مدرسة الاحتمالات

Casper Ruud v Roman Safiullin

البداية: 2026-05-25 15:01 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

56 شركة مراهنات (21 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Casper Ruud (المضيف)

التنبؤ 87.00%1.15السعر العادل
EV -3.43%
الأفضلية -3.09%
Kelly -31.14%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.11

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
84.72%86.78%87.14%89.46%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.051.081.081.1195.24%92.30%92.59%90.09%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Roman Safiullin (الضيف)

التنبؤ 13.00%7.69السعر العادل
EV +16.96%
الأفضلية +1.88%
Kelly +2.12%
النمو +0.360%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 9.00

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
10.54%13.22%12.86%15.28%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
6.007.317.509.0016.67%13.68%13.33%11.11%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (56 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
Bet Right1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -7.78%E -7.34%K -129.59%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV +16.96%E +1.88%K +2.12%G +0.360%5.5%2026-05-25 14:52
Coral1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.91%E -6.45%K -98.65%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +10.46%E +1.23%K +1.39%G +0.146%5.2%2026-05-25 15:00
Unibet1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.04%E -5.59%K -75.44%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +3.96%E +0.495%K +0.566%G +0.022%5.1%2026-05-25 15:00
Unibet (SE)1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.04%E -5.59%K -75.44%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +3.96%E +0.495%K +0.566%G +0.022%5.1%2026-05-25 15:00
Unibet (NL)1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.04%E -5.59%K -75.44%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +3.96%E +0.495%K +0.566%G +0.022%5.1%2026-05-25 15:00
Bovada1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.04%E -5.59%K -75.44%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +3.96%E +0.495%K +0.566%G +0.022%5.1%2026-05-25 14:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.04%E -5.59%K -75.44%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +3.96%E +0.495%K +0.566%G +0.022%5.1%2026-05-25 15:00
Betway1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.04%E -5.59%K -75.44%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +3.96%E +0.495%K +0.566%G +0.022%5.1%2026-05-25 15:00
SportsBet1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.04%E -5.59%K -75.44%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +3.96%E +0.495%K +0.566%G +0.022%5.1%2026-05-25 14:29
Hard Rock Bet1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.04%E -5.59%K -75.44%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +3.96%E +0.495%K +0.566%G +0.022%5.1%2026-05-25 15:00
FanDuel1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -6.91%E -6.45%K -98.65%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV +3.96%E +0.495%K +0.566%G +0.022%6.0%2026-05-25 15:00
BetOnline.ag1.09I 91.74%NM 87.85%EV -5.17%E -4.74%K -57.39%G +0.000%7.88I 12.69%NM 12.15%EV +2.40%E +0.305%K +0.349%G +0.008%4.4%2026-05-25 14:30
LowVig.ag1.09I 91.74%NM 87.85%EV -5.17%E -4.74%K -57.39%G +0.000%7.88I 12.69%NM 12.15%EV +2.40%E +0.305%K +0.349%G +0.008%4.4%2026-05-25 14:30
Pinnacle1.10I 90.91%NM 87.64%EV -4.30%E -3.90%K -42.95%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.36%EV +1.36%E +0.175%K +0.201%G +0.003%3.7%2026-05-25 14:40
Fanatics1.08I 92.59%NM 87.70%EV -6.04%E -5.59%K -75.44%G +0.000%7.70I 12.99%NM 12.30%EV +0.065%E +0.008%K +0.010%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-25 14:59
Marathon Bet1.08I 92.59%NM 87.56%EV -6.04%E -5.59%K -75.44%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.44%EV -1.23%E -0.162%K -0.187%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-25 14:30
Fliff1.05I 95.24%NM 87.79%EV -8.65%E -8.23%K -172.91%G +0.000%7.55I 13.25%NM 12.21%EV -1.88%E -0.250%K -0.288%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-25 15:00
DraftKings1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.30%E -3.90%K -42.95%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -2.53%E -0.338%K -0.390%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-25 14:59
Unibet (UK)1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.30%E -3.90%K -42.95%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -2.53%E -0.338%K -0.390%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-25 14:30
Casumo1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.17%E -4.74%K -57.39%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -2.53%E -0.338%K -0.390%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-25 14:40
TABtouch1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.17%E -4.74%K -57.39%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -2.53%E -0.338%K -0.390%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-25 14:40
Neds1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.17%E -4.74%K -57.39%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -2.53%E -0.338%K -0.390%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-25 14:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.17%E -4.74%K -57.39%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -2.53%E -0.338%K -0.390%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-25 14:50
Svenska Spel1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.17%E -4.74%K -57.39%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -2.53%E -0.338%K -0.390%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-25 14:40
ATG (SE)1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.17%E -4.74%K -57.39%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -2.53%E -0.338%K -0.390%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-25 14:40
betPARX1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.17%E -4.74%K -57.39%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -2.53%E -0.338%K -0.390%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-25 14:40
William Hill1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.04%E -5.59%K -75.44%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -2.53%E -0.338%K -0.390%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-25 14:29
NetBet (FR)1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.04%E -5.59%K -75.44%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -2.53%E -0.338%K -0.390%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-25 14:50
