Language:English
Facundo Diaz Acosta v Learner Tien
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Facundo Diaz Acosta (Local)
Prediction 22.07%4.53fair odd
EV +29.58%
Edge +5.04%
Kelly +6.07%
Growth +1.80%
assuming max odds 5.87
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.26%22.11%22.30%28.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.304.314.305.8730.30%23.18%23.26%17.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Learner Tien (Visit)
Prediction 77.93%1.28fair odd
EV +2.08%
Edge +1.59%
Kelly +6.72%
Growth +0.140%
assuming max odds 1.31
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
71.58%77.89%77.70%83.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.141.211.201.3187.72%82.72%83.33%76.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Facundo Diaz Acosta (Local): 22.07%; Learner Tien (Visit): 77.93%. For Facundo Diaz Acosta (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.53. 18 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.87, corresponding to a positive expected value of +29.58%.
Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 5.87I 17.04%NM 16.26%EV +29.58%E +5.04%K +6.07%G +1.80% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.74%EV -11.16%E -9.79%K -79.75%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| TAB🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV +10.37%E +2.07%K +2.59%G +0.269% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -10.39%E -9.03%K -69.24%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-28 09:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV +5.96%E +1.24%K +1.57%G +0.093% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -8.05%E -6.82%K -44.71%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV +5.96%E +1.24%K +1.57%G +0.093% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -8.05%E -6.82%K -44.71%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV +4.85%E +1.02%K +1.29%G +0.063% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -8.83%E -7.54%K -51.92%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV +4.85%E +1.02%K +1.29%G +0.063% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -8.83%E -7.54%K -51.92%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV +4.85%E +1.02%K +1.29%G +0.063% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.37%EV -9.61%E -8.28%K -60.04%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-28 09:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV +1.54%E +0.335%K +0.428%G +0.007% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -5.71%E -4.72%K -27.19%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-28 09:04 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV +1.54%E +0.335%K +0.428%G +0.007% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -7.27%E -6.11%K -38.26%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV +1.54%E +0.335%K +0.428%G +0.007% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -7.27%E -6.11%K -38.26%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV +1.54%E +0.335%K +0.428%G +0.007% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -7.27%E -6.11%K -38.26%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV +1.54%E +0.335%K +0.428%G +0.007% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -7.27%E -6.11%K -38.26%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV +1.54%E +0.335%K +0.428%G +0.007% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -7.27%E -6.11%K -38.26%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV +1.54%E +0.335%K +0.428%G +0.007% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -7.27%E -6.11%K -38.26%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV +1.54%E +0.335%K +0.428%G +0.007% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -8.83%E -7.54%K -51.92%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV +1.54%E +0.335%K +0.428%G +0.007% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -8.83%E -7.54%K -51.92%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV +1.54%E +0.335%K +0.428%G +0.007% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -8.83%E -7.54%K -51.92%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.57I 21.88%NM 20.93%EV +0.880%E +0.193%K +0.247%G +0.002% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.07%EV -5.71%E -4.72%K -27.19%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-28 09:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -0.665%E -0.148%K -0.190%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.93%E -4.04%K -22.41%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-28 09:06 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -0.665%E -0.148%K -0.190%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.49%E -5.41%K -32.45%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-28 09:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -0.665%E -0.148%K -0.190%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.83%E -7.54%K -51.92%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -0.665%E -0.148%K -0.190%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.83%E -7.54%K -51.92%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -0.665%E -0.148%K -0.190%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.83%E -7.54%K -51.92%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.21%EV -0.665%E -0.148%K -0.190%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 79.79%EV -11.16%E -9.79%K -79.75%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -2.87%E -0.653%K -0.845%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -4.15%E -3.38%K -18.05%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-28 08:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -2.87%E -0.653%K -0.845%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.49%E -5.41%K -32.45%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -2.87%E -0.653%K -0.845%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.49%E -5.41%K -32.45%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -4.42%E -1.02%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.49%E -5.41%K -32.45%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -4.42%E -1.02%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.49%E -5.41%K -32.45%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.08%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.93%E -4.04%K -22.41%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-28 09:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -5.08%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.71%E -4.72%K -27.19%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-28 09:04 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.68%EV -5.08%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.32%EV -7.27%E -6.11%K -38.26%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -5.08%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.47%EV -8.05%E -6.82%K -44.71%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-28 09:04 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -6.18%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -3.37%E -2.72%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-28 08:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.18%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.93%E -4.04%K -22.41%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-28 08:58 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.18%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.93%E -4.04%K -22.41%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.22%EV -7.29%E -1.74%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.78%EV -1.03%E -0.815%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-28 09:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -7.29%E -1.74%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -3.37%E -2.72%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-28 09:04 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.29%E -1.74%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.93%E -4.04%K -22.41%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-28 09:11 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.29%E -1.74%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.93%E -4.04%K -22.41%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.29%E -1.74%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.93%E -4.04%K -22.41%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-28 09:11 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.29%E -1.74%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.93%E -4.04%K -22.41%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-28 09:01 |
| GTbets🎯 | 4.16I 24.04%NM 22.68%EV -8.17%E -1.96%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.32%EV -4.93%E -4.04%K -22.41%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-28 08:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV -9.49%E -2.32%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -1.81%E -1.44%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-28 09:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV -9.49%E -2.32%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -1.81%E -1.44%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-28 09:08 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -9.49%E -2.32%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -6.49%E -5.41%K -32.45%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -9.49%E -2.32%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -6.49%E -5.41%K -32.45%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| Fliff🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -9.49%E -2.32%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.65%EV -8.05%E -6.82%K -44.71%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.58%EV -10.60%E -2.62%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.42%EV -2.59%E -2.07%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-28 09:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -11.70%E -2.93%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.59%E -2.07%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-28 09:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -11.70%E -2.93%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.93%E -4.04%K -22.41%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-28 09:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.33%EV -11.70%E -2.93%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 77.67%EV -10.39%E -9.03%K -69.24%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -13.91%E -3.57%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -1.81%E -1.44%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-28 09:04 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -16.12%E -4.24%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -2.59%E -2.07%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-28 09:18 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -16.12%E -4.24%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -2.59%E -2.07%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-28 08:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -17.22%E -4.59%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -1.81%E -1.44%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-28 09:06 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -17.22%E -4.59%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -1.81%E -1.44%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-28 09:07 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -20.53%E -5.70%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -1.03%E -0.815%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -20.53%E -5.70%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -2.59%E -2.07%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -20.53%E -5.70%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -2.59%E -2.07%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -27.15%E -8.23%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV +2.08%E +1.59%K +6.72%G +0.140% | 6.6% | 2026-05-28 09:18 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.77% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 82.23% | 0.5% | 2026-05-28 09:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.77% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 82.23% | 0.5% | 2026-05-28 09:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.18% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.82% | 1.9% | 2026-05-28 09:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.46% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 81.54% | 2.2% | 2026-05-28 09:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.18% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 80.82% | 2.3% | 2026-05-28 09:20 |
| Novig◎ | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.24% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.76% | 6.3% | 2026-05-28 09:20 |