La scuola delle quote

Casper Ruud v Roman Safiullin

Inizio: 2026-05-25 15:01 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

56 bookmaker (21 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Casper Ruud (Casa)

Previsione 87.00%1.15quota equa
EV -3.43%
Vantaggio -3.09%
Kelly -31.14%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.11

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
84.72%86.78%87.14%89.46%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.051.081.081.1195.24%92.30%92.59%90.09%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Roman Safiullin (Trasferta)

Previsione 13.00%7.69quota equa
EV +16.96%
Vantaggio +1.88%
Kelly +2.12%
Crescita +0.360%

ipotizzando la quota massima 9.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
10.54%13.22%12.86%15.28%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
6.007.317.509.0016.67%13.68%13.33%11.11%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (56 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
Bet Right1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -7.78%E -7.34%K -129.59%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV +16.96%E +1.88%K +2.12%G +0.360%5.5%2026-05-25 14:52
Coral1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.91%E -6.45%K -98.65%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +10.46%E +1.23%K +1.39%G +0.146%5.2%2026-05-25 15:00
Unibet1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.04%E -5.59%K -75.44%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +3.96%E +0.495%K +0.566%G +0.022%5.1%2026-05-25 15:00
Unibet (SE)1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.04%E -5.59%K -75.44%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +3.96%E +0.495%K +0.566%G +0.022%5.1%2026-05-25 15:00
Unibet (NL)1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.04%E -5.59%K -75.44%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +3.96%E +0.495%K +0.566%G +0.022%5.1%2026-05-25 15:00
Bovada1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.04%E -5.59%K -75.44%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +3.96%E +0.495%K +0.566%G +0.022%5.1%2026-05-25 14:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.04%E -5.59%K -75.44%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +3.96%E +0.495%K +0.566%G +0.022%5.1%2026-05-25 15:00
Betway1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.04%E -5.59%K -75.44%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +3.96%E +0.495%K +0.566%G +0.022%5.1%2026-05-25 15:00
SportsBet1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.04%E -5.59%K -75.44%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +3.96%E +0.495%K +0.566%G +0.022%5.1%2026-05-25 14:29
Hard Rock Bet1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.04%E -5.59%K -75.44%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +3.96%E +0.495%K +0.566%G +0.022%5.1%2026-05-25 15:00
FanDuel1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -6.91%E -6.45%K -98.65%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV +3.96%E +0.495%K +0.566%G +0.022%6.0%2026-05-25 15:00
BetOnline.ag1.09I 91.74%NM 87.85%EV -5.17%E -4.74%K -57.39%G +0.000%7.88I 12.69%NM 12.15%EV +2.40%E +0.305%K +0.349%G +0.008%4.4%2026-05-25 14:30
LowVig.ag1.09I 91.74%NM 87.85%EV -5.17%E -4.74%K -57.39%G +0.000%7.88I 12.69%NM 12.15%EV +2.40%E +0.305%K +0.349%G +0.008%4.4%2026-05-25 14:30
Pinnacle1.10I 90.91%NM 87.64%EV -4.30%E -3.90%K -42.95%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.36%EV +1.36%E +0.175%K +0.201%G +0.003%3.7%2026-05-25 14:40
Fanatics1.08I 92.59%NM 87.70%EV -6.04%E -5.59%K -75.44%G +0.000%7.70I 12.99%NM 12.30%EV +0.065%E +0.008%K +0.010%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-25 14:59
Marathon Bet1.08I 92.59%NM 87.56%EV -6.04%E -5.59%K -75.44%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.44%EV -1.23%E -0.162%K -0.187%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-25 14:30
Fliff1.05I 95.24%NM 87.79%EV -8.65%E -8.23%K -172.91%G +0.000%7.55I 13.25%NM 12.21%EV -1.88%E -0.250%K -0.288%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-25 15:00
DraftKings1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.30%E -3.90%K -42.95%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -2.53%E -0.338%K -0.390%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-25 14:59
Unibet (UK)1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.30%E -3.90%K -42.95%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -2.53%E -0.338%K -0.390%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-25 14:30
Casumo1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.17%E -4.74%K -57.39%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -2.53%E -0.338%K -0.390%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-25 14:40
TABtouch1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.17%E -4.74%K -57.39%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -2.53%E -0.338%K -0.390%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-25 14:40
Neds1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.17%E -4.74%K -57.39%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -2.53%E -0.338%K -0.390%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-25 14:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.17%E -4.74%K -57.39%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -2.53%E -0.338%K -0.390%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-25 14:50
Svenska Spel1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.17%E -4.74%K -57.39%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -2.53%E -0.338%K -0.390%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-25 14:40
ATG (SE)1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.17%E -4.74%K -57.39%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -2.53%E -0.338%K -0.390%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-25 14:40
betPARX1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.17%E -4.74%K -57.39%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -2.53%E -0.338%K -0.390%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-25 14:40
William Hill1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.04%E -5.59%K -75.44%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -2.53%E -0.338%K -0.390%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-25 14:29
NetBet (FR)1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.04%E -5.59%K -75.44%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -2.53%E -0.338%K -0.390%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-25 14:50
