Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Pablo Carreno Busta v Jiri Lehecka

Inizio: 2026-02-25 13:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

53 bookmaker (18 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Pablo Carreno Busta (Casa)

Previsione 28.40%3.52quota equa
EV +6.20%
Vantaggio +1.66%
Kelly +2.26%
Crescita +0.140%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.74

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.09%28.60%28.50%33.33%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.803.343.353.7435.71%29.93%29.85%26.74%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Jiri Lehecka (Trasferta)

Previsione 71.60%1.40quota equa
EV +0.246%
Vantaggio +0.176%
Kelly +0.615%
Crescita +0.002%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.40

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
66.67%71.40%71.50%73.91%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.281.311.301.4078.13%76.08%76.92%71.43%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Pablo Carreno Busta (Casa): 28.40%; Jiri Lehecka (Trasferta): 71.60%. Per Pablo Carreno Busta (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 3.52. 9 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 3.74, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +6.20%.

Quote dei bookmaker (53 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle🎯3.74I 26.74%NM 26.09%EV +6.20%E +1.66%K +2.26%G +0.140%1.32I 75.76%NM 73.91%EV -5.48%E -4.15%K -17.13%G +0.000%2.5%2026-02-25 11:45
GTbets🎯3.63I 27.55%NM 26.22%EV +3.08%E +0.848%K +1.17%G +0.036%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.78%EV -7.63%E -5.92%K -26.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-25 12:05
Bally Bet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV +2.22%E +0.618%K +0.856%G +0.019%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -6.91%E -5.32%K -23.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-25 12:04
William Hill🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV +2.22%E +0.618%K +0.856%G +0.019%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -7.63%E -5.92%K -26.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-24 23:19
FanDuel🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV +2.22%E +0.618%K +0.856%G +0.019%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -7.63%E -5.92%K -26.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-25 12:34
BetUS🎯3.59I 27.86%NM 26.28%EV +1.94%E +0.541%K +0.749%G +0.015%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.72%EV -8.35%E -6.52%K -29.81%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-25 11:29
DraftKings🎯3.58I 27.93%NM 26.49%EV +1.66%E +0.463%K +0.642%G +0.011%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.51%EV -7.63%E -5.92%K -26.31%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-25 12:34
Bet Right🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV +0.805%E +0.227%K +0.316%G +0.003%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -6.91%E -5.32%K -23.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-25 12:04
1xBet🎯3.53I 28.33%NM 27.07%EV +0.237%E +0.067%K +0.094%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.93%EV -6.20%E -4.73%K -19.99%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-25 12:17
Marathon Bet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -0.615%E -0.176%K -0.246%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.91%E -5.32%K -23.05%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-25 12:04
Unibet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -0.615%E -0.176%K -0.246%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.91%E -5.32%K -23.05%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-25 12:34
betPARX🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -0.615%E -0.176%K -0.246%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.91%E -5.32%K -23.05%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-25 12:34
Betr (AU)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -0.615%E -0.176%K -0.246%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -7.63%E -5.92%K -26.31%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-25 11:30
theScore Bet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -0.615%E -0.176%K -0.246%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -7.63%E -5.92%K -26.31%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-25 12:30
LowVig.ag🎯3.49I 28.65%NM 27.44%EV -0.899%E -0.258%K -0.361%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.56%EV -5.48%E -4.15%K -17.13%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-25 09:25
BetOnline.ag🎯3.49I 28.65%NM 27.44%EV -0.899%E -0.258%K -0.361%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.56%EV -5.48%E -4.15%K -17.13%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-25 09:25
PlayUp🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -2.03%E -0.590%K -0.831%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -6.91%E -5.32%K -23.05%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-24 23:40
SportsBet🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -2.03%E -0.590%K -0.831%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -8.35%E -6.52%K -29.81%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-25 09:25
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.45%E -1.02%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.77%E -3.58%K -14.44%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-25 12:35
Bovada🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.45%E -1.02%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.77%E -3.58%K -14.44%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-25 12:29
888sport🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -3.45%E -1.02%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.91%E -5.32%K -23.05%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-25 12:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -3.45%E -1.02%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.91%E -5.32%K -23.05%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-25 12:24
888sport (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -3.45%E -1.02%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.91%E -5.32%K -23.05%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-25 12:24
