Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Casper Ruud v Roman Safiullin

Início: 2026-05-25 15:01 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

56 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Casper Ruud (Local)

Previsão 87.00%1.15odd justa
EV -3.43%
Vantagem -3.09%
Kelly -31.14%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.11

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
84.72%86.78%87.14%89.46%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.051.081.081.1195.24%92.30%92.59%90.09%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Roman Safiullin (Visitante)

Previsão 13.00%7.69odd justa
EV +16.96%
Vantagem +1.88%
Kelly +2.12%
Crescimento +0.360%

pressupondo odds máximas de 9.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
10.54%13.22%12.86%15.28%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
6.007.317.509.0016.67%13.68%13.33%11.11%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Casper Ruud (Local): 87.00%; Roman Safiullin (Visitante): 13.00%. Para Roman Safiullin (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 7.69. 15 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 9.00, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +16.96%.

Odds das casas de apostas (56 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Bet Right🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -7.78%E -7.34%K -129.59%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV +16.96%E +1.88%K +2.12%G +0.360%5.5%2026-05-25 14:52
Coral🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.91%E -6.45%K -98.65%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +10.46%E +1.23%K +1.39%G +0.146%5.2%2026-05-25 15:00
Unibet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.04%E -5.59%K -75.44%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +3.96%E +0.495%K +0.566%G +0.022%5.1%2026-05-25 15:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.04%E -5.59%K -75.44%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +3.96%E +0.495%K +0.566%G +0.022%5.1%2026-05-25 15:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.04%E -5.59%K -75.44%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +3.96%E +0.495%K +0.566%G +0.022%5.1%2026-05-25 15:00
Bovada🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.04%E -5.59%K -75.44%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +3.96%E +0.495%K +0.566%G +0.022%5.1%2026-05-25 14:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.04%E -5.59%K -75.44%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +3.96%E +0.495%K +0.566%G +0.022%5.1%2026-05-25 15:00
Betway🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.04%E -5.59%K -75.44%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +3.96%E +0.495%K +0.566%G +0.022%5.1%2026-05-25 15:00
SportsBet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.04%E -5.59%K -75.44%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +3.96%E +0.495%K +0.566%G +0.022%5.1%2026-05-25 14:29
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.04%E -5.59%K -75.44%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +3.96%E +0.495%K +0.566%G +0.022%5.1%2026-05-25 15:00
FanDuel🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -6.91%E -6.45%K -98.65%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV +3.96%E +0.495%K +0.566%G +0.022%6.0%2026-05-25 15:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.85%EV -5.17%E -4.74%K -57.39%G +0.000%7.88I 12.69%NM 12.15%EV +2.40%E +0.305%K +0.349%G +0.008%4.4%2026-05-25 14:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.85%EV -5.17%E -4.74%K -57.39%G +0.000%7.88I 12.69%NM 12.15%EV +2.40%E +0.305%K +0.349%G +0.008%4.4%2026-05-25 14:30
Pinnacle🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.64%EV -4.30%E -3.90%K -42.95%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.36%EV +1.36%E +0.175%K +0.201%G +0.003%3.7%2026-05-25 14:40
Fanatics🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.70%EV -6.04%E -5.59%K -75.44%G +0.000%7.70I 12.99%NM 12.30%EV +0.065%E +0.008%K +0.010%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-25 14:59
Marathon Bet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.56%EV -6.04%E -5.59%K -75.44%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.44%EV -1.23%E -0.162%K -0.187%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-25 14:30
Fliff🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 87.79%EV -8.65%E -8.23%K -172.91%G +0.000%7.55I 13.25%NM 12.21%EV -1.88%E -0.250%K -0.288%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-25 15:00
DraftKings🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.30%E -3.90%K -42.95%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -2.53%E -0.338%K -0.390%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-25 14:59
Unibet (UK)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.30%E -3.90%K -42.95%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -2.53%E -0.338%K -0.390%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-25 14:30
Casumo🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.17%E -4.74%K -57.39%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -2.53%E -0.338%K -0.390%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-25 14:40
TABtouch🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.17%E -4.74%K -57.39%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -2.53%E -0.338%K -0.390%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-25 14:40
Neds🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.17%E -4.74%K -57.39%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -2.53%E -0.338%K -0.390%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-25 14:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.17%E -4.74%K -57.39%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -2.53%E -0.338%K -0.390%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-25 14:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.17%E -4.74%K -57.39%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -2.53%E -0.338%K -0.390%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-25 14:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.17%E -4.74%K -57.39%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -2.53%E -0.338%K -0.390%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-25 14:40
betPARX🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.17%E -4.74%K -57.39%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -2.53%E -0.338%K -0.390%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-25 14:40
William Hill🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.04%E -5.59%K -75.44%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -2.53%E -0.338%K -0.390%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-25 14:29
