L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Pablo Carreno Busta v Jiri Lehecka
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Pablo Carreno Busta (Local)
Prévision 28.40%3.52cote équitable
EV +6.20%
Avantage +1.66%
Kelly +2.26%
Croissance +0.140%
avec la cote maximale 3.74
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.09%28.60%28.50%33.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.803.343.353.7435.71%29.93%29.85%26.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Jiri Lehecka (Visiteur)
Prévision 71.60%1.40cote équitable
EV +0.246%
Avantage +0.176%
Kelly +0.615%
Croissance +0.002%
avec la cote maximale 1.40
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
66.67%71.40%71.50%73.91%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.281.311.301.4078.13%76.08%76.92%71.43%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 3.74I 26.74%NM 26.09%EV +6.20%E +1.66%K +2.26%G +0.140% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.91%EV -5.48%E -4.15%K -17.13%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-02-25 11:45 |
| GTbets | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.22%EV +3.08%E +0.848%K +1.17%G +0.036% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.78%EV -7.63%E -5.92%K -26.31%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-25 12:05 |
| Bally Bet | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV +2.22%E +0.618%K +0.856%G +0.019% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -6.91%E -5.32%K -23.05%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-25 12:04 |
| William Hill | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV +2.22%E +0.618%K +0.856%G +0.019% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -7.63%E -5.92%K -26.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-24 23:19 |
| FanDuel | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV +2.22%E +0.618%K +0.856%G +0.019% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -7.63%E -5.92%K -26.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-25 12:34 |
| BetUS | 3.59I 27.86%NM 26.28%EV +1.94%E +0.541%K +0.749%G +0.015% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.72%EV -8.35%E -6.52%K -29.81%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-25 11:29 |
| DraftKings | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.49%EV +1.66%E +0.463%K +0.642%G +0.011% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.51%EV -7.63%E -5.92%K -26.31%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-25 12:34 |
| Bet Right | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV +0.805%E +0.227%K +0.316%G +0.003% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -6.91%E -5.32%K -23.05%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-25 12:04 |
| 1xBet | 3.53I 28.33%NM 27.07%EV +0.237%E +0.067%K +0.094%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.93%EV -6.20%E -4.73%K -19.99%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-25 12:17 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -0.615%E -0.176%K -0.246%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.91%E -5.32%K -23.05%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-25 12:04 |
| Unibet | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -0.615%E -0.176%K -0.246%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.91%E -5.32%K -23.05%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-25 12:34 |
| betPARX | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -0.615%E -0.176%K -0.246%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.91%E -5.32%K -23.05%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-25 12:34 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -0.615%E -0.176%K -0.246%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -7.63%E -5.92%K -26.31%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-25 11:30 |
| theScore Bet | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -0.615%E -0.176%K -0.246%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -7.63%E -5.92%K -26.31%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-25 12:30 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.49I 28.65%NM 27.44%EV -0.899%E -0.258%K -0.361%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.56%EV -5.48%E -4.15%K -17.13%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-25 09:25 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.49I 28.65%NM 27.44%EV -0.899%E -0.258%K -0.361%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.56%EV -5.48%E -4.15%K -17.13%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-25 09:25 |
| PlayUp | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -2.03%E -0.590%K -0.831%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -6.91%E -5.32%K -23.05%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-24 23:40 |
| SportsBet | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -2.03%E -0.590%K -0.831%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -8.35%E -6.52%K -29.81%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-25 09:25 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.45%E -1.02%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.77%E -3.58%K -14.44%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-25 12:35 |
| Bovada | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.45%E -1.02%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.77%E -3.58%K -14.44%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-25 12:29 |
| 888sport | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -3.45%E -1.02%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.91%E -5.32%K -23.05%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-25 12:25 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -3.45%E -1.02%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.91%E -5.32%K -23.05%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-25 12:24 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -3.45%E -1.02%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.91%E -5.32%K -23.05%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-25 12:24 |
| BetRivers | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -3.45%E -1.02%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.91%E -5.32%K -23.05%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-25 12:34 |
| LeoVegas | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -3.45%E -1.02%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -7.63%E -5.92%K -26.31%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-25 12:34 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -4.87%E -1.46%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.77%E -3.58%K -14.44%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-25 12:35 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -4.87%E -1.46%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.77%E -3.58%K -14.44%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-25 12:35 |
| Casumo | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -4.87%E -1.46%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.77%E -3.58%K -14.44%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-25 12:35 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -4.87%E -1.46%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.77%E -3.58%K -14.44%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-25 12:35 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -4.87%E -1.46%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.77%E -3.58%K -14.44%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-25 12:35 |
| Betsson | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -6.29%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.91%E -5.32%K -23.05%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-25 12:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -6.29%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.91%E -5.32%K -23.05%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-24 19:05 |
| Neds | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -6.29%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.91%E -5.32%K -23.05%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-24 19:05 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -6.29%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -7.63%E -5.92%K -26.31%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-25 12:35 |
| Everygame | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -6.29%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -8.35%E -6.52%K -29.81%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-02-25 06:24 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -7.71%E -2.37%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -5.48%E -4.15%K -17.13%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-25 12:35 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -7.71%E -2.37%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -5.48%E -4.15%K -17.13%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-25 12:35 |
| TABtouch | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -7.71%E -2.37%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -5.48%E -4.15%K -17.13%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-25 12:35 |
| Grosvenor | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -7.71%E -2.37%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -5.48%E -4.15%K -17.13%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-25 12:35 |
| Fliff | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.26%EV -7.71%E -2.37%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.74%EV -8.35%E -6.52%K -29.81%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-25 12:34 |
| Betway | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -9.13%E -2.85%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.33%E -2.47%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-25 12:35 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -9.13%E -2.85%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -4.77%E -3.58%K -14.44%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-25 12:35 |
| BoyleSports | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -9.13%E -2.85%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -4.77%E -3.58%K -14.44%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-25 12:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -9.13%E -2.85%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.91%E -5.32%K -23.05%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-25 12:35 |
| Fanatics | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -9.13%E -2.85%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.27%EV -7.63%E -5.92%K -26.31%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-25 12:35 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -9.13%E -2.85%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.27%EV -7.63%E -5.92%K -26.31%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-25 12:24 |
| NordicBet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -11.97%E -3.86%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -3.33%E -2.47%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-25 12:35 |
| Caesars | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -11.97%E -3.86%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -4.77%E -3.58%K -14.44%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-25 12:29 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.37%EV -13.39%E -4.39%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.63%EV -4.77%E -3.58%K -14.44%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-25 12:35 |
| BetMGM | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -14.81%E -4.94%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -2.62%E -1.93%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-25 12:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -18.50%E -6.45%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV +0.246%E +0.176%K +0.615%G +0.002% | 6.3% | 2026-02-25 12:35 |
| Coral | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -18.50%E -6.45%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV +0.246%E +0.176%K +0.615%G +0.002% | 6.3% | 2026-02-25 12:35 |
| Bet Victor | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -20.49%E -7.32%K -11.38%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV +0.246%E +0.176%K +0.615%G +0.002% | 7.1% | 2026-02-25 12:34 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (1)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.57% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.43% | 2.2% | 2026-02-25 12:35 |