預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Luca Nardi v Jiri Lehecka

開賽時間: 2026-02-24 14:20 UTC

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下,根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始,因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

44 家博彩公司 (16 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率:四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Luca Nardi (主隊)

預測 23.40%4.27公平賠率
EV +12.10%
優勢 +2.53%
Kelly +3.19%
成長率 +0.386%

假設最高賠率為 4.79

博彩公司預測分布
20.03%23.26%23.66%25.53%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
3.504.104.104.7928.57%24.37%24.39%20.88%最小值平均值中位數最大值

Jiri Lehecka (客隊)

預測 76.60%1.31公平賠率
EV -4.25%
優勢 -3.40%
Kelly -17.01%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 1.25

博彩公司預測分布
74.47%76.74%76.34%79.97%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.201.221.221.2583.33%81.69%81.97%80.00%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率,四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為:Luca Nardi (主隊):23.40%;Jiri Lehecka (客隊):76.60%。 對於「Luca Nardi (主隊)」,該估計相當於4.27的公平十進位賠率。 當時有4家博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率;最佳賠率為4.79,對應+12.10%的正期望值。

博彩公司賠率 (44 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯,也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊 ▼客隊利潤率更新時間
DraftKings🎯4.79I 20.88%NM 20.03%EV +12.10%E +2.53%K +3.19%G +0.386%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.97%EV -8.08%E -6.74%K -40.41%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-24 13:45
Pinnacle🎯4.53I 22.08%NM 21.35%EV +6.01%E +1.33%K +1.70%G +0.102%1.23I 81.30%NM 78.65%EV -5.78%E -4.70%K -25.15%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-24 13:55
FanDuel🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV +0.630%E +0.146%K +0.191%G +0.001%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -6.55%E -5.37%K -29.78%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-24 13:39
Bet Right🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV +0.630%E +0.146%K +0.191%G +0.001%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -6.55%E -5.37%K -29.78%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-24 14:05
Unibet (SE)🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -0.540%E -0.127%K -0.166%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.55%E -5.37%K -29.78%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-24 13:40
Unibet (NL)🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -0.540%E -0.127%K -0.166%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.55%E -5.37%K -29.78%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-24 13:39
TABtouch🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -0.540%E -0.127%K -0.166%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.55%E -5.37%K -29.78%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-24 13:40
Grosvenor🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -0.540%E -0.127%K -0.166%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.55%E -5.37%K -29.78%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-24 13:40
BetRivers🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -0.540%E -0.127%K -0.166%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.55%E -5.37%K -29.78%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-24 13:39
Virgin Bet🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -0.540%E -0.127%K -0.166%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.55%E -5.37%K -29.78%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-24 13:40
Casumo🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -0.540%E -0.127%K -0.166%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.55%E -5.37%K -29.78%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-24 13:39
LeoVegas🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -0.540%E -0.127%K -0.166%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.55%E -5.37%K -29.78%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-24 13:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -0.540%E -0.127%K -0.166%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.55%E -5.37%K -29.78%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-24 13:39
Betway🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -0.540%E -0.127%K -0.166%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.55%E -5.37%K -29.78%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-24 14:05
LiveScore Bet🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -0.540%E -0.127%K -0.166%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.55%E -5.37%K -29.78%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-24 13:39
Unibet🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -0.540%E -0.127%K -0.166%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.55%E -5.37%K -29.78%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-24 13:39
ATG (SE)🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -0.540%E -0.127%K -0.166%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.55%E -5.37%K -29.78%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-24 13:40
Svenska Spel🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -0.540%E -0.127%K -0.166%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.55%E -5.37%K -29.78%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-24 13:39
betPARX🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -0.540%E -0.127%K -0.166%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.55%E -5.37%K -29.78%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-24 13:39
Bally Bet🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -0.540%E -0.127%K -0.166%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.55%E -5.37%K -29.78%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-24 13:39
Hard Rock Bet🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -0.540%E -0.127%K -0.166%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.55%E -5.37%K -29.78%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-24 13:49
Betr (AU)🎯4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -2.88%E -0.694%K -0.914%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -6.55%E -5.37%K -29.78%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-24 14:05
Fliff🎯4.05I 24.69%NM 23.15%EV -5.22%E -1.29%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.85%EV -6.55%E -5.37%K -29.78%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-24 14:05
Fanatics🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.39%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.25%E -3.40%K -17.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-24 13:40
William Hill🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.39%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.25%E -3.40%K -17.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-24 13:39
888sport🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.39%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.25%E -3.40%K -17.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-24 13:55
888sport (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.39%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.25%E -3.40%K -17.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-24 13:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.39%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.25%E -3.40%K -17.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-24 13:55
Betsson🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.39%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.02%E -4.05%K -20.91%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-24 13:39
NordicBet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.39%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.02%E -4.05%K -20.91%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-24 13:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.39%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.02%E -4.05%K -20.91%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-24 13:40
Winamax (DE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.39%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.02%E -4.05%K -20.91%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-24 13:40
BetMGM🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.39%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.02%E -4.05%K -20.91%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-24 13:39
theScore Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.39%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.02%E -4.05%K -20.91%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-24 13:39
Caesars🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.39%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.55%E -5.37%K -29.78%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-24 13:40
Everygame🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -6.39%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -8.08%E -6.74%K -40.41%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-24 13:54
Bet Victor🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -6.39%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -8.08%E -6.74%K -40.41%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-24 14:02
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -8.73%E -2.24%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -6.55%E -5.37%K -29.78%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-24 13:40
Coral🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -8.73%E -2.24%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -6.55%E -5.37%K -29.78%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-24 13:39
Neds🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -11.07%E -2.91%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -6.55%E -5.37%K -29.78%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-24 13:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -11.07%E -2.91%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -6.55%E -5.37%K -29.78%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-24 13:39
BoyleSports🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -12.24%E -3.26%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.55%E -5.37%K -29.78%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-24 13:39
Winamax (FR)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.26%EV -16.92%E -4.77%K -6.64%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 74.74%EV -8.08%E -6.74%K -40.41%G +0.000%11.5%2026-02-24 13:40
Betclic (FR)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -18.09%E -5.17%K -7.24%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 74.47%EV -8.08%E -6.74%K -40.41%G +0.000%11.9%2026-02-24 13:38
利潤率 = 利潤率(超額機率) · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間,因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動,不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司;只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時,才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (1)

博彩公司主隊客隊利潤率 ▲更新時間
Matchbook4.50I 22.22%NM 21.60%1.24I 80.65%NM 78.40%2.9%2026-02-24 14:00