Szkoła Kursów

Pablo Carreno Busta v Jiri Lehecka

Początek: 2026-02-25 13:00 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

53 bukmacherów (18 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Pablo Carreno Busta (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 28.40%3.52kurs godziwy
EV +6.20%
Przewaga +1.66%
Kelly +2.26%
Wzrost +0.140%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.74

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
26.09%28.60%28.50%33.33%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.803.343.353.7435.71%29.93%29.85%26.74%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Jiri Lehecka (Goście)

Prognoza 71.60%1.40kurs godziwy
EV +0.246%
Przewaga +0.176%
Kelly +0.615%
Wzrost +0.002%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.40

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
66.67%71.40%71.50%73.91%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.281.311.301.4078.13%76.08%76.92%71.43%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (53 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarze ▼GościeMarżaAktualizacja
Pinnacle3.74I 26.74%NM 26.09%EV +6.20%E +1.66%K +2.26%G +0.140%1.32I 75.76%NM 73.91%EV -5.48%E -4.15%K -17.13%G +0.000%2.5%2026-02-25 11:45
GTbets3.63I 27.55%NM 26.22%EV +3.08%E +0.848%K +1.17%G +0.036%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.78%EV -7.63%E -5.92%K -26.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-25 12:05
Bally Bet3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV +2.22%E +0.618%K +0.856%G +0.019%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -6.91%E -5.32%K -23.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-25 12:04
William Hill3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV +2.22%E +0.618%K +0.856%G +0.019%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -7.63%E -5.92%K -26.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-24 23:19
FanDuel3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV +2.22%E +0.618%K +0.856%G +0.019%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -7.63%E -5.92%K -26.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-25 12:34
BetUS3.59I 27.86%NM 26.28%EV +1.94%E +0.541%K +0.749%G +0.015%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.72%EV -8.35%E -6.52%K -29.81%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-25 11:29
DraftKings3.58I 27.93%NM 26.49%EV +1.66%E +0.463%K +0.642%G +0.011%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.51%EV -7.63%E -5.92%K -26.31%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-25 12:34
Bet Right3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV +0.805%E +0.227%K +0.316%G +0.003%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -6.91%E -5.32%K -23.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-25 12:04
1xBet3.53I 28.33%NM 27.07%EV +0.237%E +0.067%K +0.094%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.93%EV -6.20%E -4.73%K -19.99%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-25 12:17
Marathon Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -0.615%E -0.176%K -0.246%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.91%E -5.32%K -23.05%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-25 12:04
Unibet3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -0.615%E -0.176%K -0.246%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.91%E -5.32%K -23.05%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-25 12:34
betPARX3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -0.615%E -0.176%K -0.246%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.91%E -5.32%K -23.05%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-25 12:34
Betr (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -0.615%E -0.176%K -0.246%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -7.63%E -5.92%K -26.31%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-25 11:30
theScore Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -0.615%E -0.176%K -0.246%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -7.63%E -5.92%K -26.31%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-25 12:30
LowVig.ag3.49I 28.65%NM 27.44%EV -0.899%E -0.258%K -0.361%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.56%EV -5.48%E -4.15%K -17.13%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-25 09:25
BetOnline.ag3.49I 28.65%NM 27.44%EV -0.899%E -0.258%K -0.361%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.56%EV -5.48%E -4.15%K -17.13%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-25 09:25
PlayUp3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -2.03%E -0.590%K -0.831%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -6.91%E -5.32%K -23.05%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-24 23:40
SportsBet3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -2.03%E -0.590%K -0.831%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -8.35%E -6.52%K -29.81%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-25 09:25
Hard Rock Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.45%E -1.02%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.77%E -3.58%K -14.44%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-25 12:35
Bovada3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.45%E -1.02%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.77%E -3.58%K -14.44%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-25 12:29
888sport3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -3.45%E -1.02%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.91%E -5.32%K -23.05%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-25 12:25
Mr Green (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -3.45%E -1.02%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.91%E -5.32%K -23.05%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-25 12:24
888sport (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -3.45%E -1.02%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.91%E -5.32%K -23.05%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-25 12:24
BetRivers3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -3.45%E -1.02%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.91%E -5.32%K -23.05%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-25 12:34
LeoVegas3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -3.45%E -1.02%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -7.63%E -5.92%K -26.31%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-25 12:34
Unibet (NL)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -4.87%E -1.46%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.77%E -3.58%K -14.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-25 12:35
Unibet (SE)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -4.87%E -1.46%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.77%E -3.58%K -14.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-25 12:35
Casumo3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -4.87%E -1.46%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.77%E -3.58%K -14.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-25 12:35
ATG (SE)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -4.87%E -1.46%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.77%E -3.58%K -14.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-25 12:35
Svenska Spel3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -4.87%E -1.46%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.77%E -3.58%K -14.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-25 12:35
Betsson3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -6.29%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.91%E -5.32%K -23.05%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-25 12:35
Ladbrokes (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -6.29%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.91%E -5.32%K -23.05%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-24 19:05
Neds3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -6.29%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.91%E -5.32%K -23.05%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-24 19:05
Winamax (DE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -6.29%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -7.63%E -5.92%K -26.31%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-25 12:35
Everygame3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -6.29%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -8.35%E -6.52%K -29.81%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-25 06:24
LiveScore Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -7.71%E -2.37%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -5.48%E -4.15%K -17.13%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-25 12:35
Virgin Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -7.71%E -2.37%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -5.48%E -4.15%K -17.13%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-25 12:35
TABtouch3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -7.71%E -2.37%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -5.48%E -4.15%K -17.13%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-25 12:35
Grosvenor3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -7.71%E -2.37%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -5.48%E -4.15%K -17.13%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-25 12:35
Fliff3.25I 30.77%NM 28.26%EV -7.71%E -2.37%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 71.74%EV -8.35%E -6.52%K -29.81%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-25 12:34
Betway3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -9.13%E -2.85%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.33%E -2.47%K -9.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-25 12:35
PointsBet (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -9.13%E -2.85%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -4.77%E -3.58%K -14.44%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-25 12:35
BoyleSports3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -9.13%E -2.85%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -4.77%E -3.58%K -14.44%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-25 12:34
LeoVegas (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -9.13%E -2.85%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.91%E -5.32%K -23.05%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-25 12:35
Fanatics3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -9.13%E -2.85%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.27%EV -7.63%E -5.92%K -26.31%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-25 12:35
Betclic (FR)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -9.13%E -2.85%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.27%EV -7.63%E -5.92%K -26.31%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-25 12:24
NordicBet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -11.97%E -3.86%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -3.33%E -2.47%K -9.53%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-25 12:35
Caesars3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -11.97%E -3.86%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -4.77%E -3.58%K -14.44%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-25 12:29
Winamax (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.37%EV -13.39%E -4.39%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.63%EV -4.77%E -3.58%K -14.44%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-25 12:35
BetMGM3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -14.81%E -4.94%K -7.41%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -2.62%E -1.93%K -7.27%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-25 12:34
Ladbrokes (UK)2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -18.50%E -6.45%K -9.90%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV +0.246%E +0.176%K +0.615%G +0.002%6.3%2026-02-25 12:35
Coral2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -18.50%E -6.45%K -9.90%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV +0.246%E +0.176%K +0.615%G +0.002%6.3%2026-02-25 12:35
Bet Victor2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -20.49%E -7.32%K -11.38%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV +0.246%E +0.176%K +0.615%G +0.002%7.1%2026-02-25 12:34
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (1)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Matchbook3.10I 32.26%NM 31.57%1.43I 69.93%NM 68.43%2.2%2026-02-25 12:35