La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Facundo Diaz Acosta v Learner Tien
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Facundo Diaz Acosta (Local)
Predicción 22.07%4.53momio equitativo
EV +29.58%
Ventaja +5.04%
Kelly +6.07%
Crecimiento +1.80%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.87
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.26%22.11%22.30%28.42%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.304.314.305.8730.30%23.18%23.26%17.04%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Learner Tien (Visitante)
Predicción 77.93%1.28momio equitativo
EV +2.08%
Ventaja +1.59%
Kelly +6.72%
Crecimiento +0.140%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.31
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
71.58%77.89%77.70%83.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.141.211.201.3187.72%82.72%83.33%76.34%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | 5.87I 17.04%NM 16.26%EV +29.58%E +5.04%K +6.07%G +1.80% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.74%EV -11.16%E -9.79%K -79.75%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| TAB | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV +10.37%E +2.07%K +2.59%G +0.269% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -10.39%E -9.03%K -69.24%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-28 09:20 |
| FanDuel | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV +5.96%E +1.24%K +1.57%G +0.093% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -8.05%E -6.82%K -44.71%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| Fanatics | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV +5.96%E +1.24%K +1.57%G +0.093% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -8.05%E -6.82%K -44.71%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| Bet Victor | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV +4.85%E +1.02%K +1.29%G +0.063% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -8.83%E -7.54%K -51.92%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| theScore Bet | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV +4.85%E +1.02%K +1.29%G +0.063% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -8.83%E -7.54%K -51.92%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV +4.85%E +1.02%K +1.29%G +0.063% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.37%EV -9.61%E -8.28%K -60.04%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-28 09:20 |
| SportsBet | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV +1.54%E +0.335%K +0.428%G +0.007% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -5.71%E -4.72%K -27.19%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-28 09:04 |
| Casumo | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV +1.54%E +0.335%K +0.428%G +0.007% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -7.27%E -6.11%K -38.26%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| Unibet (SE) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV +1.54%E +0.335%K +0.428%G +0.007% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -7.27%E -6.11%K -38.26%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| Unibet | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV +1.54%E +0.335%K +0.428%G +0.007% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -7.27%E -6.11%K -38.26%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| ATG (SE) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV +1.54%E +0.335%K +0.428%G +0.007% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -7.27%E -6.11%K -38.26%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| betPARX | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV +1.54%E +0.335%K +0.428%G +0.007% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -7.27%E -6.11%K -38.26%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| Svenska Spel | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV +1.54%E +0.335%K +0.428%G +0.007% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -7.27%E -6.11%K -38.26%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| TABtouch | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV +1.54%E +0.335%K +0.428%G +0.007% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -8.83%E -7.54%K -51.92%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| LiveScore Bet | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV +1.54%E +0.335%K +0.428%G +0.007% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -8.83%E -7.54%K -51.92%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| Bally Bet | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV +1.54%E +0.335%K +0.428%G +0.007% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -8.83%E -7.54%K -51.92%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| 1xBet | 4.57I 21.88%NM 20.93%EV +0.880%E +0.193%K +0.247%G +0.002% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.07%EV -5.71%E -4.72%K -27.19%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-28 09:10 |
| Bovada | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -0.665%E -0.148%K -0.190%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.93%E -4.04%K -22.41%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-28 09:06 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -0.665%E -0.148%K -0.190%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.49%E -5.41%K -32.45%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-28 09:20 |
| Paddy Power | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -0.665%E -0.148%K -0.190%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.83%E -7.54%K -51.92%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| 888sport | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -0.665%E -0.148%K -0.190%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.83%E -7.54%K -51.92%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -0.665%E -0.148%K -0.190%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.83%E -7.54%K -51.92%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| Winamax (DE) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.21%EV -0.665%E -0.148%K -0.190%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 79.79%EV -11.16%E -9.79%K -79.75%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| Codere (IT) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -2.87%E -0.653%K -0.845%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -4.15%E -3.38%K -18.05%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-28 08:59 |
| Betsson | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -2.87%E -0.653%K -0.845%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.49%E -5.41%K -32.45%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| NordicBet | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -2.87%E -0.653%K -0.845%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.49%E -5.41%K -32.45%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -4.42%E -1.02%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.49%E -5.41%K -32.45%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| 888sport (SE) | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -4.42%E -1.02%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.49%E -5.41%K -32.45%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| Unibet (FR) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.08%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.93%E -4.04%K -22.41%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-28 09:10 |
