Language:English
Casper Ruud v Roman Safiullin
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Casper Ruud (Local)
Prediction 87.00%1.15fair odd
EV -3.43%
Edge -3.09%
Kelly -31.14%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.11
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
84.72%86.78%87.14%89.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.051.081.081.1195.24%92.30%92.59%90.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Roman Safiullin (Visit)
Prediction 13.00%7.69fair odd
EV +16.96%
Edge +1.88%
Kelly +2.12%
Growth +0.360%
assuming max odds 9.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
10.54%13.22%12.86%15.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.007.317.509.0016.67%13.68%13.33%11.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Casper Ruud (Local): 87.00%; Roman Safiullin (Visit): 13.00%. For Roman Safiullin (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.69. 15 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 9.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +16.96%.
Sportsbook Odds (56 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -7.78%E -7.34%K -129.59%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV +16.96%E +1.88%K +2.12%G +0.360% | 5.5% | 2026-05-25 14:52 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.91%E -6.45%K -98.65%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +10.46%E +1.23%K +1.39%G +0.146% | 5.2% | 2026-05-25 15:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.04%E -5.59%K -75.44%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +3.96%E +0.495%K +0.566%G +0.022% | 5.1% | 2026-05-25 15:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.04%E -5.59%K -75.44%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +3.96%E +0.495%K +0.566%G +0.022% | 5.1% | 2026-05-25 15:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.04%E -5.59%K -75.44%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +3.96%E +0.495%K +0.566%G +0.022% | 5.1% | 2026-05-25 15:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.04%E -5.59%K -75.44%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +3.96%E +0.495%K +0.566%G +0.022% | 5.1% | 2026-05-25 14:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.04%E -5.59%K -75.44%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +3.96%E +0.495%K +0.566%G +0.022% | 5.1% | 2026-05-25 15:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.04%E -5.59%K -75.44%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +3.96%E +0.495%K +0.566%G +0.022% | 5.1% | 2026-05-25 15:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.04%E -5.59%K -75.44%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +3.96%E +0.495%K +0.566%G +0.022% | 5.1% | 2026-05-25 14:29 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.04%E -5.59%K -75.44%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +3.96%E +0.495%K +0.566%G +0.022% | 5.1% | 2026-05-25 15:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -6.91%E -6.45%K -98.65%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV +3.96%E +0.495%K +0.566%G +0.022% | 6.0% | 2026-05-25 15:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.85%EV -5.17%E -4.74%K -57.39%G +0.000% | 7.88I 12.69%NM 12.15%EV +2.40%E +0.305%K +0.349%G +0.008% | 4.4% | 2026-05-25 14:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.85%EV -5.17%E -4.74%K -57.39%G +0.000% | 7.88I 12.69%NM 12.15%EV +2.40%E +0.305%K +0.349%G +0.008% | 4.4% | 2026-05-25 14:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.64%EV -4.30%E -3.90%K -42.95%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.36%EV +1.36%E +0.175%K +0.201%G +0.003% | 3.7% | 2026-05-25 14:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.70%EV -6.04%E -5.59%K -75.44%G +0.000% | 7.70I 12.99%NM 12.30%EV +0.065%E +0.008%K +0.010%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-25 14:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.56%EV -6.04%E -5.59%K -75.44%G +0.000% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.44%EV -1.23%E -0.162%K -0.187%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-25 14:30 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 87.79%EV -8.65%E -8.23%K -172.91%G +0.000% | 7.55I 13.25%NM 12.21%EV -1.88%E -0.250%K -0.288%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-25 15:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.30%E -3.90%K -42.95%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -2.53%E -0.338%K -0.390%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-25 14:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.30%E -3.90%K -42.95%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -2.53%E -0.338%K -0.390%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-25 14:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.17%E -4.74%K -57.39%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -2.53%E -0.338%K -0.390%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-25 14:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.17%E -4.74%K -57.39%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -2.53%E -0.338%K -0.390%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-25 14:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.17%E -4.74%K -57.39%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -2.53%E -0.338%K -0.390%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-25 14:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.17%E -4.74%K -57.39%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -2.53%E -0.338%K -0.390%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-25 14:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.17%E -4.74%K -57.39%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -2.53%E -0.338%K -0.390%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-25 14:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.17%E -4.74%K -57.39%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -2.53%E -0.338%K -0.390%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-25 14:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.17%E -4.74%K -57.39%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -2.53%E -0.338%K -0.390%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-25 14:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.04%E -5.59%K -75.44%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -2.53%E -0.338%K -0.390%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-25 14:29 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.04%E -5.59%K -75.44%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -2.53%E -0.338%K -0.390%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-25 14:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -6.91%E -6.45%K -98.65%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -2.53%E -0.338%K -0.390%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-25 15:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -7.78%E -7.34%K -129.59%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -2.53%E -0.338%K -0.390%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-25 15:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -7.78%E -7.34%K -129.59%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -2.53%E -0.338%K -0.390%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-25 15:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.06%EV -4.30%E -3.90%K -42.95%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.94%EV -3.83%E -0.518%K -0.599%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-25 14:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.83%EV -4.30%E -3.90%K -42.95%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.17%EV -5.78%E -0.798%K -0.925%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-25 14:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.14%EV -6.91%E -6.45%K -98.65%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.86%EV -5.78%E -0.798%K -0.925%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-25 15:00 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.75%EV -4.30%E -3.90%K -42.95%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.25%EV -6.43%E -0.893%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-25 14:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.04%E -5.59%K -75.44%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -9.03%E -1.29%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-25 14:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.04%E -5.59%K -75.44%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -9.03%E -1.29%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-25 14:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.04%E -5.59%K -75.44%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -9.03%E -1.29%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-25 15:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.04%E -5.59%K -75.44%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -9.03%E -1.29%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-25 15:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.04%E -5.59%K -75.44%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -9.03%E -1.29%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-25 15:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 86.85%EV -7.78%E -7.34%K -129.59%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -9.03%E -1.29%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-25 15:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -5.17%E -4.74%K -57.39%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -12.28%E -1.82%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-25 15:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -5.17%E -4.74%K -57.39%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -12.28%E -1.82%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-25 15:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -5.17%E -4.74%K -57.39%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -12.28%E -1.82%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-25 15:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.21%EV -6.04%E -5.59%K -75.44%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.79%EV -12.28%E -1.82%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-25 15:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -3.43%E -3.09%K -31.14%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV -12.93%E -1.93%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-25 14:56 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -3.43%E -3.09%K -31.14%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -15.53%E -2.39%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-25 14:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.30%E -3.90%K -42.95%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -15.53%E -2.39%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-25 15:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -6.04%E -5.59%K -75.44%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -15.53%E -2.39%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-25 15:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -6.04%E -5.59%K -75.44%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -15.53%E -2.39%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-25 14:43 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -6.04%E -5.59%K -75.44%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -15.53%E -2.39%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-25 15:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 85.91%EV -8.65%E -8.23%K -172.91%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.09%EV -16.83%E -2.63%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-25 15:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.03%EV -4.30%E -3.90%K -42.95%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.97%EV -18.78%E -3.00%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-25 15:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.15%EV -5.17%E -4.74%K -57.39%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.85%EV -18.78%E -3.00%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-25 15:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.72%EV -4.30%E -3.90%K -42.95%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.28%EV -20.73%E -3.40%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-25 14:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 84.75%EV -6.04%E -5.59%K -75.44%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.25%EV -22.03%E -3.67%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-25 15:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91% | 0.9% | 2026-05-25 15:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.11I 90.09%NM 89.23% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.77% | 1.0% | 2026-05-25 15:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.60% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.40% | 1.3% | 2026-05-25 15:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 89.52% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 10.48% | 1.5% | 2026-05-25 15:00 |
| Novig◎ | 1.09I 91.74%NM 89.38% | 9.17I 10.91%NM 10.62% | 2.6% | 2026-05-25 15:00 |