A Escola das Odds

Facundo Diaz Acosta v Learner Tien

Início: 2026-05-28 10:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

61 casas de apostas (22 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Facundo Diaz Acosta (Local)

Previsão 22.07%4.53odd justa
EV +29.58%
Vantagem +5.04%
Kelly +6.07%
Crescimento +1.80%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.87

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
16.26%22.11%22.30%28.42%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.304.314.305.8730.30%23.18%23.26%17.04%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Learner Tien (Visitante)

Previsão 77.93%1.28odd justa
EV +2.08%
Vantagem +1.59%
Kelly +6.72%
Crescimento +0.140%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.31

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
71.58%77.89%77.70%83.74%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.141.211.201.3187.72%82.72%83.33%76.34%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (61 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
DraftKings5.87I 17.04%NM 16.26%EV +29.58%E +5.04%K +6.07%G +1.80%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.74%EV -11.16%E -9.79%K -79.75%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-28 09:19
TAB5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV +10.37%E +2.07%K +2.59%G +0.269%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -10.39%E -9.03%K -69.24%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-28 09:20
FanDuel4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV +5.96%E +1.24%K +1.57%G +0.093%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -8.05%E -6.82%K -44.71%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-28 09:19
Fanatics4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV +5.96%E +1.24%K +1.57%G +0.093%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -8.05%E -6.82%K -44.71%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-28 09:19
Bet Victor4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV +4.85%E +1.02%K +1.29%G +0.063%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -8.83%E -7.54%K -51.92%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-28 09:19
theScore Bet4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV +4.85%E +1.02%K +1.29%G +0.063%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -8.83%E -7.54%K -51.92%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-28 09:19
PointsBet (AU)4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV +4.85%E +1.02%K +1.29%G +0.063%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.37%EV -9.61%E -8.28%K -60.04%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-28 09:20
SportsBet4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV +1.54%E +0.335%K +0.428%G +0.007%1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -5.71%E -4.72%K -27.19%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-28 09:04
Casumo4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV +1.54%E +0.335%K +0.428%G +0.007%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -7.27%E -6.11%K -38.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-28 09:19
Unibet (SE)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV +1.54%E +0.335%K +0.428%G +0.007%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -7.27%E -6.11%K -38.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-28 09:19
Unibet4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV +1.54%E +0.335%K +0.428%G +0.007%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -7.27%E -6.11%K -38.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-28 09:19
ATG (SE)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV +1.54%E +0.335%K +0.428%G +0.007%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -7.27%E -6.11%K -38.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-28 09:19
betPARX4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV +1.54%E +0.335%K +0.428%G +0.007%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -7.27%E -6.11%K -38.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-28 09:19
Svenska Spel4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV +1.54%E +0.335%K +0.428%G +0.007%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -7.27%E -6.11%K -38.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-28 09:19
TABtouch4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV +1.54%E +0.335%K +0.428%G +0.007%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -8.83%E -7.54%K -51.92%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-28 09:19
LiveScore Bet4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV +1.54%E +0.335%K +0.428%G +0.007%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -8.83%E -7.54%K -51.92%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-28 09:19
Bally Bet4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV +1.54%E +0.335%K +0.428%G +0.007%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -8.83%E -7.54%K -51.92%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-28 09:19
1xBet4.57I 21.88%NM 20.93%EV +0.880%E +0.193%K +0.247%G +0.002%1.21I 82.64%NM 79.07%EV -5.71%E -4.72%K -27.19%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-28 09:10
Bovada4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -0.665%E -0.148%K -0.190%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.93%E -4.04%K -22.41%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-28 09:06
Hard Rock Bet4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -0.665%E -0.148%K -0.190%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.49%E -5.41%K -32.45%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-28 09:20
Paddy Power4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -0.665%E -0.148%K -0.190%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.83%E -7.54%K -51.92%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-28 09:19
888sport4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -0.665%E -0.148%K -0.190%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.83%E -7.54%K -51.92%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-28 09:19
Mr Green (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -0.665%E -0.148%K -0.190%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.83%E -7.54%K -51.92%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-28 09:19
Winamax (DE)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.21%EV -0.665%E -0.148%K -0.190%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 79.79%EV -11.16%E -9.79%K -79.75%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-28 09:19
Codere (IT)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -2.87%E -0.653%K -0.845%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -4.15%E -3.38%K -18.05%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-28 08:59
Betsson4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -2.87%E -0.653%K -0.845%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.49%E -5.41%K -32.45%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-28 09:19
NordicBet4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -2.87%E -0.653%K -0.845%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.49%E -5.41%K -32.45%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-28 09:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -4.42%E -1.02%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.49%E -5.41%K -32.45%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-28 09:19
