Language:English
Pablo Carreno Busta v Jiri Lehecka
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Pablo Carreno Busta (Local)
Prediction 28.40%3.52fair odd
EV +6.20%
Edge +1.66%
Kelly +2.26%
Growth +0.140%
assuming max odds 3.74
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.09%28.60%28.50%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.343.353.7435.71%29.93%29.85%26.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Jiri Lehecka (Visit)
Prediction 71.60%1.40fair odd
EV +0.246%
Edge +0.176%
Kelly +0.615%
Growth +0.002%
assuming max odds 1.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
66.67%71.40%71.50%73.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.281.311.301.4078.13%76.08%76.92%71.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Pablo Carreno Busta (Local): 28.40%; Jiri Lehecka (Visit): 71.60%. For Pablo Carreno Busta (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.52. 9 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.74, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.20%.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.74I 26.74%NM 26.09%EV +6.20%E +1.66%K +2.26%G +0.140% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.91%EV -5.48%E -4.15%K -17.13%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-02-25 11:45 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.22%EV +3.08%E +0.848%K +1.17%G +0.036% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.78%EV -7.63%E -5.92%K -26.31%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-25 12:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV +2.22%E +0.618%K +0.856%G +0.019% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -6.91%E -5.32%K -23.05%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-25 12:04 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV +2.22%E +0.618%K +0.856%G +0.019% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -7.63%E -5.92%K -26.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-24 23:19 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV +2.22%E +0.618%K +0.856%G +0.019% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -7.63%E -5.92%K -26.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-25 12:34 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.59I 27.86%NM 26.28%EV +1.94%E +0.541%K +0.749%G +0.015% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.72%EV -8.35%E -6.52%K -29.81%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-25 11:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.49%EV +1.66%E +0.463%K +0.642%G +0.011% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.51%EV -7.63%E -5.92%K -26.31%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-25 12:34 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV +0.805%E +0.227%K +0.316%G +0.003% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -6.91%E -5.32%K -23.05%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-25 12:04 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.53I 28.33%NM 27.07%EV +0.237%E +0.067%K +0.094%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.93%EV -6.20%E -4.73%K -19.99%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-25 12:17 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -0.615%E -0.176%K -0.246%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.91%E -5.32%K -23.05%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-25 12:04 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -0.615%E -0.176%K -0.246%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.91%E -5.32%K -23.05%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-25 12:34 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -0.615%E -0.176%K -0.246%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.91%E -5.32%K -23.05%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-25 12:34 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -0.615%E -0.176%K -0.246%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -7.63%E -5.92%K -26.31%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-25 11:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -0.615%E -0.176%K -0.246%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -7.63%E -5.92%K -26.31%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-25 12:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.49I 28.65%NM 27.44%EV -0.899%E -0.258%K -0.361%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.56%EV -5.48%E -4.15%K -17.13%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-25 09:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.49I 28.65%NM 27.44%EV -0.899%E -0.258%K -0.361%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.56%EV -5.48%E -4.15%K -17.13%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-25 09:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -2.03%E -0.590%K -0.831%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -6.91%E -5.32%K -23.05%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-24 23:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -2.03%E -0.590%K -0.831%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -8.35%E -6.52%K -29.81%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-25 09:25 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.45%E -1.02%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.77%E -3.58%K -14.44%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-25 12:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.45%E -1.02%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.77%E -3.58%K -14.44%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-25 12:29 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -3.45%E -1.02%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.91%E -5.32%K -23.05%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-25 12:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -3.45%E -1.02%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.91%E -5.32%K -23.05%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-25 12:24 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -3.45%E -1.02%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.91%E -5.32%K -23.05%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-25 12:24 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -3.45%E -1.02%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.91%E -5.32%K -23.05%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-25 12:34 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -3.45%E -1.02%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -7.63%E -5.92%K -26.31%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-25 12:34 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -4.87%E -1.46%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.77%E -3.58%K -14.44%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-25 12:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -4.87%E -1.46%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.77%E -3.58%K -14.44%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-25 12:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -4.87%E -1.46%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.77%E -3.58%K -14.44%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-25 12:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -4.87%E -1.46%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.77%E -3.58%K -14.44%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-25 12:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -4.87%E -1.46%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.77%E -3.58%K -14.44%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-25 12:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -6.29%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.91%E -5.32%K -23.05%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-25 12:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -6.29%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.91%E -5.32%K -23.05%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-24 19:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -6.29%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.91%E -5.32%K -23.05%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-24 19:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -6.29%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -7.63%E -5.92%K -26.31%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-25 12:35 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -6.29%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -8.35%E -6.52%K -29.81%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-02-25 06:24 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -7.71%E -2.37%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -5.48%E -4.15%K -17.13%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-25 12:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -7.71%E -2.37%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -5.48%E -4.15%K -17.13%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-25 12:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -7.71%E -2.37%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -5.48%E -4.15%K -17.13%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-25 12:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -7.71%E -2.37%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -5.48%E -4.15%K -17.13%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-25 12:35 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.26%EV -7.71%E -2.37%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.74%EV -8.35%E -6.52%K -29.81%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-25 12:34 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -9.13%E -2.85%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.33%E -2.47%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-25 12:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -9.13%E -2.85%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -4.77%E -3.58%K -14.44%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-25 12:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -9.13%E -2.85%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -4.77%E -3.58%K -14.44%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-25 12:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -9.13%E -2.85%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.91%E -5.32%K -23.05%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-25 12:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -9.13%E -2.85%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.27%EV -7.63%E -5.92%K -26.31%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-25 12:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -9.13%E -2.85%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.27%EV -7.63%E -5.92%K -26.31%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-25 12:24 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -11.97%E -3.86%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -3.33%E -2.47%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-25 12:35 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -11.97%E -3.86%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -4.77%E -3.58%K -14.44%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-25 12:29 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.37%EV -13.39%E -4.39%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.63%EV -4.77%E -3.58%K -14.44%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-25 12:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -14.81%E -4.94%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -2.62%E -1.93%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-25 12:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -18.50%E -6.45%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV +0.246%E +0.176%K +0.615%G +0.002% | 6.3% | 2026-02-25 12:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -18.50%E -6.45%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV +0.246%E +0.176%K +0.615%G +0.002% | 6.3% | 2026-02-25 12:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -20.49%E -7.32%K -11.38%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV +0.246%E +0.176%K +0.615%G +0.002% | 7.1% | 2026-02-25 12:34 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (1)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.57% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.43% | 2.2% | 2026-02-25 12:35 |