Virgin Bet1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -6.91%E -6.45%K -98.65%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -2.53%E -0.338%K -0.390%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-25 15:00
888sport1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -7.78%E -7.34%K -129.59%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -2.53%E -0.338%K -0.390%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-25 15:00
888sport (SE)1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -7.78%E -7.34%K -129.59%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -2.53%E -0.338%K -0.390%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-25 15:00
Codere (IT)1.10I 90.91%NM 87.06%EV -4.30%E -3.90%K -42.95%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.94%EV -3.83%E -0.518%K -0.599%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-25 14:30
Coolbet1.10I 90.91%NM 86.83%EV -4.30%E -3.90%K -42.95%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.17%EV -5.78%E -0.798%K -0.925%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-25 14:59
BetMGM1.07I 93.46%NM 87.14%EV -6.91%E -6.45%K -98.65%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.86%EV -5.78%E -0.798%K -0.925%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-25 15:00
MyBookie.ag1.10I 90.91%NM 86.75%EV -4.30%E -3.90%K -42.95%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.25%EV -6.43%E -0.893%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-25 14:30
LiveScore Bet1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.04%E -5.59%K -75.44%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -9.03%E -1.29%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-25 14:40
TAB1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.04%E -5.59%K -75.44%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -9.03%E -1.29%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-25 14:30
PointsBet (AU)1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.04%E -5.59%K -75.44%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -9.03%E -1.29%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-25 15:00
theScore Bet1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.04%E -5.59%K -75.44%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -9.03%E -1.29%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-25 15:00
Mr Green (SE)1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.04%E -5.59%K -75.44%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -9.03%E -1.29%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-25 15:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.06I 94.34%NM 86.85%EV -7.78%E -7.34%K -129.59%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -9.03%E -1.29%K -1.51%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-25 15:00
Grosvenor1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -5.17%E -4.74%K -57.39%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -12.28%E -1.82%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-25 15:00
NordicBet1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -5.17%E -4.74%K -57.39%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -12.28%E -1.82%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-25 15:00
Bally Bet1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -5.17%E -4.74%K -57.39%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -12.28%E -1.82%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-25 15:00
LeoVegas1.08I 92.59%NM 86.21%EV -6.04%E -5.59%K -75.44%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.79%EV -12.28%E -1.82%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-25 15:00
1xBet1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -3.43%E -3.09%K -31.14%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV -12.93%E -1.93%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-25 14:56
PlayUp1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -3.43%E -3.09%K -31.14%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -15.53%E -2.39%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-25 14:30
Caesars1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.30%E -3.90%K -42.95%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -15.53%E -2.39%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-25 15:00
Tipico (DE)1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -6.04%E -5.59%K -75.44%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -15.53%E -2.39%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-25 15:00
Bet Victor1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -6.04%E -5.59%K -75.44%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -15.53%E -2.39%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-25 14:43
Paddy Power1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -6.04%E -5.59%K -75.44%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -15.53%E -2.39%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-25 15:00
PMU (FR)1.05I 95.24%NM 85.91%EV -8.65%E -8.23%K -172.91%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.09%EV -16.83%E -2.63%K -3.12%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-25 15:00
Betsson1.10I 90.91%NM 85.03%EV -4.30%E -3.90%K -42.95%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.97%EV -18.78%E -3.00%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-25 15:00
Winamax (DE)1.09I 91.74%NM 85.15%EV -5.17%E -4.74%K -57.39%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.85%EV -18.78%E -3.00%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-25 15:00
Betclic (FR)1.10I 90.91%NM 84.72%EV -4.30%E -3.90%K -42.95%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.28%EV -20.73%E -3.40%K -4.06%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-25 14:55
Winamax (FR)1.08I 92.59%NM 84.75%EV -6.04%E -5.59%K -75.44%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.25%EV -22.03%E -3.67%K -4.41%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-25 15:00
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91%0.9%2026-05-25 15:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.11I 90.09%NM 89.23%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.77%1.0%2026-05-25 15:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.09I 91.74%NM 90.60%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.40%1.3%2026-05-25 15:00
Smarkets1.10I 90.91%NM 89.52%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.48%1.5%2026-05-25 15:00
Novig1.09I 91.74%NM 89.38%9.17I 10.91%NM 10.62%2.6%2026-05-25 15:00