La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Luca Nardi v Jiri Lehecka
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Luca Nardi (Local)
Predicción 23.40%4.27momio equitativo
EV +12.10%
Ventaja +2.53%
Kelly +3.19%
Crecimiento +0.386%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.79
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.03%23.26%23.66%25.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.504.104.104.7928.57%24.37%24.39%20.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Jiri Lehecka (Visitante)
Predicción 76.60%1.31momio equitativo
EV -4.25%
Ventaja -3.40%
Kelly -17.01%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
74.47%76.74%76.34%79.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.201.221.221.2583.33%81.69%81.97%80.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (44 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | 4.79I 20.88%NM 20.03%EV +12.10%E +2.53%K +3.19%G +0.386% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.97%EV -8.08%E -6.74%K -40.41%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-24 13:45 |
| Pinnacle | 4.53I 22.08%NM 21.35%EV +6.01%E +1.33%K +1.70%G +0.102% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.65%EV -5.78%E -4.70%K -25.15%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-02-24 13:55 |
| FanDuel | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV +0.630%E +0.146%K +0.191%G +0.001% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -6.55%E -5.37%K -29.78%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-24 13:39 |
| Bet Right | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV +0.630%E +0.146%K +0.191%G +0.001% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -6.55%E -5.37%K -29.78%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-24 14:05 |
| Unibet (SE) | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -0.540%E -0.127%K -0.166%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.55%E -5.37%K -29.78%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-24 13:40 |
| Unibet (NL) | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -0.540%E -0.127%K -0.166%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.55%E -5.37%K -29.78%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-24 13:39 |
| TABtouch | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -0.540%E -0.127%K -0.166%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.55%E -5.37%K -29.78%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-24 13:40 |
| Grosvenor | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -0.540%E -0.127%K -0.166%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.55%E -5.37%K -29.78%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-24 13:40 |
| BetRivers | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -0.540%E -0.127%K -0.166%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.55%E -5.37%K -29.78%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-24 13:39 |
| Virgin Bet | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -0.540%E -0.127%K -0.166%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.55%E -5.37%K -29.78%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-24 13:40 |
| Casumo | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -0.540%E -0.127%K -0.166%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.55%E -5.37%K -29.78%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-24 13:39 |
| LeoVegas | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -0.540%E -0.127%K -0.166%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.55%E -5.37%K -29.78%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-24 13:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -0.540%E -0.127%K -0.166%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.55%E -5.37%K -29.78%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-24 13:39 |
| Betway | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -0.540%E -0.127%K -0.166%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.55%E -5.37%K -29.78%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-24 14:05 |
| LiveScore Bet | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -0.540%E -0.127%K -0.166%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.55%E -5.37%K -29.78%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-24 13:39 |
| Unibet | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -0.540%E -0.127%K -0.166%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.55%E -5.37%K -29.78%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-24 13:39 |
| ATG (SE) | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -0.540%E -0.127%K -0.166%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.55%E -5.37%K -29.78%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-24 13:40 |
| Svenska Spel | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -0.540%E -0.127%K -0.166%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.55%E -5.37%K -29.78%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-24 13:39 |
| betPARX | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -0.540%E -0.127%K -0.166%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.55%E -5.37%K -29.78%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-24 13:39 |
| Bally Bet | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -0.540%E -0.127%K -0.166%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.55%E -5.37%K -29.78%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-24 13:39 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -0.540%E -0.127%K -0.166%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.55%E -5.37%K -29.78%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-24 13:49 |
| Betr (AU) | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -2.88%E -0.694%K -0.914%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -6.55%E -5.37%K -29.78%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-24 14:05 |
| Fliff | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.15%EV -5.22%E -1.29%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.85%EV -6.55%E -5.37%K -29.78%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-24 14:05 |
| Fanatics | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.39%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.25%E -3.40%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-24 13:40 |
| William Hill | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.39%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.25%E -3.40%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-24 13:39 |
| 888sport | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.39%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.25%E -3.40%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-24 13:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.39%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.25%E -3.40%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-24 13:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.39%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.25%E -3.40%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-24 13:55 |
| Betsson | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.39%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.02%E -4.05%K -20.91%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-24 13:39 |
| NordicBet | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.39%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.02%E -4.05%K -20.91%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-24 13:40 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.39%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.02%E -4.05%K -20.91%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-24 13:40 |
| Winamax (DE) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.39%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.02%E -4.05%K -20.91%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-24 13:40 |
| BetMGM | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.39%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.02%E -4.05%K -20.91%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-24 13:39 |
| theScore Bet | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.39%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.02%E -4.05%K -20.91%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-24 13:39 |
| Caesars | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.39%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.55%E -5.37%K -29.78%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-24 13:40 |
| Everygame | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -6.39%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -8.08%E -6.74%K -40.41%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-24 13:54 |
| Bet Victor | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -6.39%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -8.08%E -6.74%K -40.41%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-24 14:02 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -8.73%E -2.24%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -6.55%E -5.37%K -29.78%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-24 13:40 |
| Coral | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -8.73%E -2.24%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -6.55%E -5.37%K -29.78%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-24 13:39 |
| Neds | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -11.07%E -2.91%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -6.55%E -5.37%K -29.78%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-24 13:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -11.07%E -2.91%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -6.55%E -5.37%K -29.78%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-24 13:39 |
| BoyleSports | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -12.24%E -3.26%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.55%E -5.37%K -29.78%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-24 13:39 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.26%EV -16.92%E -4.77%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 74.74%EV -8.08%E -6.74%K -40.41%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-02-24 13:40 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -18.09%E -5.17%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 74.47%EV -8.08%E -6.74%K -40.41%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-02-24 13:38 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (1)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.60% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.40% | 2.9% | 2026-02-24 14:00 |