Sprache:Deutsch
Luca Nardi v Jiri Lehecka
Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →
Direkter Vergleich
Luca Nardi (Heim)
Prognose 23.40%4.27faire Quote
EV +12.10%
Vorteil +2.53%
Kelly +3.19%
Wachstum +0.386%
bei einer Höchstquote von 4.79
Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
20.03%23.26%23.66%25.53%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
3.504.104.104.7928.57%24.37%24.39%20.88%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Jiri Lehecka (Auswärts)
Prognose 76.60%1.31faire Quote
EV -4.25%
Vorteil -3.40%
Kelly -17.01%
Wachstum +0.000%
bei einer Höchstquote von 1.25
Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
74.47%76.74%76.34%79.97%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.201.221.221.2583.33%81.69%81.97%80.00%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Luca Nardi (Heim): 23.40%; Jiri Lehecka (Auswärts): 76.60%. Für Luca Nardi (Heim) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 4.27. 4 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 4.79 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +12.10%.
Wettanbieterquoten (44 Wettanbieter)
Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.
| Wettanbieter | Heim ▼ | Auswärts | Marge | Aktualisiert |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.79I 20.88%NM 20.03%EV +12.10%E +2.53%K +3.19%G +0.386% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.97%EV -8.08%E -6.74%K -40.41%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-24 13:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.53I 22.08%NM 21.35%EV +6.01%E +1.33%K +1.70%G +0.102% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.65%EV -5.78%E -4.70%K -25.15%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-02-24 13:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV +0.630%E +0.146%K +0.191%G +0.001% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -6.55%E -5.37%K -29.78%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-24 13:39 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV +0.630%E +0.146%K +0.191%G +0.001% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -6.55%E -5.37%K -29.78%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-24 14:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -0.540%E -0.127%K -0.166%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.55%E -5.37%K -29.78%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-24 13:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -0.540%E -0.127%K -0.166%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.55%E -5.37%K -29.78%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-24 13:39 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -0.540%E -0.127%K -0.166%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.55%E -5.37%K -29.78%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-24 13:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -0.540%E -0.127%K -0.166%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.55%E -5.37%K -29.78%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-24 13:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -0.540%E -0.127%K -0.166%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.55%E -5.37%K -29.78%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-24 13:39 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -0.540%E -0.127%K -0.166%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.55%E -5.37%K -29.78%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-24 13:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -0.540%E -0.127%K -0.166%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.55%E -5.37%K -29.78%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-24 13:39 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -0.540%E -0.127%K -0.166%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.55%E -5.37%K -29.78%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-24 13:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -0.540%E -0.127%K -0.166%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.55%E -5.37%K -29.78%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-24 13:39 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -0.540%E -0.127%K -0.166%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.55%E -5.37%K -29.78%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-24 14:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -0.540%E -0.127%K -0.166%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.55%E -5.37%K -29.78%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-24 13:39 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -0.540%E -0.127%K -0.166%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.55%E -5.37%K -29.78%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-24 13:39 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -0.540%E -0.127%K -0.166%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.55%E -5.37%K -29.78%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-24 13:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -0.540%E -0.127%K -0.166%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.55%E -5.37%K -29.78%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-24 13:39 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -0.540%E -0.127%K -0.166%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.55%E -5.37%K -29.78%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-24 13:39 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -0.540%E -0.127%K -0.166%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.55%E -5.37%K -29.78%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-24 13:39 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -0.540%E -0.127%K -0.166%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.55%E -5.37%K -29.78%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-24 13:49 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -2.88%E -0.694%K -0.914%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -6.55%E -5.37%K -29.78%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-24 14:05 |
| Fliff🎯 | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.15%EV -5.22%E -1.29%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.85%EV -6.55%E -5.37%K -29.78%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-24 14:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.39%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.25%E -3.40%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-24 13:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.39%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.25%E -3.40%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-24 13:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.39%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.25%E -3.40%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-24 13:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.39%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.25%E -3.40%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-24 13:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.39%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.25%E -3.40%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-24 13:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.39%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.02%E -4.05%K -20.91%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-24 13:39 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.39%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.02%E -4.05%K -20.91%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-24 13:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.39%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.02%E -4.05%K -20.91%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-24 13:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.39%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.02%E -4.05%K -20.91%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-24 13:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.39%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.02%E -4.05%K -20.91%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-24 13:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.39%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.02%E -4.05%K -20.91%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-24 13:39 |
| Caesars🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.39%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.55%E -5.37%K -29.78%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-24 13:40 |
| Everygame🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -6.39%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -8.08%E -6.74%K -40.41%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-24 13:54 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -6.39%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -8.08%E -6.74%K -40.41%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-24 14:02 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -8.73%E -2.24%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -6.55%E -5.37%K -29.78%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-24 13:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -8.73%E -2.24%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -6.55%E -5.37%K -29.78%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-24 13:39 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -11.07%E -2.91%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -6.55%E -5.37%K -29.78%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-24 13:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -11.07%E -2.91%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -6.55%E -5.37%K -29.78%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-24 13:39 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -12.24%E -3.26%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.55%E -5.37%K -29.78%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-24 13:39 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.26%EV -16.92%E -4.77%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 74.74%EV -8.08%E -6.74%K -40.41%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-02-24 13:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -18.09%E -5.17%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 74.47%EV -8.08%E -6.74%K -40.41%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-02-24 13:38 |
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals
Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.
Wettbörsen (1)
| Wettanbieter | Heim | Auswärts | Marge ▲ | Aktualisiert |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.60% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.40% | 2.9% | 2026-02-24 14:00 |