StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Casper Ruud v Roman Safiullin

Spielbeginn: 2026-05-25 15:01 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

56 Wettanbieter (21 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Casper Ruud (Heim)

Prognose 87.00%1.15faire Quote
EV -3.43%
Vorteil -3.09%
Kelly -31.14%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.11

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
84.72%86.78%87.14%89.46%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.051.081.081.1195.24%92.30%92.59%90.09%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Roman Safiullin (Auswärts)

Prognose 13.00%7.69faire Quote
EV +16.96%
Vorteil +1.88%
Kelly +2.12%
Wachstum +0.360%

bei einer Höchstquote von 9.00

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
10.54%13.22%12.86%15.28%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
6.007.317.509.0016.67%13.68%13.33%11.11%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Casper Ruud (Heim): 87.00%; Roman Safiullin (Auswärts): 13.00%. Für Roman Safiullin (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 7.69. 15 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 9.00 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +16.96%.

Wettanbieterquoten (56 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼MargeAktualisiert
Bet Right🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -7.78%E -7.34%K -129.59%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV +16.96%E +1.88%K +2.12%G +0.360%5.5%2026-05-25 14:52
Coral🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.91%E -6.45%K -98.65%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +10.46%E +1.23%K +1.39%G +0.146%5.2%2026-05-25 15:00
Unibet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.04%E -5.59%K -75.44%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +3.96%E +0.495%K +0.566%G +0.022%5.1%2026-05-25 15:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.04%E -5.59%K -75.44%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +3.96%E +0.495%K +0.566%G +0.022%5.1%2026-05-25 15:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.04%E -5.59%K -75.44%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +3.96%E +0.495%K +0.566%G +0.022%5.1%2026-05-25 15:00
Bovada🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.04%E -5.59%K -75.44%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +3.96%E +0.495%K +0.566%G +0.022%5.1%2026-05-25 14:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.04%E -5.59%K -75.44%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +3.96%E +0.495%K +0.566%G +0.022%5.1%2026-05-25 15:00
Betway🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.04%E -5.59%K -75.44%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +3.96%E +0.495%K +0.566%G +0.022%5.1%2026-05-25 15:00
SportsBet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.04%E -5.59%K -75.44%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +3.96%E +0.495%K +0.566%G +0.022%5.1%2026-05-25 14:29
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.04%E -5.59%K -75.44%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +3.96%E +0.495%K +0.566%G +0.022%5.1%2026-05-25 15:00
FanDuel🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -6.91%E -6.45%K -98.65%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV +3.96%E +0.495%K +0.566%G +0.022%6.0%2026-05-25 15:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.85%EV -5.17%E -4.74%K -57.39%G +0.000%7.88I 12.69%NM 12.15%EV +2.40%E +0.305%K +0.349%G +0.008%4.4%2026-05-25 14:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.85%EV -5.17%E -4.74%K -57.39%G +0.000%7.88I 12.69%NM 12.15%EV +2.40%E +0.305%K +0.349%G +0.008%4.4%2026-05-25 14:30
Pinnacle🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.64%EV -4.30%E -3.90%K -42.95%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.36%EV +1.36%E +0.175%K +0.201%G +0.003%3.7%2026-05-25 14:40
Fanatics🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.70%EV -6.04%E -5.59%K -75.44%G +0.000%7.70I 12.99%NM 12.30%EV +0.065%E +0.008%K +0.010%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-25 14:59
Marathon Bet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.56%EV -6.04%E -5.59%K -75.44%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.44%EV -1.23%E -0.162%K -0.187%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-25 14:30
Fliff🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 87.79%EV -8.65%E -8.23%K -172.91%G +0.000%7.55I 13.25%NM 12.21%EV -1.88%E -0.250%K -0.288%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-25 15:00
DraftKings🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.30%E -3.90%K -42.95%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -2.53%E -0.338%K -0.390%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-25 14:59
Unibet (UK)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.30%E -3.90%K -42.95%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -2.53%E -0.338%K -0.390%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-25 14:30
Casumo🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.17%E -4.74%K -57.39%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -2.53%E -0.338%K -0.390%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-25 14:40
TABtouch🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.17%E -4.74%K -57.39%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -2.53%E -0.338%K -0.390%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-25 14:40
Neds🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.17%E -4.74%K -57.39%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -2.53%E -0.338%K -0.390%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-25 14:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.17%E -4.74%K -57.39%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -2.53%E -0.338%K -0.390%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-25 14:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.17%E -4.74%K -57.39%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -2.53%E -0.338%K -0.390%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-25 14:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.17%E -4.74%K -57.39%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -2.53%E -0.338%K -0.390%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-25 14:40
betPARX🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.17%E -4.74%K -57.39%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -2.53%E -0.338%K -0.390%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-25 14:40
William Hill🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.04%E -5.59%K -75.44%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -2.53%E -0.338%K -0.390%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-25 14:29
