La scuola delle quote

Francisco Cerundolo v Botic van de Zandschulp

Inizio: 2026-05-25 15:30 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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59 bookmaker (21 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Francisco Cerundolo (Casa)

Previsione 82.45%1.21quota equa
EV +0.590%
Vantaggio +0.484%
Kelly +2.68%
Crescita +0.016%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.22

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
78.67%82.29%82.71%85.03%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.101.151.151.2290.91%86.98%86.96%81.97%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Botic van de Zandschulp (Trasferta)

Previsione 17.55%5.70quota equa
EV +9.68%
Vantaggio +1.55%
Kelly +1.84%
Crescita +0.179%

ipotizzando la quota massima 6.25

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
14.97%17.71%17.29%21.33%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.405.305.206.2522.73%18.86%19.23%16.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (59 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
Bet Right1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -7.66%E -6.83%K -63.79%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV +9.68%E +1.55%K +1.84%G +0.179%5.3%2026-05-25 15:10
TAB1.10I 90.91%NM 85.03%EV -9.30%E -8.46%K -93.04%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.97%EV +9.68%E +1.55%K +1.84%G +0.179%6.9%2026-05-25 15:20
Pinnacle1.15I 86.96%NM 84.29%EV -5.18%E -4.51%K -34.54%G +0.000%6.17I 16.21%NM 15.71%EV +8.28%E +1.34%K +1.60%G +0.133%3.2%2026-05-25 13:40
Coolbet1.16I 86.21%NM 83.80%EV -4.36%E -3.76%K -27.23%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.20%EV +5.30%E +0.883%K +1.06%G +0.056%2.9%2026-05-25 15:19
SportsBet1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -6.83%E -6.04%K -52.54%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +5.30%E +0.883%K +1.06%G +0.056%5.2%2026-05-25 09:28
William Hill1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -7.66%E -6.83%K -63.79%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +5.30%E +0.883%K +1.06%G +0.056%6.0%2026-05-25 13:40
BetOnline.ag1.14I 87.72%NM 83.94%EV -6.01%E -5.27%K -42.90%G +0.000%5.96I 16.78%NM 16.06%EV +4.59%E +0.771%K +0.926%G +0.043%4.5%2026-05-25 07:29
LowVig.ag1.14I 87.72%NM 83.94%EV -6.01%E -5.27%K -42.90%G +0.000%5.96I 16.78%NM 16.06%EV +4.59%E +0.771%K +0.926%G +0.043%4.5%2026-05-25 07:29
FanDuel1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -6.01%E -5.27%K -42.90%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +1.79%E +0.308%K +0.372%G +0.007%5.0%2026-05-25 09:20
NetBet (FR)1.12I 89.29%NM 83.82%EV -7.66%E -6.83%K -63.79%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.18%EV +1.79%E +0.308%K +0.372%G +0.007%6.5%2026-05-25 15:10
Tipico (DE)1.13I 88.50%NM 83.46%EV -6.83%E -6.04%K -52.54%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.54%EV +0.030%E +0.005%K +0.006%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-25 07:40
DraftKings1.14I 87.72%NM 83.26%EV -6.01%E -5.27%K -42.90%G +0.000%5.67I 17.64%NM 16.74%EV -0.496%E -0.088%K -0.106%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-25 15:19
Codere (IT)1.16I 86.21%NM 82.84%EV -4.36%E -3.76%K -27.23%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV -1.72%E -0.308%K -0.375%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-25 09:20
Winamax (DE)1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -3.53%E -3.02%K -20.78%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV -3.48%E -0.633%K -0.773%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-25 15:20
Fanatics1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.18%E -4.51%K -34.54%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -3.48%E -0.633%K -0.773%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-25 09:20
Betway1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.01%E -5.27%K -42.90%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -3.48%E -0.633%K -0.773%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-25 15:20
Everygame1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.01%E -5.27%K -42.90%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -3.48%E -0.633%K -0.773%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-25 07:30
BetAnything1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.01%E -5.27%K -42.90%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -3.48%E -0.633%K -0.773%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-25 15:14
Paddy Power1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.01%E -5.27%K -42.90%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -3.48%E -0.633%K -0.773%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-23 00:18
888sport1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -7.66%E -6.83%K -63.79%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -3.48%E -0.633%K -0.773%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-25 15:20
Mr Green (SE)1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -7.66%E -6.83%K -63.79%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -3.48%E -0.633%K -0.773%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-25 15:20
888sport (SE)1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -7.66%E -6.83%K -63.79%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -3.48%E -0.633%K -0.773%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-25 15:20
GTbets1.19I 84.03%NM 82.00%EV -1.88%E -1.58%K -9.91%G +0.000%5.42I 18.45%NM 18.00%EV -4.88%E -0.901%K -1.10%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-25 15:10
MyBookie.ag1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -4.36%E -3.76%K -27.23%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -6.99%E -1.32%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 13:08
Coral1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.18%E -4.51%K -34.54%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -7.87%E -1.50%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-25 15:20
Betr (AU)1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.18%E -4.51%K -34.54%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -7.87%E -1.50%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-25 15:10
PointsBet (AU)1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.18%E -4.51%K -34.54%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -7.87%E -1.50%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-25 15:10
Hard Rock Bet1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.18%E -4.51%K -34.54%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -7.87%E -1.50%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-22 12:10
Marathon Bet1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.36%E -3.76%K -27.23%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.74%E -1.68%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-25 15:19
