L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Facundo Diaz Acosta v Learner Tien
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Facundo Diaz Acosta (Local)
Prévision 22.07%4.53cote équitable
EV +29.58%
Avantage +5.04%
Kelly +6.07%
Croissance +1.80%
avec la cote maximale 5.87
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.26%22.11%22.30%28.42%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.304.314.305.8730.30%23.18%23.26%17.04%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Learner Tien (Visiteur)
Prévision 77.93%1.28cote équitable
EV +2.08%
Avantage +1.59%
Kelly +6.72%
Croissance +0.140%
avec la cote maximale 1.31
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
71.58%77.89%77.70%83.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.141.211.201.3187.72%82.72%83.33%76.34%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | 5.87I 17.04%NM 16.26%EV +29.58%E +5.04%K +6.07%G +1.80% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.74%EV -11.16%E -9.79%K -79.75%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| TAB | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV +10.37%E +2.07%K +2.59%G +0.269% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -10.39%E -9.03%K -69.24%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-28 09:20 |
| FanDuel | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV +5.96%E +1.24%K +1.57%G +0.093% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -8.05%E -6.82%K -44.71%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| Fanatics | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV +5.96%E +1.24%K +1.57%G +0.093% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -8.05%E -6.82%K -44.71%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| Bet Victor | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV +4.85%E +1.02%K +1.29%G +0.063% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -8.83%E -7.54%K -51.92%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| theScore Bet | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV +4.85%E +1.02%K +1.29%G +0.063% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -8.83%E -7.54%K -51.92%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV +4.85%E +1.02%K +1.29%G +0.063% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.37%EV -9.61%E -8.28%K -60.04%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-28 09:20 |
| SportsBet | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV +1.54%E +0.335%K +0.428%G +0.007% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -5.71%E -4.72%K -27.19%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-28 09:04 |
| Casumo | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV +1.54%E +0.335%K +0.428%G +0.007% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -7.27%E -6.11%K -38.26%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| Unibet (SE) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV +1.54%E +0.335%K +0.428%G +0.007% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -7.27%E -6.11%K -38.26%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| Unibet | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV +1.54%E +0.335%K +0.428%G +0.007% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -7.27%E -6.11%K -38.26%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| ATG (SE) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV +1.54%E +0.335%K +0.428%G +0.007% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -7.27%E -6.11%K -38.26%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| betPARX | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV +1.54%E +0.335%K +0.428%G +0.007% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -7.27%E -6.11%K -38.26%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| Svenska Spel | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV +1.54%E +0.335%K +0.428%G +0.007% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -7.27%E -6.11%K -38.26%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| TABtouch | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV +1.54%E +0.335%K +0.428%G +0.007% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -8.83%E -7.54%K -51.92%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| LiveScore Bet | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV +1.54%E +0.335%K +0.428%G +0.007% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -8.83%E -7.54%K -51.92%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| Bally Bet | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV +1.54%E +0.335%K +0.428%G +0.007% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -8.83%E -7.54%K -51.92%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| 1xBet | 4.57I 21.88%NM 20.93%EV +0.880%E +0.193%K +0.247%G +0.002% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.07%EV -5.71%E -4.72%K -27.19%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-28 09:10 |
| Bovada | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -0.665%E -0.148%K -0.190%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.93%E -4.04%K -22.41%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-28 09:06 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -0.665%E -0.148%K -0.190%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.49%E -5.41%K -32.45%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-28 09:20 |
| Paddy Power | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -0.665%E -0.148%K -0.190%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.83%E -7.54%K -51.92%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| 888sport | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -0.665%E -0.148%K -0.190%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.83%E -7.54%K -51.92%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -0.665%E -0.148%K -0.190%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.83%E -7.54%K -51.92%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| Winamax (DE) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.21%EV -0.665%E -0.148%K -0.190%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 79.79%EV -11.16%E -9.79%K -79.75%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| Codere (IT) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -2.87%E -0.653%K -0.845%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -4.15%E -3.38%K -18.05%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-28 08:59 |
| Betsson | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -2.87%E -0.653%K -0.845%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.49%E -5.41%K -32.45%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| NordicBet | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -2.87%E -0.653%K -0.845%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.49%E -5.41%K -32.45%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -4.42%E -1.02%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.49%E -5.41%K -32.45%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| 888sport (SE) | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -4.42%E -1.02%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.49%E -5.41%K -32.45%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| Unibet (FR) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.08%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.93%E -4.04%K -22.41%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-28 09:10 |