NetBet (FR)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.04%E -5.59%K -75.44%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -2.53%E -0.338%K -0.390%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-25 14:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -6.91%E -6.45%K -98.65%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -2.53%E -0.338%K -0.390%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-25 15:00
888sport🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -7.78%E -7.34%K -129.59%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -2.53%E -0.338%K -0.390%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-25 15:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -7.78%E -7.34%K -129.59%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -2.53%E -0.338%K -0.390%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-25 15:00
Codere (IT)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.06%EV -4.30%E -3.90%K -42.95%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.94%EV -3.83%E -0.518%K -0.599%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-25 14:30
Coolbet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.83%EV -4.30%E -3.90%K -42.95%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.17%EV -5.78%E -0.798%K -0.925%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-25 14:59
BetMGM🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 87.14%EV -6.91%E -6.45%K -98.65%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.86%EV -5.78%E -0.798%K -0.925%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-25 15:00
MyBookie.ag🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.75%EV -4.30%E -3.90%K -42.95%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.25%EV -6.43%E -0.893%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-25 14:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.04%E -5.59%K -75.44%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -9.03%E -1.29%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-25 14:40
TAB🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.04%E -5.59%K -75.44%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -9.03%E -1.29%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-25 14:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.04%E -5.59%K -75.44%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -9.03%E -1.29%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-25 15:00
theScore Bet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.04%E -5.59%K -75.44%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -9.03%E -1.29%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-25 15:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.04%E -5.59%K -75.44%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -9.03%E -1.29%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-25 15:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 86.85%EV -7.78%E -7.34%K -129.59%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -9.03%E -1.29%K -1.51%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-25 15:00
Grosvenor🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -5.17%E -4.74%K -57.39%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -12.28%E -1.82%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-25 15:00
NordicBet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -5.17%E -4.74%K -57.39%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -12.28%E -1.82%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-25 15:00
Bally Bet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -5.17%E -4.74%K -57.39%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -12.28%E -1.82%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-25 15:00
LeoVegas🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.21%EV -6.04%E -5.59%K -75.44%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.79%EV -12.28%E -1.82%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-25 15:00
1xBet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -3.43%E -3.09%K -31.14%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV -12.93%E -1.93%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-25 14:56
PlayUp🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -3.43%E -3.09%K -31.14%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -15.53%E -2.39%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-25 14:30
Caesars🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.30%E -3.90%K -42.95%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -15.53%E -2.39%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-25 15:00
Tipico (DE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -6.04%E -5.59%K -75.44%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -15.53%E -2.39%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-25 15:00
Bet Victor🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -6.04%E -5.59%K -75.44%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -15.53%E -2.39%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-25 14:43
Paddy Power🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -6.04%E -5.59%K -75.44%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -15.53%E -2.39%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-25 15:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 85.91%EV -8.65%E -8.23%K -172.91%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.09%EV -16.83%E -2.63%K -3.12%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-25 15:00
Betsson🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.03%EV -4.30%E -3.90%K -42.95%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.97%EV -18.78%E -3.00%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-25 15:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.15%EV -5.17%E -4.74%K -57.39%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.85%EV -18.78%E -3.00%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-25 15:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.72%EV -4.30%E -3.90%K -42.95%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.28%EV -20.73%E -3.40%K -4.06%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-25 14:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 84.75%EV -6.04%E -5.59%K -75.44%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.25%EV -22.03%E -3.67%K -4.41%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-25 15:00
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (5)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91%0.9%2026-05-25 15:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.11I 90.09%NM 89.23%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.77%1.0%2026-05-25 15:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.09I 91.74%NM 90.60%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.40%1.3%2026-05-25 15:00
Smarkets1.10I 90.91%NM 89.52%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.48%1.5%2026-05-25 15:00
Novig1.09I 91.74%NM 89.38%9.17I 10.91%NM 10.62%2.6%2026-05-25 15:00