Ladbrokes (AU)1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.36%E -3.76%K -27.23%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.74%E -1.68%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-21 21:00
Neds1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.36%E -3.76%K -27.23%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.74%E -1.68%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-21 21:00
BetRivers1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.36%E -3.76%K -27.23%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.74%E -1.68%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-22 12:10
Unibet1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.36%E -3.76%K -27.23%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.74%E -1.68%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-22 12:10
Casumo1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.36%E -3.76%K -27.23%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.74%E -1.68%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-22 12:10
Unibet (NL)1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.36%E -3.76%K -27.23%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.74%E -1.68%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-22 12:10
TABtouch1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.36%E -3.76%K -27.23%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.74%E -1.68%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-22 12:10
betPARX1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.36%E -3.76%K -27.23%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.74%E -1.68%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-22 12:09
ATG (SE)1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.36%E -3.76%K -27.23%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.74%E -1.68%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-22 12:10
Svenska Spel1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.36%E -3.76%K -27.23%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.74%E -1.68%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-22 12:10
Unibet (SE)1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.36%E -3.76%K -27.23%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.74%E -1.68%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-22 12:10
Winamax (FR)1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.36%E -3.76%K -27.23%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.74%E -1.68%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-25 15:19
NordicBet1.16I 86.21%NM 81.47%EV -4.36%E -3.76%K -27.23%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV -10.50%E -2.06%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-25 15:20
Betsson1.16I 86.21%NM 81.47%EV -4.36%E -3.76%K -27.23%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV -10.50%E -2.06%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-25 15:20
Fliff1.12I 89.29%NM 81.99%EV -7.66%E -6.83%K -63.79%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.01%EV -10.50%E -2.06%K -2.56%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-25 15:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -5.18%E -4.51%K -34.54%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -12.25%E -2.45%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-25 15:20
BetMGM1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -5.18%E -4.51%K -34.54%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -12.25%E -2.45%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-25 15:20
Virgin Bet1.15I 86.96%NM 80.99%EV -5.18%E -4.51%K -34.54%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -14.01%E -2.86%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-25 15:20
LiveScore Bet1.15I 86.96%NM 80.99%EV -5.18%E -4.51%K -34.54%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -14.01%E -2.86%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-25 15:20
Grosvenor1.15I 86.96%NM 80.99%EV -5.18%E -4.51%K -34.54%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -14.01%E -2.86%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-25 15:20
Bally Bet1.15I 86.96%NM 80.99%EV -5.18%E -4.51%K -34.54%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -14.01%E -2.86%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-25 15:20
theScore Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -3.53%E -3.02%K -20.78%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -14.89%E -3.07%K -3.87%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-25 15:20
LeoVegas1.14I 87.72%NM 80.81%EV -6.01%E -5.27%K -42.90%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -15.76%E -3.28%K -4.15%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-25 15:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.14I 87.72%NM 80.81%EV -6.01%E -5.27%K -42.90%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -15.76%E -3.28%K -4.15%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-25 15:20
Bet Victor1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -5.18%E -4.51%K -34.54%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -16.64%E -3.50%K -4.44%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-25 15:09
Betclic (FR)1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -5.18%E -4.51%K -34.54%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -16.64%E -3.50%K -4.44%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-25 15:20
PMU (FR)1.11I 90.09%NM 80.56%EV -8.48%E -7.64%K -77.09%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.44%EV -19.27%E -4.19%K -5.35%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-25 15:20
1xBet1.21I 82.64%NM 78.96%EV -0.235%E -0.194%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.54I 22.03%NM 21.04%EV -20.33%E -4.48%K -5.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-25 15:10
Bovada1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV +0.590%E +0.484%K +2.68%G +0.016%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -21.03%E -4.67%K -6.01%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-25 15:13
Caesars1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -2.71%E -2.29%K -15.04%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -22.78%E -5.18%K -6.70%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-23 10:46
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Smarkets1.17I 85.47%NM 85.32%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.68%0.2%2026-05-25 15:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77%0.8%2026-05-25 15:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77%0.8%2026-05-25 15:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77%0.8%2026-05-25 15:20
Novig1.14I 87.72%NM 85.82%6.90I 14.49%NM 14.18%2.2%2026-05-25 15:20