La escuela de los momios

Francisco Cerundolo v Botic van de Zandschulp

Inicio: 2026-05-25 15:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

59 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Francisco Cerundolo (Local)

Predicción 82.45%1.21momio equitativo
EV +0.590%
Ventaja +0.484%
Kelly +2.68%
Crecimiento +0.016%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.22

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
78.67%82.29%82.71%85.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.101.151.151.2290.91%86.98%86.96%81.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Botic van de Zandschulp (Visitante)

Predicción 17.55%5.70momio equitativo
EV +9.68%
Ventaja +1.55%
Kelly +1.84%
Crecimiento +0.179%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
14.97%17.71%17.29%21.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.405.305.206.2522.73%18.86%19.23%16.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Bet Right1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -7.66%E -6.83%K -63.79%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV +9.68%E +1.55%K +1.84%G +0.179%5.3%2026-05-25 15:10
TAB1.10I 90.91%NM 85.03%EV -9.30%E -8.46%K -93.04%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.97%EV +9.68%E +1.55%K +1.84%G +0.179%6.9%2026-05-25 15:20
Pinnacle1.15I 86.96%NM 84.29%EV -5.18%E -4.51%K -34.54%G +0.000%6.17I 16.21%NM 15.71%EV +8.28%E +1.34%K +1.60%G +0.133%3.2%2026-05-25 13:40
Coolbet1.16I 86.21%NM 83.80%EV -4.36%E -3.76%K -27.23%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.20%EV +5.30%E +0.883%K +1.06%G +0.056%2.9%2026-05-25 15:19
SportsBet1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -6.83%E -6.04%K -52.54%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +5.30%E +0.883%K +1.06%G +0.056%5.2%2026-05-25 09:28
William Hill1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -7.66%E -6.83%K -63.79%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +5.30%E +0.883%K +1.06%G +0.056%6.0%2026-05-25 13:40
BetOnline.ag1.14I 87.72%NM 83.94%EV -6.01%E -5.27%K -42.90%G +0.000%5.96I 16.78%NM 16.06%EV +4.59%E +0.771%K +0.926%G +0.043%4.5%2026-05-25 07:29
LowVig.ag1.14I 87.72%NM 83.94%EV -6.01%E -5.27%K -42.90%G +0.000%5.96I 16.78%NM 16.06%EV +4.59%E +0.771%K +0.926%G +0.043%4.5%2026-05-25 07:29
FanDuel1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -6.01%E -5.27%K -42.90%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +1.79%E +0.308%K +0.372%G +0.007%5.0%2026-05-25 09:20
NetBet (FR)1.12I 89.29%NM 83.82%EV -7.66%E -6.83%K -63.79%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.18%EV +1.79%E +0.308%K +0.372%G +0.007%6.5%2026-05-25 15:10
Tipico (DE)1.13I 88.50%NM 83.46%EV -6.83%E -6.04%K -52.54%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.54%EV +0.030%E +0.005%K +0.006%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-25 07:40
DraftKings1.14I 87.72%NM 83.26%EV -6.01%E -5.27%K -42.90%G +0.000%5.67I 17.64%NM 16.74%EV -0.496%E -0.088%K -0.106%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-25 15:19
Codere (IT)1.16I 86.21%NM 82.84%EV -4.36%E -3.76%K -27.23%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV -1.72%E -0.308%K -0.375%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-25 09:20
Winamax (DE)1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -3.53%E -3.02%K -20.78%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV -3.48%E -0.633%K -0.773%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-25 15:20
Fanatics1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.18%E -4.51%K -34.54%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -3.48%E -0.633%K -0.773%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-25 09:20
Betway1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.01%E -5.27%K -42.90%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -3.48%E -0.633%K -0.773%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-25 15:20
Everygame1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.01%E -5.27%K -42.90%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -3.48%E -0.633%K -0.773%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-25 07:30
BetAnything1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.01%E -5.27%K -42.90%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -3.48%E -0.633%K -0.773%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-25 15:14
Paddy Power1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.01%E -5.27%K -42.90%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -3.48%E -0.633%K -0.773%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-23 00:18
888sport1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -7.66%E -6.83%K -63.79%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -3.48%E -0.633%K -0.773%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-25 15:20
Mr Green (SE)1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -7.66%E -6.83%K -63.79%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -3.48%E -0.633%K -0.773%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-25 15:20
888sport (SE)1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -7.66%E -6.83%K -63.79%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -3.48%E -0.633%K -0.773%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-25 15:20
GTbets1.19I 84.03%NM 82.00%EV -1.88%E -1.58%K -9.91%G +0.000%5.42I 18.45%NM 18.00%EV -4.88%E -0.901%K -1.10%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-25 15:10
MyBookie.ag1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -4.36%E -3.76%K -27.23%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -6.99%E -1.32%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 13:08
Coral1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.18%E -4.51%K -34.54%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -7.87%E -1.50%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-25 15:20
Betr (AU)1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.18%E -4.51%K -34.54%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -7.87%E -1.50%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-25 15:10
PointsBet (AU)1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.18%E -4.51%K -34.54%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -7.87%E -1.50%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-25 15:10
Hard Rock Bet1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.18%E -4.51%K -34.54%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -7.87%E -1.50%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-22 12:10
Marathon Bet1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.36%E -3.76%K -27.23%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.74%E -1.68%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-25 15:19