BetRivers🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -3.45%E -1.02%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.91%E -5.32%K -23.05%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-25 12:34
LeoVegas🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -3.45%E -1.02%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -7.63%E -5.92%K -26.31%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-25 12:34
Unibet (NL)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -4.87%E -1.46%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.77%E -3.58%K -14.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-25 12:35
Unibet (SE)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -4.87%E -1.46%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.77%E -3.58%K -14.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-25 12:35
Casumo🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -4.87%E -1.46%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.77%E -3.58%K -14.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-25 12:35
ATG (SE)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -4.87%E -1.46%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.77%E -3.58%K -14.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-25 12:35
Svenska Spel🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -4.87%E -1.46%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.77%E -3.58%K -14.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-25 12:35
Betsson🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -6.29%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.91%E -5.32%K -23.05%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-25 12:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -6.29%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.91%E -5.32%K -23.05%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-24 19:05
Neds🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -6.29%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.91%E -5.32%K -23.05%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-24 19:05
Winamax (DE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -6.29%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -7.63%E -5.92%K -26.31%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-25 12:35
Everygame🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -6.29%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -8.35%E -6.52%K -29.81%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-25 06:24
LiveScore Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -7.71%E -2.37%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -5.48%E -4.15%K -17.13%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-25 12:35
Virgin Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -7.71%E -2.37%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -5.48%E -4.15%K -17.13%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-25 12:35
TABtouch🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -7.71%E -2.37%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -5.48%E -4.15%K -17.13%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-25 12:35
Grosvenor🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -7.71%E -2.37%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -5.48%E -4.15%K -17.13%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-25 12:35
Fliff🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.26%EV -7.71%E -2.37%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 71.74%EV -8.35%E -6.52%K -29.81%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-25 12:34
Betway🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -9.13%E -2.85%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.33%E -2.47%K -9.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-25 12:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -9.13%E -2.85%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -4.77%E -3.58%K -14.44%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-25 12:35
BoyleSports🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -9.13%E -2.85%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -4.77%E -3.58%K -14.44%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-25 12:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -9.13%E -2.85%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.91%E -5.32%K -23.05%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-25 12:35
Fanatics🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -9.13%E -2.85%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.27%EV -7.63%E -5.92%K -26.31%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-25 12:35
Betclic (FR)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -9.13%E -2.85%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.27%EV -7.63%E -5.92%K -26.31%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-25 12:24
NordicBet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -11.97%E -3.86%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -3.33%E -2.47%K -9.53%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-25 12:35
Caesars🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -11.97%E -3.86%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -4.77%E -3.58%K -14.44%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-25 12:29
Winamax (FR)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.37%EV -13.39%E -4.39%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.63%EV -4.77%E -3.58%K -14.44%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-25 12:35
BetMGM🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -14.81%E -4.94%K -7.41%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -2.62%E -1.93%K -7.27%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-25 12:34
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -18.50%E -6.45%K -9.90%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV +0.246%E +0.176%K +0.615%G +0.002%6.3%2026-02-25 12:35
Coral🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -18.50%E -6.45%K -9.90%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV +0.246%E +0.176%K +0.615%G +0.002%6.3%2026-02-25 12:35
Bet Victor🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -20.49%E -7.32%K -11.38%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV +0.246%E +0.176%K +0.615%G +0.002%7.1%2026-02-25 12:34
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (1)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook3.10I 32.26%NM 31.57%1.43I 69.93%NM 68.43%2.2%2026-02-25 12:35