مدرسة الاحتمالات

Facundo Diaz Acosta v Learner Tien

البداية: 2026-05-28 10:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

61 شركة مراهنات (22 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Facundo Diaz Acosta (المضيف)

التنبؤ 22.07%4.53السعر العادل
EV +29.58%
الأفضلية +5.04%
Kelly +6.07%
النمو +1.80%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 5.87

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
16.26%22.11%22.30%28.42%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.304.314.305.8730.30%23.18%23.26%17.04%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Learner Tien (الضيف)

التنبؤ 77.93%1.28السعر العادل
EV +2.08%
الأفضلية +1.59%
Kelly +6.72%
النمو +0.140%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.31

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
71.58%77.89%77.70%83.74%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.141.211.201.3187.72%82.72%83.33%76.34%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (61 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
DraftKings5.87I 17.04%NM 16.26%EV +29.58%E +5.04%K +6.07%G +1.80%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.74%EV -11.16%E -9.79%K -79.75%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-28 09:19
TAB5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV +10.37%E +2.07%K +2.59%G +0.269%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -10.39%E -9.03%K -69.24%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-28 09:20
FanDuel4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV +5.96%E +1.24%K +1.57%G +0.093%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -8.05%E -6.82%K -44.71%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-28 09:19
Fanatics4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV +5.96%E +1.24%K +1.57%G +0.093%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -8.05%E -6.82%K -44.71%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-28 09:19
Bet Victor4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV +4.85%E +1.02%K +1.29%G +0.063%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -8.83%E -7.54%K -51.92%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-28 09:19
theScore Bet4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV +4.85%E +1.02%K +1.29%G +0.063%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -8.83%E -7.54%K -51.92%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-28 09:19
PointsBet (AU)4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV +4.85%E +1.02%K +1.29%G +0.063%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.37%EV -9.61%E -8.28%K -60.04%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-28 09:20
SportsBet4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV +1.54%E +0.335%K +0.428%G +0.007%1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -5.71%E -4.72%K -27.19%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-28 09:04
Casumo4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV +1.54%E +0.335%K +0.428%G +0.007%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -7.27%E -6.11%K -38.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-28 09:19
Unibet (SE)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV +1.54%E +0.335%K +0.428%G +0.007%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -7.27%E -6.11%K -38.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-28 09:19
Unibet4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV +1.54%E +0.335%K +0.428%G +0.007%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -7.27%E -6.11%K -38.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-28 09:19
ATG (SE)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV +1.54%E +0.335%K +0.428%G +0.007%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -7.27%E -6.11%K -38.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-28 09:19
betPARX4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV +1.54%E +0.335%K +0.428%G +0.007%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -7.27%E -6.11%K -38.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-28 09:19
Svenska Spel4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV +1.54%E +0.335%K +0.428%G +0.007%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -7.27%E -6.11%K -38.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-28 09:19
TABtouch4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV +1.54%E +0.335%K +0.428%G +0.007%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -8.83%E -7.54%K -51.92%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-28 09:19
LiveScore Bet4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV +1.54%E +0.335%K +0.428%G +0.007%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -8.83%E -7.54%K -51.92%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-28 09:19
Bally Bet4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV +1.54%E +0.335%K +0.428%G +0.007%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -8.83%E -7.54%K -51.92%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-28 09:19
1xBet4.57I 21.88%NM 20.93%EV +0.880%E +0.193%K +0.247%G +0.002%1.21I 82.64%NM 79.07%EV -5.71%E -4.72%K -27.19%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-28 09:10
Bovada4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -0.665%E -0.148%K -0.190%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.93%E -4.04%K -22.41%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-28 09:06
Hard Rock Bet4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -0.665%E -0.148%K -0.190%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.49%E -5.41%K -32.45%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-28 09:20
Paddy Power4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -0.665%E -0.148%K -0.190%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.83%E -7.54%K -51.92%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-28 09:19
888sport4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -0.665%E -0.148%K -0.190%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.83%E -7.54%K -51.92%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-28 09:19
Mr Green (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -0.665%E -0.148%K -0.190%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.83%E -7.54%K -51.92%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-28 09:19
Winamax (DE)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.21%EV -0.665%E -0.148%K -0.190%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 79.79%EV -11.16%E -9.79%K -79.75%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-28 09:19
Codere (IT)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -2.87%E -0.653%K -0.845%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -4.15%E -3.38%K -18.05%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-28 08:59
Betsson4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -2.87%E -0.653%K -0.845%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.49%E -5.41%K -32.45%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-28 09:19
NordicBet4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -2.87%E -0.653%K -0.845%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.49%E -5.41%K -32.45%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-28 09:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -4.42%E -1.02%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.49%E -5.41%K -32.45%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-28 09:19
