Marathon Bet1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.36%E -3.76%K -27.23%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.74%E -1.68%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-25 15:19
Ladbrokes (AU)1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.36%E -3.76%K -27.23%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.74%E -1.68%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-21 21:00
Neds1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.36%E -3.76%K -27.23%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.74%E -1.68%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-21 21:00
BetRivers1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.36%E -3.76%K -27.23%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.74%E -1.68%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-22 12:10
Unibet1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.36%E -3.76%K -27.23%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.74%E -1.68%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-22 12:10
Casumo1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.36%E -3.76%K -27.23%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.74%E -1.68%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-22 12:10
Unibet (NL)1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.36%E -3.76%K -27.23%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.74%E -1.68%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-22 12:10
TABtouch1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.36%E -3.76%K -27.23%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.74%E -1.68%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-22 12:10
betPARX1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.36%E -3.76%K -27.23%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.74%E -1.68%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-22 12:09
ATG (SE)1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.36%E -3.76%K -27.23%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.74%E -1.68%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-22 12:10
Svenska Spel1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.36%E -3.76%K -27.23%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.74%E -1.68%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-22 12:10
Unibet (SE)1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.36%E -3.76%K -27.23%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.74%E -1.68%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-22 12:10
Winamax (FR)1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.36%E -3.76%K -27.23%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.74%E -1.68%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-25 15:19
NordicBet1.16I 86.21%NM 81.47%EV -4.36%E -3.76%K -27.23%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV -10.50%E -2.06%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-25 15:20
Betsson1.16I 86.21%NM 81.47%EV -4.36%E -3.76%K -27.23%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV -10.50%E -2.06%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-25 15:20
Fliff1.12I 89.29%NM 81.99%EV -7.66%E -6.83%K -63.79%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.01%EV -10.50%E -2.06%K -2.56%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-25 15:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -5.18%E -4.51%K -34.54%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -12.25%E -2.45%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-25 15:20
BetMGM1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -5.18%E -4.51%K -34.54%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -12.25%E -2.45%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-25 15:20
Virgin Bet1.15I 86.96%NM 80.99%EV -5.18%E -4.51%K -34.54%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -14.01%E -2.86%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-25 15:20
LiveScore Bet1.15I 86.96%NM 80.99%EV -5.18%E -4.51%K -34.54%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -14.01%E -2.86%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-25 15:20
Grosvenor1.15I 86.96%NM 80.99%EV -5.18%E -4.51%K -34.54%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -14.01%E -2.86%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-25 15:20
Bally Bet1.15I 86.96%NM 80.99%EV -5.18%E -4.51%K -34.54%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -14.01%E -2.86%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-25 15:20
theScore Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -3.53%E -3.02%K -20.78%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -14.89%E -3.07%K -3.87%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-25 15:20
LeoVegas1.14I 87.72%NM 80.81%EV -6.01%E -5.27%K -42.90%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -15.76%E -3.28%K -4.15%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-25 15:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.14I 87.72%NM 80.81%EV -6.01%E -5.27%K -42.90%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -15.76%E -3.28%K -4.15%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-25 15:20
Bet Victor1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -5.18%E -4.51%K -34.54%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -16.64%E -3.50%K -4.44%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-25 15:09
Betclic (FR)1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -5.18%E -4.51%K -34.54%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -16.64%E -3.50%K -4.44%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-25 15:20
PMU (FR)1.11I 90.09%NM 80.56%EV -8.48%E -7.64%K -77.09%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.44%EV -19.27%E -4.19%K -5.35%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-25 15:20
1xBet1.21I 82.64%NM 78.96%EV -0.235%E -0.194%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.54I 22.03%NM 21.04%EV -20.33%E -4.48%K -5.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-25 15:10
Bovada1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV +0.590%E +0.484%K +2.68%G +0.016%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -21.03%E -4.67%K -6.01%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-25 15:13
Caesars1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -2.71%E -2.29%K -15.04%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -22.78%E -5.18%K -6.70%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-23 10:46
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Smarkets1.17I 85.47%NM 85.32%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.68%0.2%2026-05-25 15:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77%0.8%2026-05-25 15:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77%0.8%2026-05-25 15:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77%0.8%2026-05-25 15:20
Novig1.14I 87.72%NM 85.82%6.90I 14.49%NM 14.18%2.2%2026-05-25 15:20