Langue:Français
Luca Nardi v Jiri Lehecka
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Luca Nardi (Local)
Prévision 23.40%4.27cote équitable
EV +12.10%
Avantage +2.53%
Kelly +3.19%
Croissance +0.386%
avec la cote maximale 4.79
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.03%23.26%23.66%25.53%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.504.104.104.7928.57%24.37%24.39%20.88%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Jiri Lehecka (Visiteur)
Prévision 76.60%1.31cote équitable
EV -4.25%
Avantage -3.40%
Kelly -17.01%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.25
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
74.47%76.74%76.34%79.97%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.201.221.221.2583.33%81.69%81.97%80.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Luca Nardi (Local) : 23.40% ; Jiri Lehecka (Visiteur) : 76.60%. Pour Luca Nardi (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.27. 4 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.79, soit une espérance positive de +12.10%.
Cotes des opérateurs (44 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.79I 20.88%NM 20.03%EV +12.10%E +2.53%K +3.19%G +0.386% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.97%EV -8.08%E -6.74%K -40.41%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-24 13:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.53I 22.08%NM 21.35%EV +6.01%E +1.33%K +1.70%G +0.102% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.65%EV -5.78%E -4.70%K -25.15%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-02-24 13:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV +0.630%E +0.146%K +0.191%G +0.001% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -6.55%E -5.37%K -29.78%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-24 13:39 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV +0.630%E +0.146%K +0.191%G +0.001% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -6.55%E -5.37%K -29.78%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-24 14:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -0.540%E -0.127%K -0.166%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.55%E -5.37%K -29.78%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-24 13:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -0.540%E -0.127%K -0.166%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.55%E -5.37%K -29.78%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-24 13:39 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -0.540%E -0.127%K -0.166%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.55%E -5.37%K -29.78%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-24 13:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -0.540%E -0.127%K -0.166%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.55%E -5.37%K -29.78%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-24 13:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -0.540%E -0.127%K -0.166%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.55%E -5.37%K -29.78%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-24 13:39 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -0.540%E -0.127%K -0.166%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.55%E -5.37%K -29.78%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-24 13:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -0.540%E -0.127%K -0.166%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.55%E -5.37%K -29.78%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-24 13:39 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -0.540%E -0.127%K -0.166%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.55%E -5.37%K -29.78%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-24 13:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -0.540%E -0.127%K -0.166%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.55%E -5.37%K -29.78%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-24 13:39 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -0.540%E -0.127%K -0.166%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.55%E -5.37%K -29.78%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-24 14:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -0.540%E -0.127%K -0.166%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.55%E -5.37%K -29.78%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-24 13:39 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -0.540%E -0.127%K -0.166%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.55%E -5.37%K -29.78%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-24 13:39 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -0.540%E -0.127%K -0.166%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.55%E -5.37%K -29.78%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-24 13:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -0.540%E -0.127%K -0.166%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.55%E -5.37%K -29.78%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-24 13:39 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -0.540%E -0.127%K -0.166%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.55%E -5.37%K -29.78%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-24 13:39 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -0.540%E -0.127%K -0.166%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.55%E -5.37%K -29.78%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-24 13:39 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -0.540%E -0.127%K -0.166%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.55%E -5.37%K -29.78%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-24 13:49 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -2.88%E -0.694%K -0.914%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -6.55%E -5.37%K -29.78%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-24 14:05 |
| Fliff🎯 | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.15%EV -5.22%E -1.29%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.85%EV -6.55%E -5.37%K -29.78%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-24 14:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.39%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.25%E -3.40%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-24 13:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.39%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.25%E -3.40%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-24 13:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.39%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.25%E -3.40%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-24 13:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.39%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.25%E -3.40%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-24 13:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.39%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.25%E -3.40%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-24 13:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.39%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.02%E -4.05%K -20.91%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-24 13:39 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.39%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.02%E -4.05%K -20.91%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-24 13:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.39%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.02%E -4.05%K -20.91%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-24 13:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.39%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.02%E -4.05%K -20.91%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-24 13:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.39%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.02%E -4.05%K -20.91%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-24 13:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.39%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.02%E -4.05%K -20.91%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-24 13:39 |
| Caesars🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.39%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.55%E -5.37%K -29.78%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-24 13:40 |
| Everygame🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -6.39%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -8.08%E -6.74%K -40.41%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-24 13:54 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -6.39%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -8.08%E -6.74%K -40.41%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-24 14:02 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -8.73%E -2.24%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -6.55%E -5.37%K -29.78%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-24 13:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -8.73%E -2.24%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -6.55%E -5.37%K -29.78%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-24 13:39 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -11.07%E -2.91%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -6.55%E -5.37%K -29.78%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-24 13:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -11.07%E -2.91%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -6.55%E -5.37%K -29.78%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-24 13:39 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -12.24%E -3.26%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.55%E -5.37%K -29.78%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-24 13:39 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.26%EV -16.92%E -4.77%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 74.74%EV -8.08%E -6.74%K -40.41%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-02-24 13:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -18.09%E -5.17%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 74.47%EV -8.08%E -6.74%K -40.41%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-02-24 13:38 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (1)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.60% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.40% | 2.9% | 2026-02-24 14:00 |