Language:English
Andrey Rublev v Ugo Humbert
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Andrey Rublev (Local)
Prediction 63.36%1.58fair odd
EV -1.15%
Edge -0.740%
Kelly -2.06%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.56
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.07%63.28%63.66%65.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.511.521.5671.43%66.32%65.79%64.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Ugo Humbert (Visit)
Prediction 36.64%2.73fair odd
EV +0.754%
Edge +0.274%
Kelly +0.431%
Growth +0.003%
assuming max odds 2.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.94%36.72%36.34%38.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.542.502.7541.67%39.35%40.00%36.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Andrey Rublev (Local): 63.36%; Ugo Humbert (Visit): 36.64%. For Ugo Humbert (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.73. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.754%.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -6.22%E -4.21%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV +0.754%E +0.274%K +0.431%G +0.003% | 3.9% | 2026-02-25 15:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -8.12%E -5.60%K -18.05%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -1.08%E -0.399%K -0.634%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-25 15:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.10%EV -5.59%E -3.75%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.90%EV -2.54%E -0.956%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-25 15:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.96%E -3.30%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.91%E -1.10%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-25 15:06 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.96%E -3.30%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.91%E -1.10%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-25 14:59 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -8.12%E -5.60%K -18.05%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -2.91%E -1.10%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-25 15:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -8.12%E -5.60%K -18.05%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -2.91%E -1.10%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-25 15:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -8.12%E -5.60%K -18.05%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -2.91%E -1.10%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-25 15:08 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -8.76%E -6.08%K -19.91%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -2.91%E -1.10%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-25 15:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.83%EV -1.79%E -1.15%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.17%EV -4.01%E -1.53%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-02-25 14:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.96%E -3.30%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.01%E -1.53%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-25 15:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.66%EV -5.59%E -3.75%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 36.34%EV -4.38%E -1.68%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-25 14:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.13%EV -7.49%E -5.13%K -16.28%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 35.87%EV -4.38%E -1.68%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-25 15:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.96%E -3.30%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.74%E -1.82%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-25 15:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.22%E -4.21%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.74%E -1.82%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-25 15:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.22%E -4.21%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.74%E -1.82%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-25 15:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.22%E -4.21%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.74%E -1.82%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-25 15:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.69%E -2.43%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -6.57%E -2.58%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-25 15:09 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.91%EV -8.76%E -6.08%K -19.91%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.09%EV -6.57%E -2.58%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-25 14:59 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.56%EV -11.29%E -8.07%K -28.23%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.44%EV -6.57%E -2.58%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-02-25 15:08 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.86%EV -1.15%E -0.740%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.14%EV -7.31%E -2.89%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-02-25 15:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.86%EV -1.15%E -0.740%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.14%EV -7.31%E -2.89%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-02-25 15:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -2.42%E -1.57%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -8.41%E -3.36%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-25 15:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -2.42%E -1.57%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -8.41%E -3.36%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-25 15:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -2.42%E -1.57%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -8.41%E -3.36%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-25 15:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -2.42%E -1.57%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -8.41%E -3.36%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-25 15:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -2.42%E -1.57%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -8.41%E -3.36%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-25 14:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -2.42%E -1.57%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -8.41%E -3.36%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-25 15:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -2.42%E -1.57%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -8.41%E -3.36%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-25 15:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -2.42%E -1.57%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -8.41%E -3.36%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-25 15:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -2.42%E -1.57%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -8.41%E -3.36%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-25 15:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -2.42%E -1.57%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -8.41%E -3.36%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-25 15:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -2.42%E -1.57%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -8.41%E -3.36%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-25 15:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -2.42%E -1.57%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -8.41%E -3.36%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-25 15:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -2.42%E -1.57%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -8.41%E -3.36%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-25 15:09 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -2.42%E -1.57%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -8.41%E -3.36%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-25 15:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -2.42%E -1.57%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -8.41%E -3.36%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-25 15:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -2.42%E -1.57%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -8.41%E -3.36%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-25 15:08 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.06%E -2.00%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.41%E -3.36%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-25 15:09 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.06%E -2.00%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.41%E -3.36%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-25 14:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.06%E -2.00%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.41%E -3.36%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-25 15:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.06%E -2.00%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.41%E -3.36%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-25 14:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.06%E -2.00%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.41%E -3.36%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-25 14:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -3.69%E -2.43%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -8.41%E -3.36%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-25 15:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -4.32%E -2.86%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -8.41%E -3.36%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-25 15:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.22%E -4.21%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -8.41%E -3.36%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-25 15:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.22%E -4.21%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -8.41%E -3.36%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-25 15:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.82%EV -8.12%E -5.60%K -18.05%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -10.24%E -4.18%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-02-25 15:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.52%EV -3.69%E -2.43%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.48%EV -10.97%E -4.51%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-25 15:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -3.06%E -2.00%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -12.07%E -5.03%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-25 15:09 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -4.96%E -3.30%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -12.07%E -5.03%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-25 15:10 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -4.96%E -3.30%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -12.07%E -5.03%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-25 14:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (1)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91% | 0.7% | 2026-02-25 15:10 |