Virgin Bet1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -6.91%E -6.45%K -98.65%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -2.53%E -0.338%K -0.390%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-25 15:00
888sport1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -7.78%E -7.34%K -129.59%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -2.53%E -0.338%K -0.390%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-25 15:00
888sport (SE)1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -7.78%E -7.34%K -129.59%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -2.53%E -0.338%K -0.390%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-25 15:00
Codere (IT)1.10I 90.91%NM 87.06%EV -4.30%E -3.90%K -42.95%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.94%EV -3.83%E -0.518%K -0.599%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-25 14:30
Coolbet1.10I 90.91%NM 86.83%EV -4.30%E -3.90%K -42.95%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.17%EV -5.78%E -0.798%K -0.925%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-25 14:59
BetMGM1.07I 93.46%NM 87.14%EV -6.91%E -6.45%K -98.65%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.86%EV -5.78%E -0.798%K -0.925%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-25 15:00
MyBookie.ag1.10I 90.91%NM 86.75%EV -4.30%E -3.90%K -42.95%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.25%EV -6.43%E -0.893%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-25 14:30
LiveScore Bet1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.04%E -5.59%K -75.44%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -9.03%E -1.29%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-25 14:40
TAB1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.04%E -5.59%K -75.44%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -9.03%E -1.29%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-25 14:30
PointsBet (AU)1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.04%E -5.59%K -75.44%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -9.03%E -1.29%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-25 15:00
theScore Bet1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.04%E -5.59%K -75.44%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -9.03%E -1.29%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-25 15:00
Mr Green (SE)1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.04%E -5.59%K -75.44%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -9.03%E -1.29%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-25 15:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.06I 94.34%NM 86.85%EV -7.78%E -7.34%K -129.59%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -9.03%E -1.29%K -1.51%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-25 15:00
Grosvenor1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -5.17%E -4.74%K -57.39%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -12.28%E -1.82%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-25 15:00
NordicBet1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -5.17%E -4.74%K -57.39%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -12.28%E -1.82%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-25 15:00
Bally Bet1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -5.17%E -4.74%K -57.39%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -12.28%E -1.82%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-25 15:00
LeoVegas1.08I 92.59%NM 86.21%EV -6.04%E -5.59%K -75.44%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.79%EV -12.28%E -1.82%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-25 15:00
1xBet1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -3.43%E -3.09%K -31.14%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV -12.93%E -1.93%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-25 14:56
PlayUp1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -3.43%E -3.09%K -31.14%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -15.53%E -2.39%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-25 14:30
Caesars1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.30%E -3.90%K -42.95%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -15.53%E -2.39%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-25 15:00
Tipico (DE)1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -6.04%E -5.59%K -75.44%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -15.53%E -2.39%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-25 15:00
Bet Victor1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -6.04%E -5.59%K -75.44%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -15.53%E -2.39%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-25 14:43
Paddy Power1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -6.04%E -5.59%K -75.44%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -15.53%E -2.39%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-25 15:00
PMU (FR)1.05I 95.24%NM 85.91%EV -8.65%E -8.23%K -172.91%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.09%EV -16.83%E -2.63%K -3.12%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-25 15:00
Betsson1.10I 90.91%NM 85.03%EV -4.30%E -3.90%K -42.95%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.97%EV -18.78%E -3.00%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-25 15:00
Winamax (DE)1.09I 91.74%NM 85.15%EV -5.17%E -4.74%K -57.39%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.85%EV -18.78%E -3.00%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-25 15:00
Betclic (FR)1.10I 90.91%NM 84.72%EV -4.30%E -3.90%K -42.95%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.28%EV -20.73%E -3.40%K -4.06%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-25 14:55
Winamax (FR)1.08I 92.59%NM 84.75%EV -6.04%E -5.59%K -75.44%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.25%EV -22.03%E -3.67%K -4.41%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-25 15:00
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91%0.9%2026-05-25 15:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.11I 90.09%NM 89.23%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.77%1.0%2026-05-25 15:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.09I 91.74%NM 90.60%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.40%1.3%2026-05-25 15:00
Smarkets1.10I 90.91%NM 89.52%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.48%1.5%2026-05-25 15:00
Novig1.09I 91.74%NM 89.38%9.17I 10.91%NM 10.62%2.6%2026-05-25 15:00