| Betr (AU) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -5.08%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.71%E -4.72%K -27.19%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-28 09:04 |
| Betclic (FR) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.68%EV -5.08%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.32%EV -7.27%E -6.11%K -38.26%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| Bet Right | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -5.08%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.47%EV -8.05%E -6.82%K -44.71%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-28 09:04 |
| BetUS | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -6.18%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -3.37%E -2.72%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-28 08:59 |
| Marathon Bet | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.18%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.93%E -4.04%K -22.41%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-28 08:58 |
| Betway | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.18%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.93%E -4.04%K -22.41%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| Pinnacle | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.22%EV -7.29%E -1.74%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.78%EV -1.03%E -0.815%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-28 09:10 |
| BetAnything | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -7.29%E -1.74%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -3.37%E -2.72%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-28 09:04 |
| PlayUp | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.29%E -1.74%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.93%E -4.04%K -22.41%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-28 09:11 |
| Unibet (NL) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.29%E -1.74%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.93%E -4.04%K -22.41%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| William Hill | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.29%E -1.74%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.93%E -4.04%K -22.41%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-28 09:11 |
| NetBet (FR) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.29%E -1.74%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.93%E -4.04%K -22.41%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-28 09:01 |
| GTbets | 4.16I 24.04%NM 22.68%EV -8.17%E -1.96%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.32%EV -4.93%E -4.04%K -22.41%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-28 08:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV -9.49%E -2.32%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -1.81%E -1.44%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-28 09:09 |
| LowVig.ag | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV -9.49%E -2.32%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -1.81%E -1.44%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-28 09:08 |
| Virgin Bet | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -9.49%E -2.32%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -6.49%E -5.41%K -32.45%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| Grosvenor | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -9.49%E -2.32%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -6.49%E -5.41%K -32.45%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| Fliff | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -9.49%E -2.32%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.65%EV -8.05%E -6.82%K -44.71%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| Coolbet | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.58%EV -10.60%E -2.62%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.42%EV -2.59%E -2.07%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-28 09:20 |
| Unibet (UK) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -11.70%E -2.93%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.59%E -2.07%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-28 09:20 |
| Tipico (DE) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -11.70%E -2.93%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.93%E -4.04%K -22.41%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-28 09:20 |
| Winamax (FR) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.33%EV -11.70%E -2.93%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 77.67%EV -10.39%E -9.03%K -69.24%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| BetRivers | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -13.91%E -3.57%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -1.81%E -1.44%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-28 09:04 |
| MyBookie.ag | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -16.12%E -4.24%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -2.59%E -2.07%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-28 09:18 |
| Everygame | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -16.12%E -4.24%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -2.59%E -2.07%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-28 08:59 |
| Neds | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -17.22%E -4.59%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -1.81%E -1.44%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-28 09:06 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -17.22%E -4.59%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -1.81%E -1.44%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-28 09:07 |
| BetMGM | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -20.53%E -5.70%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -1.03%E -0.815%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| Coral | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -20.53%E -5.70%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -2.59%E -2.07%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -20.53%E -5.70%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -2.59%E -2.07%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| Caesars | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -27.15%E -8.23%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV +2.08%E +1.59%K +6.72%G +0.140% | 6.6% | 2026-05-28 09:18 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.77% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 82.23% | 0.5% | 2026-05-28 09:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.77% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 82.23% | 0.5% | 2026-05-28 09:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.18% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.82% | 1.9% | 2026-05-28 09:20 |
| Smarkets | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.46% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 81.54% | 2.2% | 2026-05-28 09:20 |
| Matchbook | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.18% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 80.82% | 2.3% | 2026-05-28 09:20 |
| Novig | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.24% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.76% | 6.3% | 2026-05-28 09:20 |