| Betr (AU) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -5.08%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.71%E -4.72%K -27.19%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-28 09:04 |
| Betclic (FR) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.68%EV -5.08%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.32%EV -7.27%E -6.11%K -38.26%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| Bet Right | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -5.08%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.47%EV -8.05%E -6.82%K -44.71%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-28 09:04 |
| BetUS | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -6.18%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -3.37%E -2.72%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-28 08:59 |
| Marathon Bet | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.18%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.93%E -4.04%K -22.41%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-28 08:58 |
| Betway | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.18%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.93%E -4.04%K -22.41%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| Pinnacle | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.22%EV -7.29%E -1.74%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.78%EV -1.03%E -0.815%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-28 09:10 |
| BetAnything | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -7.29%E -1.74%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -3.37%E -2.72%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-28 09:04 |
| PlayUp | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.29%E -1.74%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.93%E -4.04%K -22.41%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-28 09:11 |
| Unibet (NL) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.29%E -1.74%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.93%E -4.04%K -22.41%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| William Hill | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.29%E -1.74%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.93%E -4.04%K -22.41%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-28 09:11 |
| NetBet (FR) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.29%E -1.74%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.93%E -4.04%K -22.41%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-28 09:01 |
| GTbets | 4.16I 24.04%NM 22.68%EV -8.17%E -1.96%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.32%EV -4.93%E -4.04%K -22.41%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-28 08:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV -9.49%E -2.32%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -1.81%E -1.44%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-28 09:09 |
| LowVig.ag | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV -9.49%E -2.32%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -1.81%E -1.44%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-28 09:08 |
| Virgin Bet | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -9.49%E -2.32%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -6.49%E -5.41%K -32.45%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| Grosvenor | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -9.49%E -2.32%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -6.49%E -5.41%K -32.45%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| Fliff | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -9.49%E -2.32%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.65%EV -8.05%E -6.82%K -44.71%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| Coolbet | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.58%EV -10.60%E -2.62%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.42%EV -2.59%E -2.07%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-28 09:20 |
| Unibet (UK) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -11.70%E -2.93%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.59%E -2.07%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-28 09:20 |
| Tipico (DE) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -11.70%E -2.93%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.93%E -4.04%K -22.41%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-28 09:20 |
| Winamax (FR) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.33%EV -11.70%E -2.93%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 77.67%EV -10.39%E -9.03%K -69.24%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| BetRivers | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -13.91%E -3.57%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -1.81%E -1.44%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-28 09:04 |
| MyBookie.ag | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -16.12%E -4.24%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -2.59%E -2.07%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-28 09:18 |
| Everygame | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -16.12%E -4.24%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -2.59%E -2.07%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-28 08:59 |
| Neds | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -17.22%E -4.59%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -1.81%E -1.44%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-28 09:06 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -17.22%E -4.59%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -1.81%E -1.44%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-28 09:07 |
| BetMGM | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -20.53%E -5.70%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -1.03%E -0.815%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| Coral | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -20.53%E -5.70%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -2.59%E -2.07%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -20.53%E -5.70%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -2.59%E -2.07%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| Caesars | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -27.15%E -8.23%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV +2.08%E +1.59%K +6.72%G +0.140% | 6.6% | 2026-05-28 09:18 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.77% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 82.23% | 0.5% | 2026-05-28 09:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.77% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 82.23% | 0.5% | 2026-05-28 09:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.18% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.82% | 1.9% | 2026-05-28 09:20 |
| Smarkets | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.46% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 81.54% | 2.2% | 2026-05-28 09:20 |
| Matchbook | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.18% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 80.82% | 2.3% | 2026-05-28 09:20 |
| Novig | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.24% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.76% | 6.3% | 2026-05-28 09:20 |