L’École des cotes

Francisco Cerundolo v Botic van de Zandschulp

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-25 15:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

59 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Francisco Cerundolo (Local)

Prévision 82.45%1.21cote équitable
EV +0.590%
Avantage +0.484%
Kelly +2.68%
Croissance +0.016%

avec la cote maximale 1.22

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
78.67%82.29%82.71%85.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.101.151.151.2290.91%86.98%86.96%81.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Botic van de Zandschulp (Visiteur)

Prévision 17.55%5.70cote équitable
EV +9.68%
Avantage +1.55%
Kelly +1.84%
Croissance +0.179%

avec la cote maximale 6.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
14.97%17.71%17.29%21.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.405.305.206.2522.73%18.86%19.23%16.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (59 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Bet Right1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -7.66%E -6.83%K -63.79%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV +9.68%E +1.55%K +1.84%G +0.179%5.3%2026-05-25 15:10
TAB1.10I 90.91%NM 85.03%EV -9.30%E -8.46%K -93.04%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.97%EV +9.68%E +1.55%K +1.84%G +0.179%6.9%2026-05-25 15:20
Pinnacle1.15I 86.96%NM 84.29%EV -5.18%E -4.51%K -34.54%G +0.000%6.17I 16.21%NM 15.71%EV +8.28%E +1.34%K +1.60%G +0.133%3.2%2026-05-25 13:40
Coolbet1.16I 86.21%NM 83.80%EV -4.36%E -3.76%K -27.23%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.20%EV +5.30%E +0.883%K +1.06%G +0.056%2.9%2026-05-25 15:19
SportsBet1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -6.83%E -6.04%K -52.54%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +5.30%E +0.883%K +1.06%G +0.056%5.2%2026-05-25 09:28
William Hill1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -7.66%E -6.83%K -63.79%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +5.30%E +0.883%K +1.06%G +0.056%6.0%2026-05-25 13:40
BetOnline.ag1.14I 87.72%NM 83.94%EV -6.01%E -5.27%K -42.90%G +0.000%5.96I 16.78%NM 16.06%EV +4.59%E +0.771%K +0.926%G +0.043%4.5%2026-05-25 07:29
LowVig.ag1.14I 87.72%NM 83.94%EV -6.01%E -5.27%K -42.90%G +0.000%5.96I 16.78%NM 16.06%EV +4.59%E +0.771%K +0.926%G +0.043%4.5%2026-05-25 07:29
FanDuel1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -6.01%E -5.27%K -42.90%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +1.79%E +0.308%K +0.372%G +0.007%5.0%2026-05-25 09:20
NetBet (FR)1.12I 89.29%NM 83.82%EV -7.66%E -6.83%K -63.79%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.18%EV +1.79%E +0.308%K +0.372%G +0.007%6.5%2026-05-25 15:10
Tipico (DE)1.13I 88.50%NM 83.46%EV -6.83%E -6.04%K -52.54%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.54%EV +0.030%E +0.005%K +0.006%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-25 07:40
DraftKings1.14I 87.72%NM 83.26%EV -6.01%E -5.27%K -42.90%G +0.000%5.67I 17.64%NM 16.74%EV -0.496%E -0.088%K -0.106%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-25 15:19
Codere (IT)1.16I 86.21%NM 82.84%EV -4.36%E -3.76%K -27.23%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV -1.72%E -0.308%K -0.375%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-25 09:20
Winamax (DE)1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -3.53%E -3.02%K -20.78%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV -3.48%E -0.633%K -0.773%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-25 15:20
Fanatics1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.18%E -4.51%K -34.54%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -3.48%E -0.633%K -0.773%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-25 09:20
Betway1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.01%E -5.27%K -42.90%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -3.48%E -0.633%K -0.773%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-25 15:20
Everygame1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.01%E -5.27%K -42.90%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -3.48%E -0.633%K -0.773%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-25 07:30
BetAnything1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.01%E -5.27%K -42.90%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -3.48%E -0.633%K -0.773%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-25 15:14
Paddy Power1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.01%E -5.27%K -42.90%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -3.48%E -0.633%K -0.773%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-23 00:18
888sport1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -7.66%E -6.83%K -63.79%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -3.48%E -0.633%K -0.773%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-25 15:20
Mr Green (SE)1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -7.66%E -6.83%K -63.79%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -3.48%E -0.633%K -0.773%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-25 15:20
888sport (SE)1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -7.66%E -6.83%K -63.79%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -3.48%E -0.633%K -0.773%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-25 15:20
GTbets1.19I 84.03%NM 82.00%EV -1.88%E -1.58%K -9.91%G +0.000%5.42I 18.45%NM 18.00%EV -4.88%E -0.901%K -1.10%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-25 15:10
MyBookie.ag1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -4.36%E -3.76%K -27.23%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -6.99%E -1.32%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 13:08
Coral1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.18%E -4.51%K -34.54%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -7.87%E -1.50%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-25 15:20
Betr (AU)1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.18%E -4.51%K -34.54%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -7.87%E -1.50%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-25 15:10
PointsBet (AU)1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.18%E -4.51%K -34.54%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -7.87%E -1.50%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-25 15:10
Hard Rock Bet1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.18%E -4.51%K -34.54%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -7.87%E -1.50%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-22 12:10
Marathon Bet1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.36%E -3.76%K -27.23%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.74%E -1.68%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-25 15:19