888sport (SE)4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -4.42%E -1.02%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.49%E -5.41%K -32.45%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-28 09:19
Unibet (FR)4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.08%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.93%E -4.04%K -22.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-28 09:10
Betr (AU)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -5.08%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.71%E -4.72%K -27.19%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-28 09:04
Betclic (FR)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.68%EV -5.08%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 78.32%EV -7.27%E -6.11%K -38.26%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-28 09:19
Bet Right4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -5.08%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.47%EV -8.05%E -6.82%K -44.71%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-28 09:04
BetUS4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -6.18%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -3.37%E -2.72%K -14.05%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-28 08:59
Marathon Bet4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.18%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.93%E -4.04%K -22.41%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-28 08:58
Betway4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.18%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.93%E -4.04%K -22.41%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-28 09:19
Pinnacle4.20I 23.81%NM 23.22%EV -7.29%E -1.74%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 76.78%EV -1.03%E -0.815%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-28 09:10
BetAnything4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -7.29%E -1.74%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -3.37%E -2.72%K -14.05%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-28 09:04
PlayUp4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.29%E -1.74%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.93%E -4.04%K -22.41%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-28 09:11
Unibet (NL)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.29%E -1.74%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.93%E -4.04%K -22.41%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-28 09:19
William Hill4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.29%E -1.74%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.93%E -4.04%K -22.41%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-28 09:11
NetBet (FR)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.29%E -1.74%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.93%E -4.04%K -22.41%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-28 09:01
GTbets4.16I 24.04%NM 22.68%EV -8.17%E -1.96%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.32%EV -4.93%E -4.04%K -22.41%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-28 08:59
BetOnline.ag4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV -9.49%E -2.32%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -1.81%E -1.44%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-28 09:09
LowVig.ag4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV -9.49%E -2.32%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -1.81%E -1.44%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-28 09:08
Virgin Bet4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -9.49%E -2.32%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -6.49%E -5.41%K -32.45%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-28 09:19
Grosvenor4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -9.49%E -2.32%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -6.49%E -5.41%K -32.45%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-28 09:19
Fliff4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -9.49%E -2.32%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 77.65%EV -8.05%E -6.82%K -44.71%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-28 09:19
Coolbet4.05I 24.69%NM 23.58%EV -10.60%E -2.62%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.42%EV -2.59%E -2.07%K -10.37%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-28 09:20
Unibet (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -11.70%E -2.93%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.59%E -2.07%K -10.37%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-28 09:20
Tipico (DE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -11.70%E -2.93%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.93%E -4.04%K -22.41%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-28 09:20
Winamax (FR)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.33%EV -11.70%E -2.93%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 77.67%EV -10.39%E -9.03%K -69.24%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-28 09:19
BetRivers3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -13.91%E -3.57%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -1.81%E -1.44%K -6.98%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-28 09:04
MyBookie.ag3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -16.12%E -4.24%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -2.59%E -2.07%K -10.37%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-28 09:18
Everygame3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -16.12%E -4.24%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -2.59%E -2.07%K -10.37%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-28 08:59
Neds3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -17.22%E -4.59%K -6.26%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -1.81%E -1.44%K -6.98%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-28 09:06
Ladbrokes (AU)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -17.22%E -4.59%K -6.26%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -1.81%E -1.44%K -6.98%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-28 09:07
BetMGM3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -20.53%E -5.70%K -7.90%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -1.03%E -0.815%K -3.83%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-28 09:19
Coral3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -20.53%E -5.70%K -7.90%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -2.59%E -2.07%K -10.37%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-28 09:19
Ladbrokes (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -20.53%E -5.70%K -7.90%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -2.59%E -2.07%K -10.37%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-28 09:19
Caesars3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -27.15%E -8.23%K -11.81%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV +2.08%E +1.59%K +6.72%G +0.140%6.6%2026-05-28 09:18
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.60I 17.86%NM 17.77%1.21I 82.64%NM 82.23%0.5%2026-05-28 09:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.60I 17.86%NM 17.77%1.21I 82.64%NM 82.23%0.5%2026-05-28 09:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.75I 26.67%NM 26.18%1.33I 75.19%NM 73.82%1.9%2026-05-28 09:20
Smarkets5.30I 18.87%NM 18.46%1.20I 83.33%NM 81.54%2.2%2026-05-28 09:20
Matchbook5.10I 19.61%NM 19.18%1.21I 82.64%NM 80.82%2.3%2026-05-28 09:20
Novig4.65I 21.51%NM 20.24%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.76%6.3%2026-05-28 09:20