Idioma:Português
Luca Nardi v Jiri Lehecka
Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →
Frente a frente
Luca Nardi (Local)
Previsão 23.40%4.27odd justa
EV +12.10%
Vantagem +2.53%
Kelly +3.19%
Crescimento +0.386%
pressupondo odds máximas de 4.79
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
20.03%23.26%23.66%25.53%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.504.104.104.7928.57%24.37%24.39%20.88%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Jiri Lehecka (Visitante)
Previsão 76.60%1.31odd justa
EV -4.25%
Vantagem -3.40%
Kelly -17.01%
Crescimento +0.000%
pressupondo odds máximas de 1.25
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
74.47%76.74%76.34%79.97%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.201.221.221.2583.33%81.69%81.97%80.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Luca Nardi (Local): 23.40%; Jiri Lehecka (Visitante): 76.60%. Para Luca Nardi (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 4.27. 4 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 4.79, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +12.10%.
Odds das casas de apostas (44 casas de apostas)
Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.
| Casa de apostas | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margem | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.79I 20.88%NM 20.03%EV +12.10%E +2.53%K +3.19%G +0.386% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.97%EV -8.08%E -6.74%K -40.41%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-24 13:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.53I 22.08%NM 21.35%EV +6.01%E +1.33%K +1.70%G +0.102% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.65%EV -5.78%E -4.70%K -25.15%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-02-24 13:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV +0.630%E +0.146%K +0.191%G +0.001% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -6.55%E -5.37%K -29.78%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-24 13:39 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV +0.630%E +0.146%K +0.191%G +0.001% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -6.55%E -5.37%K -29.78%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-24 14:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -0.540%E -0.127%K -0.166%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.55%E -5.37%K -29.78%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-24 13:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -0.540%E -0.127%K -0.166%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.55%E -5.37%K -29.78%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-24 13:39 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -0.540%E -0.127%K -0.166%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.55%E -5.37%K -29.78%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-24 13:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -0.540%E -0.127%K -0.166%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.55%E -5.37%K -29.78%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-24 13:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -0.540%E -0.127%K -0.166%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.55%E -5.37%K -29.78%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-24 13:39 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -0.540%E -0.127%K -0.166%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.55%E -5.37%K -29.78%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-24 13:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -0.540%E -0.127%K -0.166%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.55%E -5.37%K -29.78%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-24 13:39 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -0.540%E -0.127%K -0.166%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.55%E -5.37%K -29.78%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-24 13:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -0.540%E -0.127%K -0.166%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.55%E -5.37%K -29.78%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-24 13:39 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -0.540%E -0.127%K -0.166%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.55%E -5.37%K -29.78%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-24 14:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -0.540%E -0.127%K -0.166%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.55%E -5.37%K -29.78%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-24 13:39 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -0.540%E -0.127%K -0.166%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.55%E -5.37%K -29.78%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-24 13:39 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -0.540%E -0.127%K -0.166%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.55%E -5.37%K -29.78%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-24 13:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -0.540%E -0.127%K -0.166%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.55%E -5.37%K -29.78%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-24 13:39 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -0.540%E -0.127%K -0.166%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.55%E -5.37%K -29.78%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-24 13:39 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -0.540%E -0.127%K -0.166%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.55%E -5.37%K -29.78%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-24 13:39 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -0.540%E -0.127%K -0.166%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.55%E -5.37%K -29.78%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-24 13:49 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -2.88%E -0.694%K -0.914%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -6.55%E -5.37%K -29.78%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-24 14:05 |
| Fliff🎯 | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.15%EV -5.22%E -1.29%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.85%EV -6.55%E -5.37%K -29.78%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-24 14:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.39%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.25%E -3.40%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-24 13:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.39%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.25%E -3.40%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-24 13:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.39%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.25%E -3.40%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-24 13:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.39%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.25%E -3.40%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-24 13:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.39%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.25%E -3.40%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-24 13:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.39%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.02%E -4.05%K -20.91%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-24 13:39 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.39%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.02%E -4.05%K -20.91%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-24 13:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.39%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.02%E -4.05%K -20.91%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-24 13:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.39%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.02%E -4.05%K -20.91%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-24 13:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.39%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.02%E -4.05%K -20.91%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-24 13:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.39%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.02%E -4.05%K -20.91%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-24 13:39 |
| Caesars🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.39%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.55%E -5.37%K -29.78%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-24 13:40 |
| Everygame🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -6.39%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -8.08%E -6.74%K -40.41%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-24 13:54 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -6.39%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -8.08%E -6.74%K -40.41%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-24 14:02 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -8.73%E -2.24%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -6.55%E -5.37%K -29.78%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-24 13:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -8.73%E -2.24%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -6.55%E -5.37%K -29.78%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-24 13:39 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -11.07%E -2.91%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -6.55%E -5.37%K -29.78%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-24 13:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -11.07%E -2.91%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -6.55%E -5.37%K -29.78%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-24 13:39 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -12.24%E -3.26%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.55%E -5.37%K -29.78%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-24 13:39 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.26%EV -16.92%E -4.77%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 74.74%EV -8.08%E -6.74%K -40.41%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-02-24 13:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -18.09%E -5.17%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 74.47%EV -8.08%E -6.74%K -40.41%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-02-24 13:38 |
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas
Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.
Bolsas de apostas (1)
| Casa de apostas | Local | Visitante | Margem ▲ | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.60% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.40% | 2.9% | 2026-02-24 14:00 |