Ladbrokes (AU)1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.36%E -3.76%K -27.23%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.74%E -1.68%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-21 21:00
Neds1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.36%E -3.76%K -27.23%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.74%E -1.68%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-21 21:00
BetRivers1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.36%E -3.76%K -27.23%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.74%E -1.68%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-22 12:10
Unibet1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.36%E -3.76%K -27.23%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.74%E -1.68%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-22 12:10
Casumo1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.36%E -3.76%K -27.23%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.74%E -1.68%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-22 12:10
Unibet (NL)1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.36%E -3.76%K -27.23%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.74%E -1.68%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-22 12:10
TABtouch1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.36%E -3.76%K -27.23%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.74%E -1.68%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-22 12:10
betPARX1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.36%E -3.76%K -27.23%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.74%E -1.68%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-22 12:09
ATG (SE)1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.36%E -3.76%K -27.23%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.74%E -1.68%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-22 12:10
Svenska Spel1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.36%E -3.76%K -27.23%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.74%E -1.68%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-22 12:10
Unibet (SE)1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.36%E -3.76%K -27.23%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.74%E -1.68%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-22 12:10
Winamax (FR)1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.36%E -3.76%K -27.23%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.74%E -1.68%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-25 15:19
NordicBet1.16I 86.21%NM 81.47%EV -4.36%E -3.76%K -27.23%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV -10.50%E -2.06%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-25 15:20
Betsson1.16I 86.21%NM 81.47%EV -4.36%E -3.76%K -27.23%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV -10.50%E -2.06%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-25 15:20
Fliff1.12I 89.29%NM 81.99%EV -7.66%E -6.83%K -63.79%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.01%EV -10.50%E -2.06%K -2.56%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-25 15:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -5.18%E -4.51%K -34.54%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -12.25%E -2.45%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-25 15:20
BetMGM1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -5.18%E -4.51%K -34.54%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -12.25%E -2.45%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-25 15:20
Virgin Bet1.15I 86.96%NM 80.99%EV -5.18%E -4.51%K -34.54%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -14.01%E -2.86%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-25 15:20
LiveScore Bet1.15I 86.96%NM 80.99%EV -5.18%E -4.51%K -34.54%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -14.01%E -2.86%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-25 15:20
Grosvenor1.15I 86.96%NM 80.99%EV -5.18%E -4.51%K -34.54%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -14.01%E -2.86%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-25 15:20
Bally Bet1.15I 86.96%NM 80.99%EV -5.18%E -4.51%K -34.54%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -14.01%E -2.86%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-25 15:20
theScore Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -3.53%E -3.02%K -20.78%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -14.89%E -3.07%K -3.87%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-25 15:20
LeoVegas1.14I 87.72%NM 80.81%EV -6.01%E -5.27%K -42.90%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -15.76%E -3.28%K -4.15%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-25 15:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.14I 87.72%NM 80.81%EV -6.01%E -5.27%K -42.90%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -15.76%E -3.28%K -4.15%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-25 15:20
Bet Victor1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -5.18%E -4.51%K -34.54%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -16.64%E -3.50%K -4.44%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-25 15:09
Betclic (FR)1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -5.18%E -4.51%K -34.54%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -16.64%E -3.50%K -4.44%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-25 15:20
PMU (FR)1.11I 90.09%NM 80.56%EV -8.48%E -7.64%K -77.09%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.44%EV -19.27%E -4.19%K -5.35%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-25 15:20
1xBet1.21I 82.64%NM 78.96%EV -0.235%E -0.194%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.54I 22.03%NM 21.04%EV -20.33%E -4.48%K -5.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-25 15:10
Bovada1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV +0.590%E +0.484%K +2.68%G +0.016%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -21.03%E -4.67%K -6.01%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-25 15:13
Caesars1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -2.71%E -2.29%K -15.04%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -22.78%E -5.18%K -6.70%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-23 10:46
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets1.17I 85.47%NM 85.32%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.68%0.2%2026-05-25 15:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77%0.8%2026-05-25 15:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77%0.8%2026-05-25 15:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77%0.8%2026-05-25 15:20
Novig1.14I 87.72%NM 85.82%6.90I 14.49%NM 14.18%2.2%2026-05-25 15:20