888sport (SE)4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -4.42%E -1.02%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.49%E -5.41%K -32.45%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-28 09:19
Unibet (FR)4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.08%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.93%E -4.04%K -22.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-28 09:10
Betr (AU)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -5.08%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.71%E -4.72%K -27.19%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-28 09:04
Betclic (FR)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.68%EV -5.08%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 78.32%EV -7.27%E -6.11%K -38.26%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-28 09:19
Bet Right4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -5.08%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.47%EV -8.05%E -6.82%K -44.71%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-28 09:04
BetUS4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -6.18%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -3.37%E -2.72%K -14.05%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-28 08:59
Marathon Bet4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.18%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.93%E -4.04%K -22.41%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-28 08:58
Betway4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.18%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.93%E -4.04%K -22.41%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-28 09:19
Pinnacle4.20I 23.81%NM 23.22%EV -7.29%E -1.74%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 76.78%EV -1.03%E -0.815%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-28 09:10
BetAnything4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -7.29%E -1.74%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -3.37%E -2.72%K -14.05%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-28 09:04
PlayUp4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.29%E -1.74%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.93%E -4.04%K -22.41%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-28 09:11
Unibet (NL)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.29%E -1.74%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.93%E -4.04%K -22.41%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-28 09:19
William Hill4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.29%E -1.74%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.93%E -4.04%K -22.41%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-28 09:11
NetBet (FR)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.29%E -1.74%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.93%E -4.04%K -22.41%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-28 09:01
GTbets4.16I 24.04%NM 22.68%EV -8.17%E -1.96%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.32%EV -4.93%E -4.04%K -22.41%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-28 08:59
BetOnline.ag4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV -9.49%E -2.32%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -1.81%E -1.44%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-28 09:09
LowVig.ag4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV -9.49%E -2.32%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -1.81%E -1.44%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-28 09:08
Virgin Bet4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -9.49%E -2.32%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -6.49%E -5.41%K -32.45%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-28 09:19
Grosvenor4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -9.49%E -2.32%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -6.49%E -5.41%K -32.45%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-28 09:19
Fliff4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -9.49%E -2.32%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 77.65%EV -8.05%E -6.82%K -44.71%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-28 09:19
Coolbet4.05I 24.69%NM 23.58%EV -10.60%E -2.62%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.42%EV -2.59%E -2.07%K -10.37%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-28 09:20
Unibet (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -11.70%E -2.93%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.59%E -2.07%K -10.37%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-28 09:20
Tipico (DE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -11.70%E -2.93%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.93%E -4.04%K -22.41%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-28 09:20
Winamax (FR)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.33%EV -11.70%E -2.93%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 77.67%EV -10.39%E -9.03%K -69.24%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-28 09:19
BetRivers3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -13.91%E -3.57%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -1.81%E -1.44%K -6.98%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-28 09:04
MyBookie.ag3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -16.12%E -4.24%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -2.59%E -2.07%K -10.37%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-28 09:18
Everygame3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -16.12%E -4.24%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -2.59%E -2.07%K -10.37%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-28 08:59
Neds3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -17.22%E -4.59%K -6.26%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -1.81%E -1.44%K -6.98%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-28 09:06
Ladbrokes (AU)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -17.22%E -4.59%K -6.26%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -1.81%E -1.44%K -6.98%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-28 09:07
BetMGM3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -20.53%E -5.70%K -7.90%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -1.03%E -0.815%K -3.83%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-28 09:19
Coral3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -20.53%E -5.70%K -7.90%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -2.59%E -2.07%K -10.37%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-28 09:19
Ladbrokes (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -20.53%E -5.70%K -7.90%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -2.59%E -2.07%K -10.37%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-28 09:19
Caesars3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -27.15%E -8.23%K -11.81%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV +2.08%E +1.59%K +6.72%G +0.140%6.6%2026-05-28 09:18
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.60I 17.86%NM 17.77%1.21I 82.64%NM 82.23%0.5%2026-05-28 09:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.60I 17.86%NM 17.77%1.21I 82.64%NM 82.23%0.5%2026-05-28 09:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.75I 26.67%NM 26.18%1.33I 75.19%NM 73.82%1.9%2026-05-28 09:20
Smarkets5.30I 18.87%NM 18.46%1.20I 83.33%NM 81.54%2.2%2026-05-28 09:20
Matchbook5.10I 19.61%NM 19.18%1.21I 82.64%NM 80.82%2.3%2026-05-28 09:20
Novig4.65I 21.51%NM 20.24%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.76%6.3%2026-05-28 09:20