A Escola das Odds

Andrey Rublev v Ugo Humbert

Início: 2026-02-25 15:15 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

52 casas de apostas (17 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Andrey Rublev (Local)

Previsão 63.36%1.58odd justa
EV -1.15%
Vantagem -0.740%
Kelly -2.06%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.56

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
61.07%63.28%63.66%65.06%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.401.511.521.5671.43%66.32%65.79%64.10%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Ugo Humbert (Visitante)

Previsão 36.64%2.73odd justa
EV +0.754%
Vantagem +0.274%
Kelly +0.431%
Crescimento +0.003%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
34.94%36.72%36.34%38.93%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.402.542.502.7541.67%39.35%40.00%36.36%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (52 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Winamax (DE)1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -6.22%E -4.21%K -12.97%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV +0.754%E +0.274%K +0.431%G +0.003%3.9%2026-02-25 15:10
DraftKings1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -8.12%E -5.60%K -18.05%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -1.08%E -0.399%K -0.634%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-25 15:10
FanDuel1.49I 67.11%NM 64.10%EV -5.59%E -3.75%K -11.41%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.90%EV -2.54%E -0.956%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-25 15:10
Bovada1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.96%E -3.30%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.91%E -1.10%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-25 15:06
BetUS1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.96%E -3.30%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.91%E -1.10%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-25 14:59
Winamax (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -8.12%E -5.60%K -18.05%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -2.91%E -1.10%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-25 15:10
Betsson1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -8.12%E -5.60%K -18.05%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -2.91%E -1.10%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-25 15:09
NordicBet1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -8.12%E -5.60%K -18.05%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -2.91%E -1.10%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-25 15:08
PointsBet (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -8.76%E -6.08%K -19.91%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -2.91%E -1.10%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-25 15:09
Pinnacle1.55I 64.52%NM 62.83%EV -1.79%E -1.15%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.17%EV -4.01%E -1.53%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.7%2026-02-25 14:59
1xBet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.96%E -3.30%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.01%E -1.53%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-25 15:10
Marathon Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 63.66%EV -5.59%E -3.75%K -11.41%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 36.34%EV -4.38%E -1.68%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-25 14:59
SportsBet1.46I 68.49%NM 64.13%EV -7.49%E -5.13%K -16.28%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 35.87%EV -4.38%E -1.68%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-25 15:10
Betway1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.96%E -3.30%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.74%E -1.82%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-25 15:10
BetMGM1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.22%E -4.21%K -12.97%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.74%E -1.82%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-25 15:09
Ladbrokes (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.22%E -4.21%K -12.97%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.74%E -1.82%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-25 15:10
Coral1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.22%E -4.21%K -12.97%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.74%E -1.82%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-25 15:10
Bet Right1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.69%E -2.43%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -6.57%E -2.58%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-25 15:09
Fanatics1.44I 69.44%NM 63.91%EV -8.76%E -6.08%K -19.91%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.09%EV -6.57%E -2.58%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-25 14:59
Betclic (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 64.56%EV -11.29%E -8.07%K -28.23%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.44%EV -6.57%E -2.58%K -4.24%G +0.000%10.6%2026-02-25 15:08
LowVig.ag1.56I 64.10%NM 61.86%EV -1.15%E -0.740%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.14%EV -7.31%E -2.89%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-25 15:10
BetOnline.ag1.56I 64.10%NM 61.86%EV -1.15%E -0.740%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.14%EV -7.31%E -2.89%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-25 15:10
Unibet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -2.42%E -1.57%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -8.41%E -3.36%K -5.60%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-25 15:10
LiveScore Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -2.42%E -1.57%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -8.41%E -3.36%K -5.60%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-25 15:10
Grosvenor1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -2.42%E -1.57%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -8.41%E -3.36%K -5.60%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-25 15:10
TABtouch1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -2.42%E -1.57%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -8.41%E -3.36%K -5.60%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-25 15:10
GTbets1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -2.42%E -1.57%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -8.41%E -3.36%K -5.60%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-25 14:59
Unibet (SE)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -2.42%E -1.57%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -8.41%E -3.36%K -5.60%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-25 15:10
BetRivers1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -2.42%E -1.57%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -8.41%E -3.36%K -5.60%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-25 15:10
Casumo1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -2.42%E -1.57%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -8.41%E -3.36%K -5.60%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-25 15:10
Unibet (NL)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -2.42%E -1.57%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -8.41%E -3.36%K -5.60%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-25 15:10
LeoVegas1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -2.42%E -1.57%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -8.41%E -3.36%K -5.60%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-25 15:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -2.42%E -1.57%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -8.41%E -3.36%K -5.60%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-25 15:10
ATG (SE)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -2.42%E -1.57%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -8.41%E -3.36%K -5.60%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-25 15:10
betPARX1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -2.42%E -1.57%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -8.41%E -3.36%K -5.60%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-25 15:09
Svenska Spel1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -2.42%E -1.57%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -8.41%E -3.36%K -5.60%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-25 15:10
Bally Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -2.42%E -1.57%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -8.41%E -3.36%K -5.60%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-25 15:10
Hard Rock Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -2.42%E -1.57%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -8.41%E -3.36%K -5.60%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-25 15:08
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.06%E -2.00%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.41%E -3.36%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-25 15:09
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.06%E -2.00%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.41%E -3.36%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-25 14:59
William Hill1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.06%E -2.00%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.41%E -3.36%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-25 15:10
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.06%E -2.00%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.41%E -3.36%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-25 14:59
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.06%E -2.00%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.41%E -3.36%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-25 14:59
PlayUp1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -3.69%E -2.43%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -8.41%E -3.36%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-25 15:10
Betr (AU)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -4.32%E -2.86%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -8.41%E -3.36%K -5.60%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-25 15:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.22%E -4.21%K -12.97%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -8.41%E -3.36%K -5.60%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-25 15:10
Neds1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.22%E -4.21%K -12.97%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -8.41%E -3.36%K -5.60%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-25 15:10
Fliff1.45I 68.97%NM 62.82%EV -8.12%E -5.60%K -18.05%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -10.24%E -4.18%K -7.06%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-25 15:10
Virgin Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 61.52%EV -3.69%E -2.43%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.48%EV -10.97%E -4.51%K -7.67%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-25 15:10
Caesars1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -3.06%E -2.00%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -12.07%E -5.03%K -8.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-25 15:09
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -4.96%E -3.30%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -12.07%E -5.03%K -8.62%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-25 15:10
Everygame1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -4.96%E -3.30%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -12.07%E -5.03%K -8.62%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-25 14:59
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (1)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91%0.7%2026-02-25 15:10