NetBet (FR)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.04%E -5.59%K -75.44%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -2.53%E -0.338%K -0.390%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-25 14:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -6.91%E -6.45%K -98.65%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -2.53%E -0.338%K -0.390%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-25 15:00
888sport🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -7.78%E -7.34%K -129.59%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -2.53%E -0.338%K -0.390%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-25 15:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -7.78%E -7.34%K -129.59%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -2.53%E -0.338%K -0.390%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-25 15:00
Codere (IT)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.06%EV -4.30%E -3.90%K -42.95%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.94%EV -3.83%E -0.518%K -0.599%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-25 14:30
Coolbet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.83%EV -4.30%E -3.90%K -42.95%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.17%EV -5.78%E -0.798%K -0.925%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-25 14:59
BetMGM🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 87.14%EV -6.91%E -6.45%K -98.65%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.86%EV -5.78%E -0.798%K -0.925%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-25 15:00
MyBookie.ag🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.75%EV -4.30%E -3.90%K -42.95%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.25%EV -6.43%E -0.893%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-25 14:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.04%E -5.59%K -75.44%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -9.03%E -1.29%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-25 14:40
TAB🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.04%E -5.59%K -75.44%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -9.03%E -1.29%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-25 14:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.04%E -5.59%K -75.44%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -9.03%E -1.29%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-25 15:00
theScore Bet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.04%E -5.59%K -75.44%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -9.03%E -1.29%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-25 15:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.04%E -5.59%K -75.44%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -9.03%E -1.29%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-25 15:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 86.85%EV -7.78%E -7.34%K -129.59%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -9.03%E -1.29%K -1.51%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-25 15:00
Grosvenor🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -5.17%E -4.74%K -57.39%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -12.28%E -1.82%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-25 15:00
NordicBet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -5.17%E -4.74%K -57.39%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -12.28%E -1.82%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-25 15:00
Bally Bet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -5.17%E -4.74%K -57.39%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -12.28%E -1.82%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-25 15:00
LeoVegas🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.21%EV -6.04%E -5.59%K -75.44%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.79%EV -12.28%E -1.82%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-25 15:00
1xBet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -3.43%E -3.09%K -31.14%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV -12.93%E -1.93%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-25 14:56
PlayUp🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -3.43%E -3.09%K -31.14%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -15.53%E -2.39%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-25 14:30
Caesars🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.30%E -3.90%K -42.95%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -15.53%E -2.39%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-25 15:00
Tipico (DE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -6.04%E -5.59%K -75.44%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -15.53%E -2.39%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-25 15:00
Bet Victor🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -6.04%E -5.59%K -75.44%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -15.53%E -2.39%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-25 14:43
Paddy Power🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -6.04%E -5.59%K -75.44%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -15.53%E -2.39%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-25 15:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 85.91%EV -8.65%E -8.23%K -172.91%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.09%EV -16.83%E -2.63%K -3.12%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-25 15:00
Betsson🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.03%EV -4.30%E -3.90%K -42.95%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.97%EV -18.78%E -3.00%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-25 15:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.15%EV -5.17%E -4.74%K -57.39%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.85%EV -18.78%E -3.00%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-25 15:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.72%EV -4.30%E -3.90%K -42.95%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.28%EV -20.73%E -3.40%K -4.06%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-25 14:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 84.75%EV -6.04%E -5.59%K -75.44%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.25%EV -22.03%E -3.67%K -4.41%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-25 15:00
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91%0.9%2026-05-25 15:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.11I 90.09%NM 89.23%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.77%1.0%2026-05-25 15:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.09I 91.74%NM 90.60%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.40%1.3%2026-05-25 15:00
Smarkets1.10I 90.91%NM 89.52%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.48%1.5%2026-05-25 15:00
Novig1.09I 91.74%NM 89.38%9.17I 10.91%NM 10.62%2.6%2026-05-25 15:00