Lingua:Italiano
Luca Nardi v Jiri Lehecka
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Luca Nardi (Casa)
Previsione 23.40%4.27quota equa
EV +12.10%
Vantaggio +2.53%
Kelly +3.19%
Crescita +0.386%
ipotizzando la quota massima 4.79
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
20.03%23.26%23.66%25.53%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.504.104.104.7928.57%24.37%24.39%20.88%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Jiri Lehecka (Trasferta)
Previsione 76.60%1.31quota equa
EV -4.25%
Vantaggio -3.40%
Kelly -17.01%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.25
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
74.47%76.74%76.34%79.97%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.201.221.221.2583.33%81.69%81.97%80.00%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Luca Nardi (Casa): 23.40%; Jiri Lehecka (Trasferta): 76.60%. Per Luca Nardi (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 4.27. 4 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 4.79, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +12.10%.
Quote dei bookmaker (44 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.79I 20.88%NM 20.03%EV +12.10%E +2.53%K +3.19%G +0.386% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.97%EV -8.08%E -6.74%K -40.41%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-24 13:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.53I 22.08%NM 21.35%EV +6.01%E +1.33%K +1.70%G +0.102% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.65%EV -5.78%E -4.70%K -25.15%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-02-24 13:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV +0.630%E +0.146%K +0.191%G +0.001% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -6.55%E -5.37%K -29.78%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-24 13:39 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV +0.630%E +0.146%K +0.191%G +0.001% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -6.55%E -5.37%K -29.78%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-24 14:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -0.540%E -0.127%K -0.166%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.55%E -5.37%K -29.78%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-24 13:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -0.540%E -0.127%K -0.166%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.55%E -5.37%K -29.78%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-24 13:39 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -0.540%E -0.127%K -0.166%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.55%E -5.37%K -29.78%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-24 13:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -0.540%E -0.127%K -0.166%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.55%E -5.37%K -29.78%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-24 13:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -0.540%E -0.127%K -0.166%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.55%E -5.37%K -29.78%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-24 13:39 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -0.540%E -0.127%K -0.166%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.55%E -5.37%K -29.78%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-24 13:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -0.540%E -0.127%K -0.166%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.55%E -5.37%K -29.78%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-24 13:39 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -0.540%E -0.127%K -0.166%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.55%E -5.37%K -29.78%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-24 13:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -0.540%E -0.127%K -0.166%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.55%E -5.37%K -29.78%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-24 13:39 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -0.540%E -0.127%K -0.166%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.55%E -5.37%K -29.78%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-24 14:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -0.540%E -0.127%K -0.166%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.55%E -5.37%K -29.78%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-24 13:39 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -0.540%E -0.127%K -0.166%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.55%E -5.37%K -29.78%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-24 13:39 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -0.540%E -0.127%K -0.166%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.55%E -5.37%K -29.78%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-24 13:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -0.540%E -0.127%K -0.166%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.55%E -5.37%K -29.78%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-24 13:39 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -0.540%E -0.127%K -0.166%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.55%E -5.37%K -29.78%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-24 13:39 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -0.540%E -0.127%K -0.166%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.55%E -5.37%K -29.78%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-24 13:39 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -0.540%E -0.127%K -0.166%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.55%E -5.37%K -29.78%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-24 13:49 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -2.88%E -0.694%K -0.914%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -6.55%E -5.37%K -29.78%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-24 14:05 |
| Fliff🎯 | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.15%EV -5.22%E -1.29%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.85%EV -6.55%E -5.37%K -29.78%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-24 14:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.39%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.25%E -3.40%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-24 13:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.39%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.25%E -3.40%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-24 13:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.39%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.25%E -3.40%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-24 13:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.39%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.25%E -3.40%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-24 13:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.39%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.25%E -3.40%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-24 13:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.39%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.02%E -4.05%K -20.91%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-24 13:39 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.39%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.02%E -4.05%K -20.91%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-24 13:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.39%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.02%E -4.05%K -20.91%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-24 13:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.39%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.02%E -4.05%K -20.91%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-24 13:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.39%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.02%E -4.05%K -20.91%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-24 13:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.39%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.02%E -4.05%K -20.91%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-24 13:39 |
| Caesars🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.39%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.55%E -5.37%K -29.78%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-24 13:40 |
| Everygame🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -6.39%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -8.08%E -6.74%K -40.41%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-24 13:54 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -6.39%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -8.08%E -6.74%K -40.41%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-24 14:02 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -8.73%E -2.24%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -6.55%E -5.37%K -29.78%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-24 13:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -8.73%E -2.24%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -6.55%E -5.37%K -29.78%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-24 13:39 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -11.07%E -2.91%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -6.55%E -5.37%K -29.78%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-24 13:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -11.07%E -2.91%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -6.55%E -5.37%K -29.78%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-24 13:39 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -12.24%E -3.26%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.55%E -5.37%K -29.78%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-24 13:39 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.26%EV -16.92%E -4.77%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 74.74%EV -8.08%E -6.74%K -40.41%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-02-24 13:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -18.09%E -5.17%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 74.47%EV -8.08%E -6.74%K -40.41%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-02-24 13:38 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (1)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.60% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.40% | 2.9% | 2026-02-24 14:00 |