Ladbrokes (AU)1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.36%E -3.76%K -27.23%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.74%E -1.68%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-21 21:00
Neds1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.36%E -3.76%K -27.23%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.74%E -1.68%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-21 21:00
BetRivers1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.36%E -3.76%K -27.23%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.74%E -1.68%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-22 12:10
Unibet1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.36%E -3.76%K -27.23%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.74%E -1.68%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-22 12:10
Casumo1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.36%E -3.76%K -27.23%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.74%E -1.68%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-22 12:10
Unibet (NL)1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.36%E -3.76%K -27.23%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.74%E -1.68%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-22 12:10
TABtouch1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.36%E -3.76%K -27.23%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.74%E -1.68%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-22 12:10
betPARX1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.36%E -3.76%K -27.23%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.74%E -1.68%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-22 12:09
ATG (SE)1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.36%E -3.76%K -27.23%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.74%E -1.68%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-22 12:10
Svenska Spel1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.36%E -3.76%K -27.23%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.74%E -1.68%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-22 12:10
Unibet (SE)1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.36%E -3.76%K -27.23%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.74%E -1.68%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-22 12:10
Winamax (FR)1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.36%E -3.76%K -27.23%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.74%E -1.68%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-25 15:19
NordicBet1.16I 86.21%NM 81.47%EV -4.36%E -3.76%K -27.23%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV -10.50%E -2.06%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-25 15:20
Betsson1.16I 86.21%NM 81.47%EV -4.36%E -3.76%K -27.23%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV -10.50%E -2.06%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-25 15:20
Fliff1.12I 89.29%NM 81.99%EV -7.66%E -6.83%K -63.79%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.01%EV -10.50%E -2.06%K -2.56%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-25 15:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -5.18%E -4.51%K -34.54%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -12.25%E -2.45%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-25 15:20
BetMGM1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -5.18%E -4.51%K -34.54%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -12.25%E -2.45%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-25 15:20
Virgin Bet1.15I 86.96%NM 80.99%EV -5.18%E -4.51%K -34.54%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -14.01%E -2.86%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-25 15:20
LiveScore Bet1.15I 86.96%NM 80.99%EV -5.18%E -4.51%K -34.54%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -14.01%E -2.86%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-25 15:20
Grosvenor1.15I 86.96%NM 80.99%EV -5.18%E -4.51%K -34.54%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -14.01%E -2.86%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-25 15:20
Bally Bet1.15I 86.96%NM 80.99%EV -5.18%E -4.51%K -34.54%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -14.01%E -2.86%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-25 15:20
theScore Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -3.53%E -3.02%K -20.78%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -14.89%E -3.07%K -3.87%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-25 15:20
LeoVegas1.14I 87.72%NM 80.81%EV -6.01%E -5.27%K -42.90%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -15.76%E -3.28%K -4.15%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-25 15:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.14I 87.72%NM 80.81%EV -6.01%E -5.27%K -42.90%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -15.76%E -3.28%K -4.15%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-25 15:20
Bet Victor1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -5.18%E -4.51%K -34.54%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -16.64%E -3.50%K -4.44%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-25 15:09
Betclic (FR)1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -5.18%E -4.51%K -34.54%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -16.64%E -3.50%K -4.44%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-25 15:20
PMU (FR)1.11I 90.09%NM 80.56%EV -8.48%E -7.64%K -77.09%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.44%EV -19.27%E -4.19%K -5.35%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-25 15:20
1xBet1.21I 82.64%NM 78.96%EV -0.235%E -0.194%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.54I 22.03%NM 21.04%EV -20.33%E -4.48%K -5.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-25 15:10
Bovada1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV +0.590%E +0.484%K +2.68%G +0.016%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -21.03%E -4.67%K -6.01%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-25 15:13
Caesars1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -2.71%E -2.29%K -15.04%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -22.78%E -5.18%K -6.70%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-23 10:46
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Smarkets1.17I 85.47%NM 85.32%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.68%0.2%2026-05-25 15:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77%0.8%2026-05-25 15:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77%0.8%2026-05-25 15:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77%0.8%2026-05-25 15:20
Novig1.14I 87.72%NM 85.82%6.90I 14.49%NM 14.18%2.2%2026-05-25 15:20