Idioma:Español
Pablo Carreno Busta v Jiri Lehecka
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Pablo Carreno Busta (Local)
Predicción 28.40%3.52momio equitativo
EV +6.20%
Ventaja +1.66%
Kelly +2.26%
Crecimiento +0.140%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.74
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.09%28.60%28.50%33.33%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.803.343.353.7435.71%29.93%29.85%26.74%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Jiri Lehecka (Visitante)
Predicción 71.60%1.40momio equitativo
EV +0.246%
Ventaja +0.176%
Kelly +0.615%
Crecimiento +0.002%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
66.67%71.40%71.50%73.91%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.281.311.301.4078.13%76.08%76.92%71.43%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Pablo Carreno Busta (Local): 28.40%; Jiri Lehecka (Visitante): 71.60%. Para Pablo Carreno Busta (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.52. 9 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.74, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +6.20%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.74I 26.74%NM 26.09%EV +6.20%E +1.66%K +2.26%G +0.140% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.91%EV -5.48%E -4.15%K -17.13%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-02-25 11:45 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.22%EV +3.08%E +0.848%K +1.17%G +0.036% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.78%EV -7.63%E -5.92%K -26.31%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-25 12:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV +2.22%E +0.618%K +0.856%G +0.019% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -6.91%E -5.32%K -23.05%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-25 12:04 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV +2.22%E +0.618%K +0.856%G +0.019% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -7.63%E -5.92%K -26.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-24 23:19 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV +2.22%E +0.618%K +0.856%G +0.019% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -7.63%E -5.92%K -26.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-25 12:34 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.59I 27.86%NM 26.28%EV +1.94%E +0.541%K +0.749%G +0.015% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.72%EV -8.35%E -6.52%K -29.81%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-25 11:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.49%EV +1.66%E +0.463%K +0.642%G +0.011% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.51%EV -7.63%E -5.92%K -26.31%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-25 12:34 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV +0.805%E +0.227%K +0.316%G +0.003% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -6.91%E -5.32%K -23.05%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-25 12:04 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.53I 28.33%NM 27.07%EV +0.237%E +0.067%K +0.094%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.93%EV -6.20%E -4.73%K -19.99%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-25 12:17 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -0.615%E -0.176%K -0.246%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.91%E -5.32%K -23.05%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-25 12:04 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -0.615%E -0.176%K -0.246%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.91%E -5.32%K -23.05%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-25 12:34 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -0.615%E -0.176%K -0.246%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.91%E -5.32%K -23.05%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-25 12:34 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -0.615%E -0.176%K -0.246%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -7.63%E -5.92%K -26.31%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-25 11:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -0.615%E -0.176%K -0.246%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -7.63%E -5.92%K -26.31%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-25 12:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.49I 28.65%NM 27.44%EV -0.899%E -0.258%K -0.361%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.56%EV -5.48%E -4.15%K -17.13%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-25 09:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.49I 28.65%NM 27.44%EV -0.899%E -0.258%K -0.361%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.56%EV -5.48%E -4.15%K -17.13%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-25 09:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -2.03%E -0.590%K -0.831%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -6.91%E -5.32%K -23.05%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-24 23:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -2.03%E -0.590%K -0.831%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -8.35%E -6.52%K -29.81%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-25 09:25 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.45%E -1.02%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.77%E -3.58%K -14.44%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-25 12:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.45%E -1.02%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.77%E -3.58%K -14.44%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-25 12:29 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -3.45%E -1.02%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.91%E -5.32%K -23.05%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-25 12:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -3.45%E -1.02%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.91%E -5.32%K -23.05%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-25 12:24 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -3.45%E -1.02%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.91%E -5.32%K -23.05%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-25 12:24 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -3.45%E -1.02%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.91%E -5.32%K -23.05%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-25 12:34 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -3.45%E -1.02%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -7.63%E -5.92%K -26.31%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-25 12:34 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -4.87%E -1.46%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.77%E -3.58%K -14.44%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-25 12:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -4.87%E -1.46%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.77%E -3.58%K -14.44%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-25 12:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -4.87%E -1.46%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.77%E -3.58%K -14.44%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-25 12:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -4.87%E -1.46%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.77%E -3.58%K -14.44%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-25 12:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -4.87%E -1.46%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.77%E -3.58%K -14.44%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-25 12:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -6.29%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.91%E -5.32%K -23.05%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-25 12:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -6.29%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.91%E -5.32%K -23.05%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-24 19:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -6.29%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.91%E -5.32%K -23.05%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-24 19:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -6.29%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -7.63%E -5.92%K -26.31%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-25 12:35 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -6.29%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -8.35%E -6.52%K -29.81%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-02-25 06:24 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -7.71%E -2.37%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -5.48%E -4.15%K -17.13%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-25 12:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -7.71%E -2.37%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -5.48%E -4.15%K -17.13%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-25 12:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -7.71%E -2.37%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -5.48%E -4.15%K -17.13%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-25 12:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -7.71%E -2.37%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -5.48%E -4.15%K -17.13%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-25 12:35 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.26%EV -7.71%E -2.37%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.74%EV -8.35%E -6.52%K -29.81%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-25 12:34 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -9.13%E -2.85%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.33%E -2.47%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-25 12:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -9.13%E -2.85%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -4.77%E -3.58%K -14.44%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-25 12:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -9.13%E -2.85%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -4.77%E -3.58%K -14.44%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-25 12:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -9.13%E -2.85%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.91%E -5.32%K -23.05%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-25 12:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -9.13%E -2.85%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.27%EV -7.63%E -5.92%K -26.31%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-25 12:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -9.13%E -2.85%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.27%EV -7.63%E -5.92%K -26.31%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-25 12:24 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -11.97%E -3.86%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -3.33%E -2.47%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-25 12:35 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -11.97%E -3.86%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -4.77%E -3.58%K -14.44%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-25 12:29 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.37%EV -13.39%E -4.39%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.63%EV -4.77%E -3.58%K -14.44%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-25 12:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -14.81%E -4.94%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -2.62%E -1.93%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-25 12:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -18.50%E -6.45%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV +0.246%E +0.176%K +0.615%G +0.002% | 6.3% | 2026-02-25 12:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -18.50%E -6.45%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV +0.246%E +0.176%K +0.615%G +0.002% | 6.3% | 2026-02-25 12:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -20.49%E -7.32%K -11.38%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV +0.246%E +0.176%K +0.615%G +0.002% | 7.1% | 2026-02-25 12:34 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (1)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.57% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.43% | 2.2% | 2026-02-25 12:35 |